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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 18 27 45
2 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 43 32 75
3 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 41 38 79
4 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 46 36 82
5 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens 53 34 87
6 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 38 60 98
7 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 81 54 135
8 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 70 69 139
9 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 75 76 151
10 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 87 73 160
11 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 81 88 169
12 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 94 104 198
13 Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 129 76 205
14 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 118 96 214
15 Kean University Kean University Kean 78 137 215
16 Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 78 137 215
17 Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 116 121 237
18 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 137 118 255
19 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 138 145 283
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 2 3 1 4 1 1 1 18 Scott Houck '15
Rachel Moncton '12
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 7 5 5 3 2 8 2 6 38 Tyler Steel '13
Paige Conlin '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 3 2 6 14 9 4 2 41 Louis Padnos '14
Michael Deady '14
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 8 6 1 9 1 5 8 5 43 Michael Whitford '12 [1-3]
Sam Fitzgerald '14 [4-8]
Thomas Heist '15 [1-3]
Matt Lawler '13 [4-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 1 DSQ 2 6 2 7 4 46 Devin Laviano '13
Chelsea Smith '14
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens 10 7 4 5 5 7 3 12 53 Gerard Tonachel '13
Anne Ryan '14
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 4 6 12 7 15 10 13 70 Alden Sonnenfeldt '13
Katharine Close '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 12 10 12 10 12 11 5 3 75 Francois Conde-Jahn '13
Erin Hofstetter '14
Kean University Kean University Kean 6 9 7 14 15 3 15 9 78 Tyler Kennedy '12
Sarah Salter '12
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 11 11 9 8 16 6 6 11 78 Paul Stevens '14
Shawn Diamond '13
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 2 8 11 13 11 13 9 14 81 John Croll '12
Michelle Edelstein '13
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 16 16 14 4 3 4 14 10 81 Hussain Patel '13
Kaitlin Denny '14
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 9 12 10 17 10 10 12 7 87 Alex Reynolds '14
Sarah Mckay '12
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 14 13 8 11 8 14 18 8 94 Andrew Bates '15
Timothy Broskus '15
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 13 19 13 15 18 12 11 15 116 Tim Gorzelnik '14
Michelle Miltenberger '12
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 19 17 15 7 9 16 16 19 118 Oliver Blake '13
Stacey Seymour '14
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 18 14 18 16 13 17 17 16 129 Kevin Petrikas '13
Nathaniel Macdonald '13
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 15 15 17 18 17 19 19 17 137 Jason Sinclair '13
Molly Tarlofsky '12
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 17 18 16 19 19 18 13 18 138 Elizabeth Smith '14
Sam Heffernan '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 3 1 1 3 4 3 10 2 27 Timothy Scanlon '12
Phoebe Palmer '14
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 2 DSQ 5 1 1 1 1 1 32 Dan Ricker '15
Paul Miller '14
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens 8 7 2 2 2 8 2 3 34 Christian Geary '14
Lara Paul '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 2 6 5 6 2 8 6 36 Lukas Edegran '13
Alexandra Asuncion '15
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 4 4 3 9 5 4 5 4 38 Alex Nugent '15
Tracy Doherty '15
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 7 10 14 7 3 5 3 5 54 Andrew Beckmann '15
Skye Kussman '13
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 6 3 4 6 13 10 9 9 60 Matthew Schoene '15
Nicole Kelly '12
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 5 11 8 11 7 7 7 13 69 Alexander Liem '15
Erin Ahlers '13
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 16 12 10 4 8 9 4 10 73 Edward Titcomb '13
Alex Wiggins '13
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 9 5 7 10 14 13 6 12 76 Eddie Einhaus '13
Kenny Clausen '13
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 10 6 11 13 10 6 12 8 76 Connor Mcgowan '14
Noel Ingalls '15
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 12 8 17 12 9 12 11 7 88 Conor Cashel '14
Catherine Duggan '15
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 13 15 12 8 11 11 15 11 96 Spencer Stubbins '13
Gregory Harries '13
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 11 9 9 14 12 15 18 16 104 Padraig Loughlin '15
Shawn Wehking '15
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 17 14 13 16 16 14 14 14 118 Chris Myers '15
Melanie Musso '15
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 18 13 16 15 15 16 13 15 121 Laine Meelheim '13
Nicholas Salandra '14
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 14 18 15 19 18 18 16 19 137 Matthew Marciano '14
Rachel Armstrong '14
Kean University Kean University Kean 15 16 18 17 17 19 17 18 137 Jamie Lee Wasco '12
Emily Mccarthy '13
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 19 17 19 18 19 17 19 17 145 Dylan Ackermamn '14
Alexandra Macleod '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions11223344
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red221120201919
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green33445566
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons44332211
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams55667788
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials66554433
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen7788991010
Kean UniversityKean University Kean88776655
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 199101011111212
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 21010998877
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth1111121213131414
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen12121111101099
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1313141415151616
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1414131312121111
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels1515161617171818
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer1616151514141313
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers1717181819192020
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Stevens1818171716161515
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen191920201122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions11223344
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red221120201919
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green33445566
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons44332211
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams55667788
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials66554433
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen7788991010
Kean UniversityKean University Kean88776655
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 199101011111212
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 21010998877
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth1111121213131414
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen12121111101099
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1313141415151616
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1414131312121111
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels1515161617171818
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer1616151514141313
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers1717181819192020
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Stevens1818171716161515
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen191920201122
School / Team SkipperCrew
Columbia University Columbia University John Croll '12 Michelle Edelstein '13
Lions Conor Cashel '14 Catherine Duggan '15
Cornell University Cornell University Alden Sonnenfeldt '13 Katharine Close '14
Big Red Alexander Liem '15 Erin Ahlers '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Scott Houck '15 Rachel Moncton '12
Big Green Timothy Scanlon '12 Phoebe Palmer '14
Drexel University Drexel University Jason Sinclair '13 Molly Tarlofsky '12
Dragons Chris Myers '15 Melanie Musso '15
Fordham University Fordham University Alex Reynolds '14 Sarah Mckay '12
Rams Edward Titcomb '13 Alex Wiggins '13
George Washington University George Washington University Hussain Patel '13 Kaitlin Denny '14
Colonials Andrew Beckmann '15 Skye Kussman '13
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Louis Padnos '14 Michael Deady '14
Statesmen Alex Nugent '15 Tracy Doherty '15
Kean University Kean University Tyler Kennedy '12 Sarah Salter '12
Kean Jamie Lee Wasco '12 Emily Mccarthy '13
Monmouth University Monmouth University Paul Stevens '14 Shawn Diamond '13
Monmouth Matthew Marciano '14 Rachel Armstrong '14
Princeton University Princeton University Elizabeth Smith '14 Sam Heffernan '14
Tigers Dylan Ackermamn '14 Alexandra Macleod '14
Queen's University Queen's University Oliver Blake '13 Stacey Seymour '14
Gaels Spencer Stubbins '13 Gregory Harries '13
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Kevin Petrikas '13 Nathaniel Macdonald '13
Rensselaer Eddie Einhaus '13 Kenny Clausen '13
Rutgers University Rutgers University Tim Gorzelnik '14 Michelle Miltenberger '12
Rutgers Laine Meelheim '13 Nicholas Salandra '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Tyler Steel '13 Paige Conlin '14
Privateers Matthew Schoene '15 Nicole Kelly '12
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Gerard Tonachel '13 Anne Ryan '14
Stevens Christian Geary '14 Lara Paul '15
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Francois Conde-Jahn '13 Erin Hofstetter '14
Mariners 1 Connor Mcgowan '14 Noel Ingalls '15
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Andrew Bates '15 Timothy Broskus '15
Mariners 2 Padraig Loughlin '15 Shawn Wehking '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Devin Laviano '13 Chelsea Smith '14
Midshipmen Lukas Edegran '13 Alexandra Asuncion '15
Washington College Washington College Michael Whitford '12 [1-3]
Sam Fitzgerald '14 [4-8]		 Thomas Heist '15 [1-3]
Matt Lawler '13 [4-8]
Shoremen Dan Ricker '15 Paul Miller '14

Conditions — 10/22/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1018.0 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 13.2 kn
From WNW (290°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover57% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1018.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn · W 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kings Point: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →