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Stoney Burke JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 65 19 84
2 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 37 50 87
3 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 47 50 97
4 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 1 46 63 109
5 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 62 51 113
6 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 2 81 32 113
7 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 71 65 136
8 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 56 84 140
9 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 58 97 155
10 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 3 90 67 157
11 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 86 86 172
12 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 89 91 180
13 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 63 126 189
14 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 125 96 221
15 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 130 115 245
16 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 142 137 279
17 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 135 147 282
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 9 5 3 1 3 1 3 9 3 37 Cobi Allen '16
Noah Eckhous '15
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 1 3 7 4 8 8 9 1 1 5 46 Jacob Hiew '15
Lauren Rehbein '16
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 4 6 10 6 2 4 6 8 47 Sunny Scarbrough '17
Nicholas Santos '15
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 1 OCS OCS 2 10 2 2 1 56 Pravan Chugani '16
Taylor Dupont '17
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 5 6 5 7 1 12 15 3 4 58 Corey Lynch '17 [1-5]
William Antrobus '15 [6-9]
David Wiener '17 [1-5]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 4 11 1 3 9 8 6 13 7 62 Joseph Schiff '17
Sophie Williams '14
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 6 13 2 9 5 5 7 10 6 63 Kate Andersen '15 [1-9]
Paul Traverso '15 [1-2, 5-7]
Blake Terry '14 [3-4]
Philip Tagatac '17 [8-9]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 7 8 8 2 4 3 11 4 OCS 65 Grant Rickon '16
Gregory Coumes '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 11 2 10 5 11 7 9 5 11 71 Dylan Ale '15 [1-9]
Madeleine Fawcett '17 [1-5]
Monica De Lazzari '15 [6-9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 2 13 12 9 6 10 11 10 8 2 81 Eric Witte '17
Lauren Stefanowski '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 12 10 12 4 12 4 5 15 12 86 Brett Farrell '17
Jiachao Yang '15
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 8 3 11 OCS 13 6 8 12 10 89 Christina Stege '14 [1-9]
Lauren Orloff '16 [1-3]
Sarah Davis '14 [4-9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 3 10 9 7 11 7 13 17 7 9 90 Ian Markowitz '17 [1-5]
Ted Chavkin '14 [6-9]
Zachary Brown '17 [1-2, 5]
Greg Martin '15 [3-4]
Katheryn Bell '16 [6-9]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 16 15 14 14 15 14 12 11 14 125 Kip Wanaselja '16
Maille Kennedy '17
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 15 16 15 12 14 15 16 14 13 130 Kelsey Hoult '15 [1-9]
Nicholas Pratt '13 [1-5]
Alexandra Bischak '15 [6-9]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 14 14 13 13 DNF 17 14 17 15 135 Kimberly Alcorn '15
Skyler Selvin '17
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 17 17 16 15 16 16 13 16 16 142 Estella Wong '15
Natasha Jarett '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 1 1 2 3 2 2 5 1 BYE 19 Remy Margerum '17 [1-9]
Kevin Leddy '17 [1-2, 5-7]
Jordan Shelby '17 [3-4, 8-9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 2 3 2 7 7 3 1 2 3 4 32 Jennifer Hays '17 [1-5]
Saul Rosen '15 [6-9]
Helena Bugacov '17 [1-5]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 4 3 13 4 3 1 2 OCS 50 Tyler Webb '15
Laura Sadorf '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 5 3 5 8 12 5 3 6 3 50 Lucas Ryder '16
Alexandra Levine '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 6 7 6 11 5 4 6 5 1 51 Hayden Christensen '17
Ellen Gable '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 1 4 5 1 2 10 6 9 8 OCS 63 Joshua Goldberg '14 [1-4]
Dylan Skeffington '14 [5-9]
Sera Alptekin '16 [1-4]
Jake Delaney '16 [5-9]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 11 9 8 9 6 12 4 4 2 65 William Burke '13 [1-9]
Michael Whalen '15 [1-5]
Rachel Flanagan '14 [6-9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 3 7 10 10 4 7 9 7 7 6 67 Kelly Goodman '14 [1-5]
Tyler Hogan '17 [6-9]
Samantha Marsland '15 [1-2, 5]
Ben Hightower '14 [3-4]
Ian Markowitz '17 [6-9]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 14 13 11 6 1 7 10 17 5 84 Brandon Yuen '14 [1-9]
Miranda Yearous '17 [1-4, 6]
Aditya Radhakrishna '17 [5]
Avery Regen '16 [7]
Meir Razzon '16 [8-9]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 9 17 4 1 16 11 11 10 7 86 Christopher Keefe '14
Alex Sinclair '16
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 8 6 OCS 10 8 8 8 13 12 91 Parker Smith '17 [1-9]
Levi Matsushima '17 [1-3, 6-9]
Bradley Green '16 [4-5]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 10 11 9 5 13 14 13 12 9 96 Patrick Boyden '14
Georgia Cottong '14
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 13 8 12 12 9 10 14 9 10 97 Jackson Pentith '17
Landen Scott '17
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 12 14 14 15 11 15 12 11 11 115 Annalisa Smullin '15 [1-5]
Robert Arlen '14 [6-9]
Mary Garnich '15 [1-5]
Aria Sabeti '14 [6-9]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 16 12 13 14 14 13 15 15 14 126 Ellen Suder '16 [1-9]
Mahmoud Sherif '15 [1-5]
Blake Terry '14 [6-9]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 15 16 16 16 15 16 16 14 13 137 Ryan Wilkerson '14
Alexandra Labouff '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 17 15 15 17 DNF 17 17 16 15 147 Jonas Sota '15
Daniel Allen '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 1242424242424242424
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 2123123123123123123123123123
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 3241241241241241241241241241
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers101101101101101101101101101
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers888888888
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters121212121212121212
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos111111111
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans371371371371371371371371371
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 1471471471471471471471471471
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 2148148148148148148148148148
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters262626262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins272727272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1131131131131131131131131131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2132132132132132132132132132
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3130130130130130130130130130
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's343434343434343434

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 1242424242424242424
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 2123123123123123123123123123
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 3241241241241241241241241241
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers101101101101101101101101101
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers888888888
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters121212121212121212
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos111111111
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans371371371371371371371371371
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 1471471471471471471471471471
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 2148148148148148148148148148
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters262626262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins272727272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1131131131131131131131131131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2132132132132132132132132132
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3130130130130130130130130130
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's343434343434343434
School / Team SkipperCrew
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Corey Lynch '17 [1-5]
William Antrobus '15 [6-9]		 David Wiener '17 [1-5]
Keelhaulers Jackson Pentith '17 Landen Scott '17
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Sunny Scarbrough '17 Nicholas Santos '15
49ers Tyler Webb '15 Laura Sadorf '15
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Christina Stege '14 [1-9] Lauren Orloff '16 [1-3]
Sarah Davis '14 [4-9]
Otters Parker Smith '17 [1-9] Levi Matsushima '17 [1-3, 6-9]
Bradley Green '16 [4-5]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Dylan Ale '15 [1-9] Madeleine Fawcett '17 [1-5]
Monica De Lazzari '15 [6-9]
Broncos William Burke '13 [1-9] Michael Whalen '15 [1-5]
Rachel Flanagan '14 [6-9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Jacob Hiew '15 Lauren Rehbein '16
Golden Bears 1 Joshua Goldberg '14 [1-4]
Dylan Skeffington '14 [5-9]		 Sera Alptekin '16 [1-4]
Jake Delaney '16 [5-9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Eric Witte '17 Lauren Stefanowski '17
Golden Bears 2 Jennifer Hays '17 [1-5]
Saul Rosen '15 [6-9]		 Helena Bugacov '17 [1-5]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Ian Markowitz '17 [1-5]
Ted Chavkin '14 [6-9]		 Zachary Brown '17 [1-2, 5]
Greg Martin '15 [3-4]
Katheryn Bell '16 [6-9]
Golden Bears 3 Kelly Goodman '14 [1-5]
Tyler Hogan '17 [6-9]		 Samantha Marsland '15 [1-2, 5]
Ben Hightower '14 [3-4]
Ian Markowitz '17 [6-9]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Estella Wong '15 Natasha Jarett '14
Aggies 1 Ryan Wilkerson '14 Alexandra Labouff '15
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Kelsey Hoult '15 [1-9] Nicholas Pratt '13 [1-5]
Alexandra Bischak '15 [6-9]
Aggies 2 Annalisa Smullin '15 [1-5]
Robert Arlen '14 [6-9]		 Mary Garnich '15 [1-5]
Aria Sabeti '14 [6-9]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Kate Andersen '15 [1-9] Paul Traverso '15 [1-2, 5-7]
Blake Terry '14 [3-4]
Philip Tagatac '17 [8-9]
Anteaters Ellen Suder '16 [1-9] Mahmoud Sherif '15 [1-5]
Blake Terry '14 [6-9]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Kimberly Alcorn '15 Skyler Selvin '17
Bruins Jonas Sota '15 Daniel Allen '15
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Brett Farrell '17 Jiachao Yang '15
Tritons Christopher Keefe '14 Alex Sinclair '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Grant Rickon '16 Gregory Coumes '17
Gauchos 1 Remy Margerum '17 [1-9] Kevin Leddy '17 [1-2, 5-7]
Jordan Shelby '17 [3-4, 8-9]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Joseph Schiff '17 Sophie Williams '14
Gauchos 2 Hayden Christensen '17 Ellen Gable '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Cobi Allen '16 Noah Eckhous '15
Gauchos 3 Lucas Ryder '16 Alexandra Levine '16
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Kip Wanaselja '16 Maille Kennedy '17
Banana Slug's Patrick Boyden '14 Georgia Cottong '14
University of Southern California University of Southern California Pravan Chugani '16 Taylor Dupont '17
Trojans Brandon Yuen '14 [1-9] Miranda Yearous '17 [1-4, 6]
Aditya Radhakrishna '17 [5]
Avery Regen '16 [7]
Meir Razzon '16 [8-9]

Conditions — 10/19/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 40%  ·  Pressure 1017.2 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.6 kn
avg  ·  max 4.5 kn
Gusts to 11.3 kn
From NNW (330°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover12% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity40% Pressure1017.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn · W 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Berkeley: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Berkeley by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Berkeley).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →