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Cornell Fall Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 33 14 47
2 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 51 19 70
3 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens 45 37 82
4 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 29 55 84
5 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 25 74 99
6 Villanova University Villanova University Villanova 91 43 134
7 Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 70 64 134
8 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 66 86 152
9 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 82 78 160
10 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 75 87 162
11 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 82 91 173
12 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 105 78 183
13 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 118 99 217
14 University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 88 131 219
15 Penn State University Penn State University Penn State 120 125 245
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 1 4 4 3 3 1 4 3 25 Alexander Sachs '12
Emma Pfohman '13
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 6 10 3 1 2 1 2 2 2 29 Jennifer Borshoff '15
Della Bradt '13
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 9 3 2 2 1 8 4 3 1 33 Patrick Kana '12
Marnie Merrill '15
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens 3 4 9 9 4 2 3 1 10 45 Gerard Tonachel '13
Michael Cianfaglione '13
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 5 2 7 3 8 4 5 9 8 51 Alden Sonnenfeldt '13
Erin Ahlers '13
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 12 7 5 6 5 6 15 5 5 66 Samantha Gebb '14
Andrew Werner '14
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 7 8 1 10 10 10 8 10 6 70 Eddie Einhaus '13
Nathaniel Macdonald '13
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 11 9 6 5 9 5 10 6 14 75 Zachary Schippe '14
Rebecca Johnson '12
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 8 12 8 7 6 9 6 11 15 82 Andrew Murphy '14
Everett Spear '14
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 10 11 11 11 7 7 11 7 7 82 Conor Cashel '14
Michelle Edelstein '13
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 4 6 10 12 11 12 9 12 12 88 Jacob Romanowsky '14 [1-6, 9]
Kelly Rousmaniere '14 [7-8]
Lillye Anderson '15 [1-4, 7-9]
Talya Mallin '14 [5-6]
Villanova University Villanova University Villanova 1 5 15 15 13 13 12 13 4 91 Andrew Sayre '12 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Craig Williams '11 [3-4, 7-8]
Marisa Demourkas '12 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Kathryn Fitzpatrick '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 13 14 12 13 14 15 7 8 9 105 Nathan Fulcher '13 [1-2, 5-9]
John Handel '12 [3-4]
Ian Hunt '13 [1-2, 5-9]
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 15 15 13 8 15 11 14 14 13 118 Andrew Green '14
Melissa Eiffert '14
Penn State University Penn State University Penn State 14 13 14 14 12 14 13 15 11 120 Jarrett Scherrer '12
John Shanahan '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 3 2 14 Elliott Morrill '15
Morgan Gould '14
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 5 19 Duncan Howes '15
Lindsey Ludwig '14
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens 2 7 5 4 4 4 5 5 1 37 Christian Geary '14
Kyle Ripley '13
Villanova University Villanova University Villanova 7 3 4 3 3 7 7 6 3 43 Sarah Celone '13 [1-2, 7-8]
Domenic Re '15 [3-4, 9]
Scott Barnhill '14 [5-6]
Kathryn Shimko '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Scott Barnhill '14 [3-4, 7-9]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 10 4 8 13 6 3 3 2 6 55 Gregory Reppucci '15 [1-6]
Alexander Liem '15 [7-9]
Rebecca Macies '14 [1-6]
Katharine Close '14 [7-9]
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 5 9 6 10 5 8 6 7 8 64 Kevin Petrikas '13
Gregory Pitner '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 11 DSQ 3 8 7 5 9 4 11 74 Matthew Winter '14
Mary Hamilton '14
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 4 6 9 7 8 9 12 8 15 78 Kent Derbyshire '16
Olivia Robertson '15
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 9 11 11 9 9 11 4 10 4 78 Irene Jacqz '13
Rebecca Newman '12
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 12 8 13 6 10 10 11 9 7 86 Gavin Schlissel '13
Greta Hayes '14
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 6 5 7 11 12 12 10 12 12 87 Kyle Donnelly '14 [1-6]
Autumn Hoover '12 [7-8]
Geneva O'Brien '14 [9]
Autumn Hoover '12 [1-6]
Andrew Daponte '14 [7-9]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 8 12 10 5 13 14 8 11 10 91 Harmen Rockler '13
Patrick Stege '14
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 13 10 12 12 11 6 13 13 9 99 Stephanie Rosenbaum '13
Ana Misenas '14
Penn State University Penn State University Penn State 14 14 15 14 14 13 14 14 13 125 Shannon Kenyon '16
Jonathan Van Wagoner '16
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 15 13 14 15 15 15 15 15 14 131 Joe Franco '14 [1-4, 7-9]
Paul Sozio '14 [5-6]
Kelly Rousmaniere '14 [1-4, 7-9]
Jared Benjamin '13 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Buffalo14141133557
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions113355779
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 12244668810
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 23355779911
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams446688101012
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen557799111113
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings66881010121214
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Penn State881010121214141
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers77991111131315
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer111113131515224
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester991111131315152
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester101012121414113
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Stevens1212141411335
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange1313151522446
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Villanova15152244668

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Buffalo15152244668
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions2244668810
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 13355779911
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 2446688101012
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams557799111113
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen66881010121214
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings77991111131315
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Penn State991111131315152
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers881010121214141
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer1212141411335
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester101012121414113
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester111113131515224
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Stevens1313151522446
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange14141133557
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Villanova113355779
School / Team SkipperCrew
Columbia University Columbia University Conor Cashel '14 Michelle Edelstein '13
Lions Irene Jacqz '13 Rebecca Newman '12
Cornell University Cornell University Alden Sonnenfeldt '13 Erin Ahlers '13
Big Red 1 Duncan Howes '15 Lindsey Ludwig '14
Cornell University Cornell University Jennifer Borshoff '15 Della Bradt '13
Big Red 2 Gregory Reppucci '15 [1-6]
Alexander Liem '15 [7-9]		 Rebecca Macies '14 [1-6]
Katharine Close '14 [7-9]
Fordham University Fordham University Alexander Sachs '12 Emma Pfohman '13
Rams Matthew Winter '14 Mary Hamilton '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Patrick Kana '12 Marnie Merrill '15
Statesmen Elliott Morrill '15 Morgan Gould '14
Ocean County College Ocean County College Zachary Schippe '14 Rebecca Johnson '12
Vikings Kyle Donnelly '14 [1-6]
Autumn Hoover '12 [7-8]
Geneva O'Brien '14 [9]		 Autumn Hoover '12 [1-6]
Andrew Daponte '14 [7-9]
Penn State University Penn State University Jarrett Scherrer '12 John Shanahan '16
Penn State Shannon Kenyon '16 Jonathan Van Wagoner '16
Princeton University Princeton University Samantha Gebb '14 Andrew Werner '14
Tigers Gavin Schlissel '13 Greta Hayes '14
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Eddie Einhaus '13 Nathaniel Macdonald '13
Rensselaer Kevin Petrikas '13 Gregory Pitner '12
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Nathan Fulcher '13 [1-2, 5-9]
John Handel '12 [3-4]		 Ian Hunt '13 [1-2, 5-9]
Rochester Kent Derbyshire '16 Olivia Robertson '15
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Gerard Tonachel '13 Michael Cianfaglione '13
Stevens Christian Geary '14 Kyle Ripley '13
Syracuse University Syracuse University Andrew Murphy '14 Everett Spear '14
Orange Harmen Rockler '13 Patrick Stege '14
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Andrew Green '14 Melissa Eiffert '14
Buffalo Stephanie Rosenbaum '13 Ana Misenas '14
University of Rochester University of Rochester Jacob Romanowsky '14 [1-6, 9]
Kelly Rousmaniere '14 [7-8]		 Lillye Anderson '15 [1-4, 7-9]
Talya Mallin '14 [5-6]
U. Rochester Joe Franco '14 [1-4, 7-9]
Paul Sozio '14 [5-6]		 Kelly Rousmaniere '14 [1-4, 7-9]
Jared Benjamin '13 [5-6]
Villanova University Villanova University Andrew Sayre '12 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Craig Williams '11 [3-4, 7-8]		 Marisa Demourkas '12 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Kathryn Fitzpatrick '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Villanova Sarah Celone '13 [1-2, 7-8]
Domenic Re '15 [3-4, 9]
Scott Barnhill '14 [5-6]		 Kathryn Shimko '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Scott Barnhill '14 [3-4, 7-9]

Conditions — 09/10/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1015.7 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.3 kn
avg  ·  max 5.2 kn
Gusts to 13.8 kn
From N (353°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover86% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1015.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 7 kn · S 7 kn · SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cornell: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cornell by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at Cornell).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →