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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 31 61 92
2 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 87 39 126
3 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 50 118 168
4 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 114 56 170
5 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 93 92 185
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 102 90 192
7 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 106 87 193
8 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 111 90 201
9 Brown University Brown University Bears 104 120 224
10 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 123 106 229
11 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 109 140 249
12 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 119 139 258
13 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 119 147 266
14 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 143 131 274
15 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 138 146 284
16 Boston University Boston University Terriers 193 120 313
17 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 128 191 319
18 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 178 180 358
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 9 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 3 31 Anne Haeger '12
Emily Massa '12
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 4 2 1 1 6 11 6 8 2 1 2 6 50 Emily Lambert '12
Alexandra Jumper '12
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 5 14 5 7 4 5 14 5 12 9 6 1 87 Maggie Shea '11 [1-12]
Stephanie Kapinos '13 [1-10]
Katrina Salk '11 [11-12]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 10 7 11 2 3 4 13 9 14 12 7 93 Claire Dennis '13 [1-12]
Heather May '13 [1-8]
Isabel Elliman '12 [9-12]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 13 5 17 6 11 6 3 7 14 17 1 2 102 Catherine Swanson '11 [1-12]
Sara Carnahan '11 [1-2, 5-8]
Margaret Bacon '14 [3-4, 9-10]
Margaret Rew '11 [11-12]
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 7 3 8 18 13 7 14 7 7 BKD 8 104 Elizabeth Barry '11 [1-12]
Amy Walker '11 [1-2, 5-6]
Cecilia Strombeck '11 [3-4, 7-12]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 18 1 8 4 9 10 5 3 8 15 15 10 106 Eliza Richartz '13
Katherine Lund '13
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 14 11 18 3 12 9 2 12 3 5 8 12 109 Charlotte Dorris '11
Amy Baxter '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 11 18 2 12 7 8 10 16 4 3 9 11 111 Chandler Salisbury '13
Madilyn Gamble '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 6 17 6 16 13 2 13 4 10 16 7 4 114 Krysta Rohde '11 [1-12]
Claire Miller '12 [1-10]
Elise Maher '11 [11-12]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 7 6 11 9 10 18 11 2 16 13 11 5 119 Amy Hawkins '12
Mary Arnold '12
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 9 8 14 13 3 4 9 6 18 8 14 13 119 Corey Hall '12
Sarah Somes '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 10 3 10 17 17 7 16 11 6 4 5 17 123 Alexandra Arntsen '12 [1-12]
Kathleen O'Brien '13 [1-10]
Amanda Donohue '13 [11-12]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 12 4 9 5 15 14 12 10 11 10 17 9 128 Haley Powell '13
Adrienne White '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 8 16 12 14 16 12 17 9 5 12 3 14 138 Abby Featherstone '13
Kirsten Hunt '11
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 16 15 13 10 5 15 8 15 15 6 10 15 143 Katii Gullick '12
Reguli Granger '12
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 15 12 15 15 14 16 18 17 13 11 16 16 178 Phoebe Sprague '11
Isabel Low '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 17 13 16 18 8 17 15 18 17 18 18 18 193 Erica Lush '14 [1-12]
Caitlin Goodrich '14 [1-6]
Catherine Droser '13 [7-12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 3 4 1 8 2 4 1 5 1 8 1 39 Atlantic Brugman '13 [1-12]
Katrina Salk '11 [1-2, 5-8]
Lucy Wallace '13 [3-4, 9-12]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 2 6 3 1 5 1 3 7 2 14 8 56 Jennifer Proctor '11 [1-12]
Kristen Holloway '12 [1-10]
Elise Maher '11 [11-12]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 10 5 1 6 10 1 3 2 2 15 1 5 61 Briana Provancha '12 [1-12]
Katy Nastro '11 [1-10]
Elizabeth Dudley '11 [11-12]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 6 6 17 9 3 4 10 10 3 11 2 6 87 Hannah Burroughs '11
Michelle Yu '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 16 2 10 6 8 8 9 6 7 4 11 90 Natalie Salk '13 [1-12]
Madeline Luce '13 [1-2, 5-8]
Kathryn Booras '12 [3-4, 9-12]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 13 1 5 11 5 13 2 5 17 3 3 12 90 Kelsey Wheeler '14
Margaret Wilson '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 9 7 3 4 14 10 5 6 9 5 5 15 92 Marlena Fauer '14
Eugenia Custo Greig '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 15 8 8 5 9 9 6 12 8 4 13 9 106 Kimberly Kaull '13 [1-12]
Erin Pierce '12 [1-10]
Emily Augello '12 [11-12]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 16 14 11 14 11 11 12 4 1 6 16 2 118 Caitlin Watson '14 [1-4]
Morgan Russom '14 [5-12]
Isabel Ruane '14 [1-6]
Caitlin Watson '14 [7-12]
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 11 10 7 7 3 16 11 11 17 11 14 120 Jennifer Adler '11 [1-12]
Logan Shanney '13 [1-10]
Cecilia Strombeck '11 [11-12]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 5 17 7 2 18 12 7 8 16 10 15 3 120 Caroline Wilhelm '11
Madelyn Irwin '14
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 14 9 15 8 16 7 13 13 4 16 6 10 131 Hanna Vincent '14
Jillian Reddy '11
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 7 10 9 13 13 16 15 14 14 8 7 13 139 Carly Shevitz '14
Sarah Scudder '13
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 17 4 14 18 2 17 11 17 10 13 10 7 140 Kaye Siemers '13
Lara Dallman-Weiss '11
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 11 13 13 12 12 6 17 16 13 12 17 4 146 Hillary Noble '12
Darby Smith '11
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 12 18 15 4 14 9 15 15 9 12 16 147 Liv Gunnarsson '12 [1-4, 11-12]
Bethany Leonard '11 [5-10]
Lauren Mellen '13 [1-4, 11-12]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 18 18 12 17 17 18 14 7 18 14 9 18 180 Sarah Fiske '13 [1-12]
Alexandra Brown '13 [1-8]
Leah Hughes '11 [9-12]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 12 15 16 16 15 15 18 18 12 DNF 18 17 191 Bianca Rom '13
Alyssa Seifert '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11335577991111
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2218181616141412121010
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears3355779911111313
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears44221818161614141212
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars557799111113131515
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears664422181816161414
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels77991111131315151717
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green8866442218181616
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons99111113131515171711
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson1010886644221818
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers11111313151517171133
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1212101088664422
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks131315151717113355
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls141412121010886644
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1515171711335577
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos16161414121210108866
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts17171133557799
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1818161614141212101088

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles2244668810101212
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11171715151313111199
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears446688101012121414
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33111717151513131111
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars66881010121214141616
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears553311171715151313
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels8810101212141416161818
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green7755331117171515
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1010121214141616181822
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson99775533111717
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers12121414161618182244
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams11119977553311
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks141416161818224466
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1313111199775533
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1616181822446688
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos151513131111997755
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1818224466881010
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs17171515131311119977
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Anne Haeger '12 Emily Massa '12
Eagles Briana Provancha '12 [1-12] Katy Nastro '11 [1-10]
Elizabeth Dudley '11 [11-12]
Boston University Boston University Erica Lush '14 [1-12] Caitlin Goodrich '14 [1-6]
Catherine Droser '13 [7-12]
Terriers Caroline Wilhelm '11 Madelyn Irwin '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Phoebe Sprague '11 Isabel Low '13
Polar Bears Sarah Fiske '13 [1-12] Alexandra Brown '13 [1-8]
Leah Hughes '11 [9-12]
Brown University Brown University Elizabeth Barry '11 [1-12] Amy Walker '11 [1-2, 5-6]
Cecilia Strombeck '11 [3-4, 7-12]
Bears Jennifer Adler '11 [1-12] Logan Shanney '13 [1-10]
Cecilia Strombeck '11 [11-12]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Corey Hall '12 Sarah Somes '13
Cougars Carly Shevitz '14 Sarah Scudder '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Maggie Shea '11 [1-12] Stephanie Kapinos '13 [1-10]
Katrina Salk '11 [11-12]
Camels Atlantic Brugman '13 [1-12] Katrina Salk '11 [1-2, 5-8]
Lucy Wallace '13 [3-4, 9-12]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Chandler Salisbury '13 Madilyn Gamble '13
Big Green Kelsey Wheeler '14 Margaret Wilson '13
Eckerd College Eckerd College Charlotte Dorris '11 Amy Baxter '13
Tritons Kaye Siemers '13 Lara Dallman-Weiss '11
Harvard University Harvard University Emily Lambert '12 Alexandra Jumper '12
Crimson Caitlin Watson '14 [1-4]
Morgan Russom '14 [5-12]		 Isabel Ruane '14 [1-6]
Caitlin Watson '14 [7-12]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Katii Gullick '12 Reguli Granger '12
Beavers Hanna Vincent '14 Jillian Reddy '11
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Haley Powell '13 Adrienne White '13
Hawks Bianca Rom '13 Alyssa Seifert '13
Stanford University Stanford University Eliza Richartz '13 Katherine Lund '13
Cardinal Hannah Burroughs '11 Michelle Yu '14
Tufts University Tufts University Catherine Swanson '11 [1-12] Sara Carnahan '11 [1-2, 5-8]
Margaret Bacon '14 [3-4, 9-10]
Margaret Rew '11 [11-12]
Jumbos Natalie Salk '13 [1-12] Madeline Luce '13 [1-2, 5-8]
Kathryn Booras '12 [3-4, 9-12]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Krysta Rohde '11 [1-12] Claire Miller '12 [1-10]
Elise Maher '11 [11-12]
Bears Jennifer Proctor '11 [1-12] Kristen Holloway '12 [1-10]
Elise Maher '11 [11-12]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Amy Hawkins '12 Mary Arnold '12
Rams Liv Gunnarsson '12 [1-4, 11-12]
Bethany Leonard '11 [5-10]		 Lauren Mellen '13 [1-4, 11-12]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Abby Featherstone '13 Kirsten Hunt '11
Bulls Hillary Noble '12 Darby Smith '11
University of Vermont University of Vermont Alexandra Arntsen '12 [1-12] Kathleen O'Brien '13 [1-10]
Amanda Donohue '13 [11-12]
Catamounts Kimberly Kaull '13 [1-12] Erin Pierce '12 [1-10]
Emily Augello '12 [11-12]
Yale University Yale University Claire Dennis '13 [1-12] Heather May '13 [1-8]
Isabel Elliman '12 [9-12]
Bulldogs Marlena Fauer '14 Eugenia Custo Greig '14

Conditions — 10/30/2010 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1014.5 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.4 kn
avg  ·  max 11.2 kn
Gusts to 26.6 kn
From WSW (241°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover89% Sunshine9.1 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1014.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 12 kn · NW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Connecticut College: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Connecticut College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (51 labelled days at Connecticut College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →