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Boston College Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 38 27 65
2 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 31 35 66
3 Boston College Boston College Eagles 45 36 81
4 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 38 51 89
5 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 45 47 92
6 Boston University Boston University Terriers 47 51 98
7 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 72 70 142
8 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 84 93 177
9 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 105 118 223
10 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 132 94 226
11 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 123 109 232
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 4 1 6 1 6 3 4 2 1 2 1 31 Tucker Blagden '11
Alex Miller '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 2 1 4 2 2 2 7 4 7 5 38 Michael Sturges '13
Laura Duane '12
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 4 2 5 1 6 3 1 6 3 4 38 Nicolas Russo-Larsson '12
Ruth Summers '12
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 3 5 7 7 5 1 5 5 4 2 45 Carolyn Naughton '14
Molly Clarke '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 6 3 2 3 4 8 3 3 1 7 45 Christopher Price '14
Rachel Moncton '12
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 8 4 3 4 1 7 4 2 5 3 47 Trevor Burd '12
Conor Fowler '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 5 7 6 5 8 6 6 8 6 8 72 Emily Mcneil '14
Madison Rex '14
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 8 7 8 8 8 7 5 8 7 DNF 6 84 Ann Sager '13
Jared Rodriguez '13
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 9 9 9 10 DNF DNS 9 9 9 8 9 105 Paul Hildebrand '11
Scott Goldberg '14
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 10 10 10 9 DNS DNS DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS 123 Ian Witt '12
Peter Sinnott '13
Bates College Bates College Bobcats DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS 132 Hunter Archibald '12
Palo Peirce '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 3 2 2 2 3 8 1 1 1 3 27 Meghan Pesch '11
Marina Miaoulis '12
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 4 2 3 3 6 1 2 2 4 6 2 35 Andrew Tamblyn '13
Daniel Goldman '13
Boston College Boston College Eagles 5 5 1 4 1 2 3 3 9 2 1 36 Christopher Remeika '12
Serena Lofftus '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 3 6 4 5 3 6 1 5 2 4 8 47 Martin Mcdonald '12
Sabrina Amaro '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 4 7 1 4 4 5 6 3 5 6 51 Alejandro Bancalari '13
Eric Gottschalk '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 7 1 6 6 5 5 4 4 6 3 4 51 John Duncan '13
Catherine Mitchell '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 7 5 8 7 10 7 7 5 7 5 70 Sarah Fiske '13
Alexandra Brown '13
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 8 8 10 10 9 7 9 10 7 8 7 93 Terry Clarke '13
Alysan Polito '14
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 10 9 8 7 10 8 6 9 8 10 9 94 Alexander Francis '14
Conor Smith '14
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 9 10 9 9 8 9 11 8 DNS DNS DNS 109 Melinda Moynihan '12
Erinn Acland '14
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers DNF DNF 11 11 11 11 10 11 10 9 10 118 Alan Sanders '14
Leah Pickett '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1212121212121212121212
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1313131313131313131313
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1414141414141414141414
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears1515151515151515151515
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green1616161616161616161616
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds1717171717171717171717
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers1818181818181818181818
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats2020202020202020202020
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks2121212121212121212121
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos2222222222222222222222
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts2424242424242424242424

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats11111111111
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22222222222
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33333333333
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears44444444444
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green55555555555
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds66666666666
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers77777777777
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats88888888888
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks99999999999
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1010101010101010101010
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1111111111111111111111

Conditions — 10/23/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1017.6 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.2 kn
avg  ·  max 11.7 kn
Gusts to 23.5 kn
From WNW (290°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover9% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1017.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 13 kn · SE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Boston College: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Boston College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →