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MAISA North #1 Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 12 16 28
2 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 22 39 61
3 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 36 58 94
4 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 30 70 100
5 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 56 48 104
6 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 54 61 115
7 Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 67 69 136
8 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 112 38 150
9 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 77 76 153
10 Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 80 83 163
11 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 95 94 189
12 Colgate University Colgate University Colgate 109 86 195
13 University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 100 139 239
14 University of Ottawa University of Ottawa University of Ottawa 139 101 240
15 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 128 113 241
16 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 110 134 244
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 12 Austen Anderson '12
Bridget Nannig '13
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 1 2 2 2 2 5 2 4 22 Shawn Murray '12
Morgan Keating '13
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 5 5 3 3 3 3 4 1 30 Alexander Sachs '12
Emma Pfohman '13
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 4 3 3 4 7 5 2 3 5 36 Philip Alley '12
Lindsey Ludwig '14
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 7 6 4 8 9 4 4 10 2 54 Melissa Bermudez '12
Mary Margaret Meehan '15
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 5 4 7 9 8 6 6 5 6 56 Arthur Bailey Iv '14
Samantha Sofge '14
Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 9 8 6 5 6 7 7 11 8 67 James Codega '14
Michael Larose '13
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 10 9 8 6 4 11 10 8 11 77 Clifton Kartner '15
Ira Carson '12
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 8 7 10 7 10 8 8 13 9 80 Eddie Einhaus '13
Kevin Petrikas '13
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 13 12 12 12 11 10 9 9 7 95 Nathan Fulcher '13
Kent Derbyshire '16
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 6 14 9 11 13 9 16 12 10 100 Danielle Sookiasian '15
Paul Sozio '14
Colgate University Colgate University Colgate DNF 13 14 10 12 13 11 7 12 109 Caroline Libby '14 [1-6]
Jeffrey Gordon '13 [7-9]
Hillary Karsten '12 [1-6]
Chase Jackson '13 [7-9]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 15 10 11 14 5 15 12 15 13 110 Edward Doran '15
Molly Tarlofsky '12
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 11 11 13 13 15 14 14 6 15 112 Jon Gambacorta '13 [1-2, 5-9]
Andrew Green '14 [3-4]
Melissa Eiffert '14 [1-2, 5-9]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 14 15 15 15 16 12 13 14 14 128 David Geer '13
Margaret Jones '14
University of Ottawa University of Ottawa University of Ottawa 12 DNF DNF 16 14 16 15 16 16 139 Erwan Dubois '14
Alexander St-Jacques '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 5 1 16 Johnny Norfleet '13
Jane Rew '14
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 4 5 3 5 6 7 2 3 3 38 Griffin Orr '15
Stephanie Rosenbaum '13
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 6 2 DSQ 2 3 1 3 1 4 39 Randall Hartranft '12
Emma Lamontagne '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 5 6 7 7 5 3 4 9 2 48 Robert Boger '13
Alison Griffith '15
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 7 4 4 12 4 12 8 5 58 Alden Sonnenfeldt '13
Juliet Levine '14
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 7 12 2 9 2 5 7 10 7 61 Irene Jacqz '13
Alison Rosenfeld '13
Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 1 3 9 8 9 13 9 6 11 69 Douglas Zangre '13 [1-6]
Dylan Froriep '15 [7-9]
Marc Smith '13 [1-6]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 12 10 8 12 4 9 5 2 8 70 Alex Reynolds '14
Sarah Mckay '12
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 9 4 10 10 8 11 10 4 10 76 Charles Legge '12
William Douglas '13
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 8 13 5 6 7 8 13 11 12 83 Lilian Neville '12
Catalina Sposato '15
Colgate University Colgate University Colgate 13 8 11 3 11 14 6 7 13 86 Morgan Beals '13 [1-9]
Lauren Radigan '13 [1-6]
Margaret Mcmullen '13 [7-9]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 14 15 6 14 10 6 8 15 6 94 Ian Hunt '13 [1-2]
John Handel '12 [3-9]
Cassaundra Hobbs '13 [1-2]
University of Ottawa University of Ottawa University of Ottawa 10 11 13 11 14 10 11 12 9 101 Alex Renaud '16
Camille Dubois '14
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 11 9 12 13 15 12 14 13 14 113 Lucas Holmes '15
Alec Kukharsky '14
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 15 16 15 16 13 15 15 14 15 134 Hunter Snyder '12 [1-9]
Andrew Cebulski '12 [1-6]
Reuben Krutz '14 [7-9]
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 16 14 14 15 16 16 16 16 16 139 Joe Franco '14 [1-6]
Colleen Blanton '14 [7-9]
Colleen Blanton '14 [1-4]
Julie Elliot '15 [5-9]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army113355779
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Buffalo15151133557
Colgate UniversityColgate University Colgate2216161414121210
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions3355779911
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red44221616141412
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons557799111113
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams664422161614
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen77991111131315
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners8866442216
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers991111131315151
University of OttawaUniversity of Ottawa University of Ottawa10108866442
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels111113131515113
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer141412121010886
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester1212101088664
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester1313151511335
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Webb Institute16161414121210108

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army2244668810
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Buffalo16162244668
Colgate UniversityColgate University Colgate111515131311119
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions446688101012
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red33111515131311
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons66881010121214
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams553311151513
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen8810101212141416
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners7755331115
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers10101212141416162
University of OttawaUniversity of Ottawa University of Ottawa997755331
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels121214141616224
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer1313111199775
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester11119977553
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester1414161622446
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Webb Institute151513131111997
School / Team SkipperCrew
Colgate University Colgate University Caroline Libby '14 [1-6]
Jeffrey Gordon '13 [7-9]		 Hillary Karsten '12 [1-6]
Chase Jackson '13 [7-9]
Colgate Morgan Beals '13 [1-9] Lauren Radigan '13 [1-6]
Margaret Mcmullen '13 [7-9]
Columbia University Columbia University Melissa Bermudez '12 Mary Margaret Meehan '15
Lions Irene Jacqz '13 Alison Rosenfeld '13
Cornell University Cornell University Philip Alley '12 Lindsey Ludwig '14
Big Red Alden Sonnenfeldt '13 Juliet Levine '14
Drexel University Drexel University Edward Doran '15 Molly Tarlofsky '12
Dragons Hunter Snyder '12 [1-9] Andrew Cebulski '12 [1-6]
Reuben Krutz '14 [7-9]
Fordham University Fordham University Alexander Sachs '12 Emma Pfohman '13
Rams Alex Reynolds '14 Sarah Mckay '12
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Austen Anderson '12 Bridget Nannig '13
Statesmen Johnny Norfleet '13 Jane Rew '14
Queen's University Queen's University Clifton Kartner '15 Ira Carson '12
Gaels Charles Legge '12 William Douglas '13
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Eddie Einhaus '13 Kevin Petrikas '13
Rensselaer Lilian Neville '12 Catalina Sposato '15
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Nathan Fulcher '13 Kent Derbyshire '16
Rochester Ian Hunt '13 [1-2]
John Handel '12 [3-9]		 Cassaundra Hobbs '13 [1-2]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Shawn Murray '12 Morgan Keating '13
Privateers Randall Hartranft '12 Emma Lamontagne '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Arthur Bailey Iv '14 Samantha Sofge '14
Mariners Robert Boger '13 Alison Griffith '15
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy David Geer '13 Margaret Jones '14
Army Lucas Holmes '15 Alec Kukharsky '14
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Jon Gambacorta '13 [1-2, 5-9]
Andrew Green '14 [3-4]		 Melissa Eiffert '14 [1-2, 5-9]
Buffalo Griffin Orr '15 Stephanie Rosenbaum '13
University of Ottawa University of Ottawa Erwan Dubois '14 Alexander St-Jacques '15
University of Ottawa Alex Renaud '16 Camille Dubois '14
University of Rochester University of Rochester Danielle Sookiasian '15 Paul Sozio '14
U. Rochester Joe Franco '14 [1-6]
Colleen Blanton '14 [7-9]		 Colleen Blanton '14 [1-4]
Julie Elliot '15 [5-9]
Webb Institute Webb Institute James Codega '14 Michael Larose '13
Webb Institute Douglas Zangre '13 [1-6]
Dylan Froriep '15 [7-9]		 Marc Smith '13 [1-6]

Conditions — 09/24/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1018.6 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.2 kn
Gusts to 9.9 kn
From NW (314°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine4.8 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1018.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 5 kn · SE 6 kn · SE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cornell: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.25 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cornell by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at Cornell).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →