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Pere Marquette Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 18 13 31
2 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 13 24 37
3 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 28 10 38
4 University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 41 35 76
5 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 36 43 79
6 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Black 34 47 81
7 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Gold 54 36 90
8 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 50 52 102
9 Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 51 63 114
10 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 64 74 138
11 Lawrence University Lawrence University Vikings 72 73 145
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 1 5 2 1 1 2 13 Isabella Hamilton '17
Michael Capper '15
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 3 2 3 1 3 2 4 18 James Sitter '17 [1-7]
Mason Engnes '17 [1-4]
Korina Hendricks '17 [5-7]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 2 3 6 6 7 3 1 28 Nathan Jamieson '17
Ryan Stowe '17
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Black 4 4 4 5 5 5 7 34 Isak Peterson '15
Hannah Girard '18
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 8 8 1 7 4 BYE 3 36 Ryan Clulo '18
Andre Demarinis '17
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 6 6 8 3 6 4 8 41 Brenden Jacobs '16
Jean-Philippe Backman '18
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 5 7 9 10 8 6 5 50 David Mirkhaef '15
Jessica Moster '19
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 7 10 10 9 2 7 6 51 No Show [1-4]
David Gates '16 [5-7]
Benjamin Diamond '18 [1-4]
Hazel Foster '16 [5-7]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Gold 9 9 2 8 9 8 9 54 Christopher Ponsonby '17 [1-7]
Nicole Schmitz '16 [1-4, 6-7]
Tom Firmin '16 [5]
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One DNS 5 7 4 DNS DNS DNS 64 Joel Florek '15
Courtney Castelic '15
Lawrence University Lawrence University Vikings 10 11 11 11 10 9 10 72 Carl Byers '14 [1-7]
Thomas Chesnutt '14 [1-5]
Emily Hunt '18 [6-7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 10 Andrea Sullivan '18
Iain Gedrose '17
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 3 1 2 3 2 1 1 13 David Meyerson '15
Joey Feichtmeier '18
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 4 3 4 2 5 3 3 24 Eric Villadsen '17
Ethan Holdahl '16
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 5 5 5 5 3 5 7 35 Taylor Valentor '16
Adam Oplustil '15
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Gold 2 8 7 6 4 4 5 36 Autumn Morden '15 [1-4]
Andre Deriaz '18 [5-7]
Brittni Begale '16 [1-4]
Emily Reinhard '18 [5-7]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 7 6 3 4 8 6 9 43 No Show [1-4]
Owen Bradley '18 [5-7]
Arjun Sirsh '09 [1-4]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Black 6 4 6 7 9 7 8 47 Hannah Noll '15 [1-7]
Cole Meller '17 [1-4]
Anthony Tieso '17 [5-7]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 8 7 9 8 6 8 6 52 Mark Hurt '18
Aspasia Padgiotis '18
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 9 10 DNF DNF 7 9 4 63 Cortney Kingsley '18 [1-4]
No Show [5-7]
No Show [1-4]
James Hoover '11 [5-7]
Lawrence University Lawrence University Vikings 10 11 10 10 10 10 DNF 73 Ariel Worley '17
Regina Cornish '15
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One DNF 9 8 9 DNS DNS DNS 74 Maggie Kloote '15
Abigail Skibowski '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames20202323383851
Lawrence UniversityLawrence University Vikings442020232338
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles515181814164164094
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One1144202023
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers23233838515181
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats818141641640944094
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers383851518181416
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Black409440941
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Gold114420
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 141641640944094
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 2114

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames20202323383851
Lawrence UniversityLawrence University Vikings442020232338
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles515181814164164094
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One1144202023
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers23233838515181
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats818141641640944094
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers383851518181416
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Black409440941
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Gold114420
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 141641640944094
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 2114
School / Team SkipperCrew
Lawrence University Lawrence University Carl Byers '14 [1-7] Thomas Chesnutt '14 [1-5]
Emily Hunt '18 [6-7]
Vikings Ariel Worley '17 Regina Cornish '15
Marquette University Marquette University Ryan Clulo '18 Andre Demarinis '17
Golden Eagles No Show [1-4]
Owen Bradley '18 [5-7]		 Arjun Sirsh '09 [1-4]
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Joel Florek '15 Courtney Castelic '15
Husky One Maggie Kloote '15 Abigail Skibowski '16
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University No Show [1-4]
David Gates '16 [5-7]		 Benjamin Diamond '18 [1-4]
Hazel Foster '16 [5-7]
Wildcats Cortney Kingsley '18 [1-4]
No Show [5-7]		 No Show [1-4]
James Hoover '11 [5-7]
Purdue University Purdue University David Mirkhaef '15 Jessica Moster '19
Boilermakers Mark Hurt '18 Aspasia Padgiotis '18
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Brenden Jacobs '16 Jean-Philippe Backman '18
Flames Taylor Valentor '16 Adam Oplustil '15
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Isabella Hamilton '17 Michael Capper '15
Gophers Eric Villadsen '17 Ethan Holdahl '16
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Nathan Jamieson '17 Ryan Stowe '17
Badgers 1 Andrea Sullivan '18 Iain Gedrose '17
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin James Sitter '17 [1-7] Mason Engnes '17 [1-4]
Korina Hendricks '17 [5-7]
Badgers 2 David Meyerson '15 Joey Feichtmeier '18
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Isak Peterson '15 Hannah Girard '18
Black Hannah Noll '15 [1-7] Cole Meller '17 [1-4]
Anthony Tieso '17 [5-7]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Christopher Ponsonby '17 [1-7] Nicole Schmitz '16 [1-4, 6-7]
Tom Firmin '16 [5]
Gold Autumn Morden '15 [1-4]
Andre Deriaz '18 [5-7]		 Brittni Begale '16 [1-4]
Emily Reinhard '18 [5-7]

Conditions — 10/04/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 87%  ·  Pressure 1000.1 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 45°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 36°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.3 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 22.2 kn
From NW (321°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine3.1 hrs Humidity87% Pressure1000.1 hPa Rain0.18 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 11 kn · SW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Marquette: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.33 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Marquette by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 13 labelled days at Marquette, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →