Bishop Stang High '17
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.42 (fleet 2.30) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 14–28 (33%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2016 | 2 | 10–18 | — |
| Spring 2015 | 1 | 4–10 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (42 matches) the record is 14–28 against 14.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.8). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-05-28 | National Invitational Tournament | skipper | 1.55 | 2.44 | 6–8 | 4.0 | +0.89 | 1.0 | 18% |
| 2016-05-21 | NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | skipper | 1.69 | 1.25 | 4–10 | 5.0 | −0.44 | 0.2 | 80% |
| 2015-05-16 | NESSA Teams - Terk Trophy | skipper | 0.97 | 0.07 | 4–10 | 5.8 | −0.90 | 0.9 | 92% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Marion, MA | Skipper | A | 1 | 8.0 | — |
| NESSA Women's Champs (Herreshoff) | Skipper | B | 10 | 6.5 | 1.35 |
| NESSA Herreshoff Qualifier - Tabor | Skipper | A | 7 | 4.0 | 1.26 |
| C&I Champs | Skipper | B | 4 | 2.5 | 1.66 |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | Skipper | TR | — | — | — |
| NESSA Women's Championship (R Herreshoff Trophy) | Skipper | B | 8 | 5.0 | 1.99 |
| NESSA Herreshoff Qualifier - Tabor | Skipper | B | 10 | 2.3 | 2.38 |
| National Invitational Tournament | Skipper | TR | 14 | 43% | — |
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA Teams - Terk Trophy | Skipper | TR | 14 | 29% | — |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| O'Day Qualifier at Tabor | Skipper | B | 6 | 6.3 | 0.67 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Madeline Pope |  Roger Williams University |
'21 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
To have this profile removed, email quinnbrighton2005@gmail.com.
