Webb Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 27 21 48
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 38 30 68
3 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 36 35 71
4 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 35 39 74
5 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 58 70 128
6 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 71 60 131
7 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 79 82 161
8 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 89 95 184
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 2 1 1 3 3 4 2 4 2 1 1 3 27 Veronica Maccari '17
Cristina Ortiz Vivas '18
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 3 2 4 4 1 1 4 2 5 3 2 4 35 Xander Van Beurden '18
Kaitlin Welker '17
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 4 5 2 4 5 3 1 1 4 4 2 36 Nathan Fields '17
Anne Van Der Sangen '18
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 6 3 2 1 6 2 1 5 4 2 5 1 38 Patrick Tara '17
Kira Allen '18
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 4 5 7 6 2 3 6 3 6 6 3 7 58 David Rogers '15
James Stonecypher '18
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 5 6 6 5 8 8 7 6 3 5 7 5 71 Casey Firth '15 [1-5]
Callie Hern '18 [6-12]
Callie Hern '18 [1-5]
Casey Firth '15 [6-12]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe DNF 7 3 7 5 7 5 8 8 8 6 6 79 Patrick Firth '17
Abraham Kruger '17
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 7 8 8 8 7 6 8 7 7 7 8 8 89 Benjamin Hayes '16
Grace Bule '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 2 2 2 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 21 Maximilian Kuester '18
Joshua Williams '16
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 1 3 1 1 2 2 4 3 5 2 2 30 Greer Wattson '17
Elizabeth Dennison '17
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 3 1 2 4 5 4 2 2 4 3 4 35 Alec Chicoine '18
Molly Sternberg '17
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 3 4 4 5 3 3 3 3 4 2 4 1 39 Austin Powers '17 [1-2]
Amanda Attardi '17 [3-12]
Hanna Halleck-Pinkleton '18 [1-2]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 5 5 5 3 6 4 5 6 7 3 5 6 60 Colleen Roney '18
Fritz Steuer '18
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 6 8 6 5 6 6 5 5 6 6 5 70 Kara Wheeler '18
Zane Smith '16
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 7 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 7 82 Amanda Castagna '15
Jordan Sisco '18
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 8 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 95 Christopher Stickle '15
Katherine Roberts '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains111122223333
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates222211118888
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack333344445555
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs444433332222
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks555566667777
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos666655554444
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies777788881111
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe888877776666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains111122223333
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates222211118888
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack333344445555
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs444433332222
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks555566667777
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos666655554444
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies777788881111
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe888877776666

Conditions — 10/25/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1013.3 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.3 kn
avg  ·  max 5.2 kn
Gusts to 11.1 kn
From WNW (293°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1013.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 4 kn · N 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christopher Newport: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christopher Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Christopher Newport).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →