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Big Apple Classic/Jesuit Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 37 31 68
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 39 40 79
3 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 41 53 94
4 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 48 60 108
5 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 51 58 109
6 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 71 66 137
7 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 90 62 152
8 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 68 86 154
9 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 105 85 190
10 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 113 129 242
11 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 131 122 253
12 Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 156 156 312
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 7 6 1 7 1 2 1 3 1 5 37 Willem Sandberg '14
Amelia Quinn '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 3 1 4 2 3 3 6 2 1 4 6 39 Mackenzie Spencer '12
Trudy Crowley '13
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 1 6 3 3 1 8 1 3 4 7 1 41 Alexander Sachs '12
Emma Pfohman '13
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 6 6 4 1 4 2 2 4 7 7 2 3 48 Louis Padnos '14
Michael Deady '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 4 5 2 7 4 5 7 4 6 3 2 51 Timothy Scanlon '12
Michelle Hernandez '12
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 5 5 3 8 6 8 4 3 8 5 9 4 68 Scott Lubliner '13
Jamileh Soueidan '15
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 9 8 2 7 9 5 6 5 5 2 5 8 71 Billy Hines '12 [1-6]
John Croll '12 [7-12]
Michelle Edelstein '13 [1-6]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 8 7 8 5 5 9 7 9 9 10 6 7 90 Jonathan Goldsmith '11
Sonia Guior '15
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 7 RDG 10 9 8 6 9 8 10 8 8 DNF 105 Francois Conde-Jahn '13
Timothy Broskus '15
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 10 10 9 10 10 10 10 10 6 9 10 9 113 Harmen Rockler '13
Margot Sirois '14
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 131 Jonathan Hatch '13
Matthew Hall '13
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 156 Tim Gorzelnik '14
Laine Meelheim '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 1 2 2 8 5 4 1 2 1 1 1 31 Charles Proctor '14
Mara Porter '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 6 7 3 8 1 2 1 2 1 4 3 2 40 Olivia Crane '15
Ellie O'Brien '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 4 1 6 2 8 6 3 7 2 8 5 53 Alex Reynolds '14 [1-12]
Alex Wiggins '13 [1-6]
Anne Wachowicz '15 [7-10]
Chase Webber '15 [11-12]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 9 4 3 4 7 2 6 3 10 2 6 58 Martin Mcdonald '12
Rachel Moncton '12
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 8 3 6 4 5 1 9 5 4 6 6 3 60 Elliott Morrill '15
Robert Wands '15
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 5 2 7 9 7 3 3 7 5 5 5 4 62 Michael Rivlin '13
Juliet Levine '14
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 4 5 5 1 6 4 5 8 9 3 9 7 66 David Coplon '12 [1-6]
Conor Cashel '14 [7-12]
Austin Lo '12 [1-6]
Catherine Duggan '15 [7-12]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 7 8 8 7 9 6 7 4 6 7 7 9 85 Andrew Bates '15
Shawn Wehking '15
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 9 6 9 5 3 9 8 9 8 8 4 8 86 Matthew Nilsen '14
Andrew Haggerty '14
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 11 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 10 9 10 10 122 Phillip Weigand '13 [1-12]
Margaret Jones '14 [1-6]
George Herrea '14 [7-12]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 10 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 11 11 11 11 129 Patrick Stege '14
Everett Spear '14
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 156 Laine Meelheim '13
Devin Descenza '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army11335577991111
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions2212121010886644
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red33557799111111
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green4422121210108866
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams55779911111133
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6644221212101088
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners77991111113355
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers8866442212121010
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers99111111335577
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange1010886644221212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos11111133557799
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1212101088664422

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army2244668810101212
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions11111199775533
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red4466881010121222
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green33111111997755
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams6688101012122244
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen55331111119977
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners8810101212224466
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers77553311111199
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers1010121222446688
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange99775533111111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1212224466881010
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts11119977553311

Conditions — 10/01/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1004.8 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From NNW (334°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover78% Sunshine7.1 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1004.8 hPa Rain0.13 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn · S 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Fordham: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fordham by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (25 labelled days at Fordham).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →