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Top Nine Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 76 88 164
2 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Herons 102 74 176
3 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 69 125 194
4 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 96 100 196
5 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 109 108 217
6 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 130 88 218
7 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 110 110 220
8 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 108 118 226
9 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 115 116 231
10 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 117 116 233
11 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 127 108 235
12 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 87 167 254
13 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 157 102 259
14 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 124 152 276
15 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 209 156 365
16 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 192 217 409
17 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 221 204 425
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 4 1 2 4 2 2 11 4 6 2 5 4 10 12 69 Ian Holtzworth '13
Maggy Ashton '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 1 4 1 1 15 3 13 OCS 2 5 1 1 6 5 76 Nick Aswad '11
Erin Hofstetter '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 10 5 3 5 3 10 8 3 1 1 13 12 7 6 87 Patrick Kana '12
Rebecca Liggins '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 7 13 8 13 1 4 1 9 OCS 7 4 6 2 3 96 John Wallace '14
Lauren Schoene '13
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Herons 5 7 12 12 11 1 OCS 5 4 3 6 8 3 7 102 Ike Babbitt '11
Morgan Gould '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 2 9 9 8 12 8 2 1 11 14 3 11 4 14 108 Randall Hartranft '12
Emma Lamontagne '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 9 12 5 2 7 14 6 11 3 9 7 5 8 11 109 Brady Stagg '14
Chloe Constants '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 11 10 6 10 10 11 7 7 10 8 2 9 5 4 110 Zach Runci '13
Kaitlyn Harris '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 17 2 14 14 14 6 3 2 5 4 12 2 12 8 115 Taylor Vann '13
Jocelynn Knudsen '13
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 3 6 15 3 5 5 9 12 9 13 8 13 14 2 117 Andrew Mason '12
Annalee Leggett '13
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 8 3 11 6 6 7 5 8 14 11 10 15 11 9 124 Tyler Steel '13
Kyle Crandall '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 6 14 7 11 13 12 10 10 7 6 9 3 9 10 127 Ian Liberty '14
Allison Smith '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 13 RAF 4 15 8 9 4 6 OCS 12 14 7 1 1 130 Devin Laviano '13
Glenn Mckenna '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 14 8 13 7 4 13 14 14 8 10 11 10 16 15 157 Daniel Eichler '13
Courtney Sherman '13
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 15 11 10 16 9 15 12 13 12 DNF 16 16 13 16 192 Hadley Burnham '14
Paul Miller '14
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 16 15 17 9 16 17 16 15 13 16 17 14 15 13 209 Matthew Winter '14 [1-11]
Ryann Hall '11 [12-14]
Sarah Mckay '12 [1-11]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 12 16 16 17 17 16 15 16 15 15 15 17 17 17 221 Michael Denigris '14 [1-11]
Amanda Tooker '11 [12-14]
Mia Cooper '14 [1-11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Herons 7 2 1 2 16 5 7 7 4 2 10 3 5 3 74 Timothy Zacher '13
Daisy Hanna '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 3 4 6 3 11 9 1 1 5 OCS 7 11 3 6 88 Nathaniel Sabatt '11
Erica Leinmiller '13
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 11 11 7 6 6 6 13 13 7 1 1 1 4 1 88 Arthur Bailey Iv '14
Connor Mcgowan '14
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 1 5 4 10 12 2 4 17 2 11 5 9 13 5 100 Karl Haelsig '14
Samantha Pilz '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 8 12 3 5 1 10 9 5 1 13 6 12 8 9 102 Matthew Gowell '14
Genevieve Burgoyne '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 6 7 5 13 4 11 8 6 11 9 3 6 12 7 108 Corina Radtke '14
Jordan Stock '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 10 3 8 1 3 1 3 3 10 5 14 15 14 OCS 108 Don Hause Iii '14
Ainsley Thomson '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 4 1 11 9 8 12 10 2 9 6 4 14 2 OCS 110 Collin Leon '13
Jill Fattibene '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 5 10 2 4 9 4 11 14 6 15 BKD 8 9 11 116 Michael Schalka '13
Mckenzie Stough '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 16 6 DSQ 8 7 16 6 4 3 4 13 5 6 4 116 Michael Grove '14
Kristin Rovito '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 9 15 9 12 10 3 5 8 12 3 9 4 11 8 118 Matthew Schoene '15
Christopher Knizewski '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 12 8 12 14 15 8 2 11 8 10 12 2 1 10 125 Robert Boger '13
Samantha Sofge '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 14 16 16 17 5 7 17 10 13 7 8 10 10 2 152 Julia Paxton '14
John Burke '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 17 9 10 7 2 14 12 16 14 12 11 13 7 12 156 Alex Reynolds '14 [1-14]
Ryann Hall '11 [1-11]
Mary Hamilton '14 [12-14]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 2 13 15 16 14 OCS 14 9 16 8 2 7 OCS 15 167 Michael Deady '14
Katelynn Yonce '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 15 14 13 15 13 13 16 12 15 14 DNS 17 15 14 204 Edward Titcomb '13 [1-11]
John O'Riordan '12 [12-14]
Amanda Tooker '11 [1-11]
Elizabeth Wegmann '12 [12-14]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 13 17 14 11 DNF 15 15 15 DNF DNS DNS 16 16 13 217 Kurt Eckhardt '14
Crystal Shearer '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 111111111111111
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 222222222222222
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 133333333333333
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 244444444444444
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Herons55555555555555
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen66666666666666
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 177777777777777
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 288888888888888
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 199999999999999
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 21010101010101010101010101010
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 11111111111111111111111111111
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 21212121212121212121212121212
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 11313131313131313131313131313
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 21414141414141414141414141414
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 11515151515151515151515151515
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 21616161616161616161616161616
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717171717171717171717171717

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 111111111111111
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 222222222222222
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 133333333333333
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 244444444444444
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Herons55555555555555
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen66666666666666
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 177777777777777
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 288888888888888
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 199999999999999
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 21010101010101010101010101010
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 11111111111111111111111111111
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 21212121212121212121212121212
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 11313131313131313131313131313
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 21414141414141414141414141414
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 11515151515151515151515151515
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 21616161616161616161616161616
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717171717171717171717171717
School / Team SkipperCrew
Fordham University Fordham University Matthew Winter '14 [1-11]
Ryann Hall '11 [12-14]		 Sarah Mckay '12 [1-11]
Rams 1 Alex Reynolds '14 [1-14] Ryann Hall '11 [1-11]
Mary Hamilton '14 [12-14]
Fordham University Fordham University Michael Denigris '14 [1-11]
Amanda Tooker '11 [12-14]		 Mia Cooper '14 [1-11]
Rams 2 Edward Titcomb '13 [1-11]
John O'Riordan '12 [12-14]		 Amanda Tooker '11 [1-11]
Elizabeth Wegmann '12 [12-14]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Andrew Mason '12 Annalee Leggett '13
Hoyas 1 Michael Schalka '13 Mckenzie Stough '13
Georgetown University Georgetown University Daniel Eichler '13 Courtney Sherman '13
Hoyas 2 Matthew Gowell '14 Genevieve Burgoyne '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Ike Babbitt '11 Morgan Gould '14
Herons Timothy Zacher '13 Daisy Hanna '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Patrick Kana '12 Rebecca Liggins '13
Statesmen Michael Deady '14 Katelynn Yonce '12
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Zach Runci '13 Kaitlyn Harris '13
Monarchs 1 Collin Leon '13 Jill Fattibene '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Brady Stagg '14 Chloe Constants '14
Monarchs 2 Corina Radtke '14 Jordan Stock '12
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Randall Hartranft '12 Emma Lamontagne '14
Privateers 1 Matthew Schoene '15 Christopher Knizewski '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Tyler Steel '13 Kyle Crandall '12
Privateers 2 Julia Paxton '14 John Burke '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Ian Liberty '14 Allison Smith '13
Seahawks 1 Don Hause Iii '14 Ainsley Thomson '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland John Wallace '14 Lauren Schoene '13
Seahawks 2 Karl Haelsig '14 Samantha Pilz '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Ian Holtzworth '13 Maggy Ashton '14
Mariners 1 Robert Boger '13 Samantha Sofge '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Nick Aswad '11 Erin Hofstetter '14
Mariners 2 Arthur Bailey Iv '14 Connor Mcgowan '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Devin Laviano '13 Glenn Mckenna '14
Midshipmen 1 Nathaniel Sabatt '11 Erica Leinmiller '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Taylor Vann '13 Jocelynn Knudsen '13
Midshipmen 2 Michael Grove '14 Kristin Rovito '14
Washington College Washington College Hadley Burnham '14 Paul Miller '14
Shoremen Kurt Eckhardt '14 Crystal Shearer '13

Conditions — 10/30/2010 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1016.2 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.5 kn
avg  ·  max 12.5 kn
Gusts to 22.9 kn
From WSW (237°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1016.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 13 kn · NW 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kings Point: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →