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Colony Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 12 15 27
2 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 29 38 67
3 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 52 26 78
4 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 55 53 108
5 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 59 50 109
6 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 45 67 112
7 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 62 60 122
8 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 67 70 137
9 William and Mary William and Mary Griffin 95 73 168
10 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 90 111 201
11 St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 109 104 213
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 12 Maximilian Kuester '18
Giuditta Di Laghi '16
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 2 2 3 3 3 7 2 3 2 2 29 Raymond Bay '17
Katherine Roberts '18
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 7 5 2 1 11 6 3 2 4 4 45 No Show
No Show
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 6 4 8 8 6 3 5 6 3 3 52 Samara Leith '19 [1-10]
Christian Denmark '19 [1-4]
Laura Kilgore '17 [5-10]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 4 3 5 5 8 4 7 4 9 6 55 Samuel Haksteen '17
Tina Nassehi '17
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 3 8 7 4 5 5 8 7 5 7 59 Cody Murphy '17
Gaura Mudgal '18
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 5 6 9 6 7 8 4 5 7 5 62 Rachel Pinkham '16 [1-6]
Elizabeth Ransone '18 [7-10]
Audrey Fulk '19 [1-6]
Ye Hyun (Anna) Seo '18 [7-10]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 11 DNS 4 7 2 1 6 8 6 9 67 Andrew Bobbitt '18 [1-8]
Zachary Thomas '18 [9-10]
Maximilian Elefson '16 [1-8]
Conor Waller '16 [9-10]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 8 7 6 10 4 9 10 10 DNF DNS 90 Turner Labrie '18 [1-8]
Georgia Adam '17 [9-10]
Ann Liu '18 [1-8]
William and Mary William and Mary Griffin 9 9 10 9 9 10 9 9 DNS 8 95 Kallie Brown '16 [1-6]
Patrick Mazzeo '18 [7-10]
Erin O'Connell '17 [1-6]
Tyler Skelton '19 [7-10]
St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 10 DNF 11 11 10 11 11 BYE 8 DNS 109 Catherine White '16 [1-10]
Gene Jerskey '18 [1-2, 9-10]
Madeline Edwards '19 [3-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 1 1 1 1 3 3 1 1 1 2 15 Luca Taglialegne '20
Elisabeth Kuester '19
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 3 3 2 2 2 5 2 3 3 1 26 Benjamin Kempton '18 [1-10]
Matteo Murrelle '19 [1-6]
Hanna Halleck-Pinkleton '18 [7-10]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 7 2 3 4 1 7 4 5 2 3 38 Nathan Gibson '19
Benjamin Hayes '16
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 5 6 7 3 5 6 3 6 5 4 50 Brendan Brown-Mccue '16
No Show
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 4 5 5 7 6 2 5 4 6 9 53 Nathan Thompson '17
Ben Fosbaugh '17
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 2 4 8 8 4 1 8 9 8 8 60 Liam Farrell '18 [1-6]
Kenneth Preston '19 [7-10]
Tyler Skelton '19 [1-6]
Hannah O'Neil '18 [7-10]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 6 8 6 9 7 8 6 7 4 6 67 Sarah Culp '17
Sarah Darr '17
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 8 7 4 6 8 4 9 8 9 7 70 Derek Thompson '18 [1-10]
Meghan Harrington '18 [1-6]
Sydney Robinson '18 [7-8]
Theo Leasca '18 [9-10]
William and Mary William and Mary Griffin 9 9 10 5 10 9 7 2 7 5 73 Samuel Davey '17 [1-6]
Adriane Tomovic '19 [7-8]
Patrick Firth '17 [9-10]
Anna Kugler '19 [1-6]
Audrey Fulk '19 [7-8]
Emily Meehan '17 [9-10]
St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 11 10 9 10 11 10 10 10 10 DNS 104 Jack Cooper '18
Thaddia Montione '19
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 10 11 11 11 9 11 11 11 DNS DNS 111 Ronnie Calkins '18 [1-10]
Georgia Adam '17 [1-4]
Thomas Weidner V '19 [5-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains2233445566
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates3344556677
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps8899101011111212
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers9910101111121211
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions5566778899
St. John's CollegeSt. John's College Johnnies77889910101111
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves667788991010
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1010111112121122
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies11111212112233
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Griffin121211223344
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe4455667788

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains2233445566
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates3344556677
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps8899101011111212
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers9910101111121211
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions5566778899
St. John's CollegeSt. John's College Johnnies77889910101111
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves667788991010
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1010111112121122
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies11111212112233
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Griffin121211223344
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe4455667788
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Samara Leith '19 [1-10] Christian Denmark '19 [1-4]
Laura Kilgore '17 [5-10]
Captains Benjamin Kempton '18 [1-10] Matteo Murrelle '19 [1-6]
Hanna Halleck-Pinkleton '18 [7-10]
Hampton University Hampton University Maximilian Kuester '18 Giuditta Di Laghi '16
Pirates Luca Taglialegne '20 Elisabeth Kuester '19
Penn State University Penn State University No Show No Show
Nittany Lions Sarah Culp '17 Sarah Darr '17
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Cody Murphy '17 Gaura Mudgal '18
Seawolves Brendan Brown-Mccue '16 No Show
St. John's College St. John's College Catherine White '16 [1-10] Gene Jerskey '18 [1-2, 9-10]
Madeline Edwards '19 [3-8]
Johnnies Jack Cooper '18 Thaddia Montione '19
University of Maryland University of Maryland Andrew Bobbitt '18 [1-8]
Zachary Thomas '18 [9-10]		 Maximilian Elefson '16 [1-8]
Conor Waller '16 [9-10]
Terps Derek Thompson '18 [1-10] Meghan Harrington '18 [1-6]
Sydney Robinson '18 [7-8]
Theo Leasca '18 [9-10]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Samuel Haksteen '17 Tina Nassehi '17
Retrievers Nathan Thompson '17 Ben Fosbaugh '17
University of Virginia University of Virginia Turner Labrie '18 [1-8]
Georgia Adam '17 [9-10]		 Ann Liu '18 [1-8]
Wahoos Ronnie Calkins '18 [1-10] Georgia Adam '17 [1-4]
Thomas Weidner V '19 [5-10]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Raymond Bay '17 Katherine Roberts '18
Hokies Nathan Gibson '19 Benjamin Hayes '16
William and Mary William and Mary Kallie Brown '16 [1-6]
Patrick Mazzeo '18 [7-10]		 Erin O'Connell '17 [1-6]
Tyler Skelton '19 [7-10]
Griffin Samuel Davey '17 [1-6]
Adriane Tomovic '19 [7-8]
Patrick Firth '17 [9-10]		 Anna Kugler '19 [1-6]
Audrey Fulk '19 [7-8]
Emily Meehan '17 [9-10]
William and Mary William and Mary Rachel Pinkham '16 [1-6]
Elizabeth Ransone '18 [7-10]		 Audrey Fulk '19 [1-6]
Ye Hyun (Anna) Seo '18 [7-10]
Tribe Liam Farrell '18 [1-6]
Kenneth Preston '19 [7-10]		 Tyler Skelton '19 [1-6]
Hannah O'Neil '18 [7-10]

Conditions — 09/26/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌧️Slight rain
Humidity 90%  ·  Pressure 1024.0 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.4 kn
avg  ·  max 13.8 kn
Gusts to 27.4 kn
From ENE (68°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine0.6 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1024.0 hPa Rain0.50 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 14 kn · E 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at William and Mary: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.28 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at William and Mary by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 10 labelled days at William and Mary, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →