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Freshmen

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 60 31 91
2 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 41 60 101
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 55 60 115
4 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 71 51 122
5 Boston College Boston College Eagles 79 52 131
6 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 73 60 133
7 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 53 90 143
8 Tufts University Tufts University Tufts University 71 79 150
9 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 99 64 163
10 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 65 102 167
11 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 117 66 183
12 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 102 84 186
13 Boston University Boston University Terriers 90 116 206
14 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 74 135 209
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 2 1 1 8 1 10 10 3 2 41 Alec Anderson '13
Sophie Bellacosa '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 3 5 6 1 7 5 3 9 13 53 Johnny Norfleet '13
Kathleen O'Brien '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 9 1 4 5 3 10 11 2 5 5 55 Will Stocke '13 [1-10]
Casey Bowles-Jenner '13 [1-6]
Abby Featherstone '13 [7-10]
Brown University Brown University Bears 13 11 3 2 6 5 7 11 1 1 60 Tommy Fink '13
Molly Bernstein '13
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 4 8 2 7 10 4 14 4 2 10 65 David Alfonso '14
Kelden Pehr '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 7 11 4 12 12 3 5 6 9 71 John Renehan '13
Margaret Wilson '13
Tufts University Tufts University Tufts University 5 12 6 12 9 6 1 6 8 6 71 William Hutchings '13
Mariel Marchand '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 6 5 12 3 7 8 8 7 13 4 73 Atlantic Brugman '13
Lucy Wallace '13
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 10 4 7 10 2 13 9 1 4 14 74 Matthew Graham '13
Rachel Barch '13
Boston College Boston College Eagles 7 6 9 11 5 2 12 9 10 8 79 Jonathan Lutz '13
Molly Haley '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 12 9 8 9 14 3 13 8 7 7 90 Ian Paice '13
Meggi Johnstone '13
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 8 10 10 14 11 11 4 14 14 3 99 James Rohman '13
Zachary Fox '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 14 14 8 4 9 6 12 12 12 102 T. Max Bulger '13
Katherine Hitchner '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 14 13 13 13 13 14 2 13 11 11 117 Andrew Meleny '13
Mackenzie Loy '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 7 2 1 8 2 1 3 1 1 5 31 Colin Smith '13
Logan Shanney '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 8 6 12 4 13 1 2 2 1 51 Bo Mcclatchy '13
Sabrina Amaro '13
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 6 5 2 13 4 4 3 10 4 52 Ryan Mullins '13
Kelly Roy '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 4 3 7 9 3 2 9 6 5 12 60 David Harrison '13 [1-10]
Abby Featherstone '13 [1-6]
Casey Bowles-Jenner '13 [7-10]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 9 4 5 9 8 5 4 8 3 60 Haley Powell '13
Bianca Rom '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 6 5 9 1 10 6 7 7 3 6 60 Timothy Clark '13
Katherine Andril '13
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 1 8 10 12 9 2 5 12 2 64 Katherine Doble '13
Isabel Low '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 11 7 3 4 5 7 6 10 6 7 66 Albert Nichols '13
Charlotte Welbourn '13
Tufts University Tufts University Tufts University 10 11 2 6 1 12 8 9 9 11 79 Henry Blanchette '13
Steve Sansar '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 13 12 13 3 8 3 12 8 4 8 84 Matthew Russell '13
Artemis Sapountzi '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 8 4 12 7 11 5 11 11 11 10 90 Michael Sturges '13
Katharine Brine '13
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 12 10 11 13 7 11 10 12 7 9 102 Steven Drapcho '13
Mark Van De Loo '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 14 10 11 6 10 14 14 14 14 116 Chloe Mcdonald '13 [1-6]
Jamie Lansdowne '13 [7-10]
Catherine Droser '13 [1-6]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 14 13 14 14 14 14 13 13 13 13 135 Evelyn Hull '13 [1-10]
Marc Duvoux '10 [1-4, 7-10]
Kathryn Burt '13 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2008 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles224466881010
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11131311119977
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears44668810101212
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33111313111199
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels6688101012121414
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green55331113131111
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines8810101212141422
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers775533111313
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1010121214142244
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls9977553311
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbalaya12121414224466
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111199775533
Tufts UniversityTufts University Tufts University141422446688
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts13131111997755

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1133557799
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2214141212101088
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears335577991111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4422141412121010
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels55779911111313
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green66442214141212
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines77991111131311
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers886644221414
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks99111113131133
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls101088664422
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbalaya11111313113355
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos12121010886644
Tufts UniversityTufts University Tufts University131311335577
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1414121210108866
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Jonathan Lutz '13 Molly Haley '13
Eagles Ryan Mullins '13 Kelly Roy '13
Boston University Boston University Ian Paice '13 Meggi Johnstone '13
Terriers Chloe Mcdonald '13 [1-6]
Jamie Lansdowne '13 [7-10]		 Catherine Droser '13 [1-6]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College James Rohman '13 Zachary Fox '13
Polar Bears Katherine Doble '13 Isabel Low '13
Brown University Brown University Tommy Fink '13 Molly Bernstein '13
Bears Colin Smith '13 Logan Shanney '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Atlantic Brugman '13 Lucy Wallace '13
Camels Timothy Clark '13 Katherine Andril '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College John Renehan '13 Margaret Wilson '13
Big Green Bo Mcclatchy '13 Sabrina Amaro '13
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology David Alfonso '14 Kelden Pehr '13
Beavers Steven Drapcho '13 Mark Van De Loo '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Alec Anderson '13 Sophie Bellacosa '13
Hawks Haley Powell '13 Bianca Rom '13
Tufts University Tufts University Andrew Meleny '13 Mackenzie Loy '13
Jumbalaya Albert Nichols '13 Charlotte Welbourn '13
Tufts University Tufts University T. Max Bulger '13 Katherine Hitchner '13
Jumbos Matthew Russell '13 Artemis Sapountzi '12
Tufts University Tufts University William Hutchings '13 Mariel Marchand '13
Tufts University Henry Blanchette '13 Steve Sansar '13
University of Michigan University of Michigan Matthew Graham '13 Rachel Barch '13
Wolverines Evelyn Hull '13 [1-10] Marc Duvoux '10 [1-4, 7-10]
Kathryn Burt '13 [5-6]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Will Stocke '13 [1-10] Casey Bowles-Jenner '13 [1-6]
Abby Featherstone '13 [7-10]
Bulls David Harrison '13 [1-10] Abby Featherstone '13 [1-6]
Casey Bowles-Jenner '13 [7-10]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Johnny Norfleet '13 Kathleen O'Brien '13
Catamounts Michael Sturges '13 Katharine Brine '13

Conditions — 11/07/2009 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1024.0 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 48°F   ↓ 31°F
Feels like 36°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 13.4 kn
From SW (231°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover11% Sunshine9.3 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1024.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn · W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Boston University: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.08 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (56 labelled days at Boston University).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →