Antilles School '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.59 (fleet 2.51) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.04 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 18–11 (62%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 10–7 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 2 | 8–4 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (29 matches) the record is 18–11 against 16.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.8). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | SAISA Baker Team Race Qualifier | skipper | 1.97 | 2.10 | 10–7 | 9.6 | +0.13 | 0.0 | 53% |
| 2025-05-16 | ISSA Baker Team Race Championship | skipper | 2.18 | 3.12 | 5–4 | 3.7 | +0.94 | 0.7 | 26% |
| 2025-04-26 | SAISA Baker Qualifier | skipper | 2.20 | 5.20 | 3–0 | 2.9 | ≥+3.00 | 0.2 | 89% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA SP #5 Varsity | Skipper | A | 6 | 9.7 | 2.03 |
| SAISA North Points #6 - Varsity | Skipper | A | 3 | 2.0 | 4.04 |
| SAISA Doublehanded Championship/Mallory Qualifier | Skipper | A | 6 | 11.5 | 1.26 |
| SAISA Baker Team Race Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 17 | 59% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA South Points #1 2025-26 | Skipper | A | 6 | 9.3 | 2.10 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA South Points 2 | Skipper | B | 9 | 2.7 | 3.90 |
| SAISA Mallory Qualifier | Skipper | B | 10 | 4.7 | 3.04 |
| SAISA Baker Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 24 | 75% | — |
| ISSA Fleet Nationals (Mallory Trophy) | Skipper | B | 20 | 6.5 | 3.75 |
| ISSA Baker Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 17 | 65% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| South Points ACC Qualifier | Skipper | B | 6 | 5.5 | 2.31 |
| 2024 NP3 (Varsity) | Skipper | B | 5 | 2.0 | 1.81 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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