NE Fall Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 21 19 40
2 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 13 28 41
3 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 48 19 67
4 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 35 36 71
5 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 23 48 71
6 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 67 43 110
7 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 64 49 113
8 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 73 52 125
9 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 53 77 130
10 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 64 78 142
11 Providence College Providence College Friars 68 80 148
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 3 13 Ben Brown '18
Alden Cowap '17
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 3 7 3 2 1 2 1 21 Frank Reeg '19
Sergio Gratta '18
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 4 1 2 1 3 4 4 4 23 John Cappetta '16
Connor Cahill '17
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 3 10 6 4 4 3 3 2 35 Mete Sayin '17
Catherine Ross '16
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 6 5 4 6 5 5 5 DSQ 48 Emmet Todd '17
Kendall Young '17
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 8 4 5 8 10 6 6 6 53 Noah Brayer '18
Jeremy Allen '18
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 5 7 8 9 8 10 9 8 64 Kelsey Martins '16 [1-6]
Kelsey Delosh '17 [7-8]
Shannon Mckeown '18 [1-6]
Courtney Grippin '17 [7-8]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 7 6 3 5 11 11 11 10 64 Abe Kipnis '18
Owen Sullivan '19
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 9 8 9 7 7 8 10 9 67 Liam Shanahan '18
Andrew Gregory '18
Providence College Providence College Friars 11 11 10 11 6 7 7 5 68 Maxwell Seferian '18 [1-4]
Tristan Janowicz '16 [5-8]
No Show [1-4]
Kevin Lynch '19 [5-8]
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 10 9 11 10 9 9 8 7 73 Rebecca Rutkiewicz '19
Christin Ashley '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 2 3 4 5 1 1 2 19 Ryan Gershuny '18
Daniel Lee '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 1 5 1 1 5 3 1 19 Jeffrey Adam '18
Jacqualynn Devore '19
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 6 3 1 2 2 2 7 5 28 Meghan Colwell '16
Sarah Scott '17
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 4 4 4 6 4 7 4 3 36 Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer '19
Holden Koivu '18
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 8 5 2 5 3 4 8 8 43 Frank Egan '18
Alex Deneault '18
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 7 6 7 7 7 8 2 4 48 Amy Macdonald '18
Jonathan Gougelet '16
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 3 7 8 9 6 3 6 7 49 Nathaniel Barton '18
Monika Iwasaki '17
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 5 10 9 3 8 6 5 6 52 Justin Tedeschi '18
Brian Reilly '16
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 10 8 11 8 9 9 10 DNF 77 Amelia Vinciguerra '17 [1-4]
Molly Gallagher '17 [5-8]
Savannah Kangas '19 [1-4]
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 9 9 6 11 11 11 11 10 78 Hanna Desilets '17 [1-8]
Courtney Grippin '17 [1-6]
Phoung Pham '17 [7-8]
Providence College Providence College Friars 11 11 10 10 10 10 9 9 80 Brian Cain '18 [1-4]
John Coulter '16 [5-8]
Timothy Moore '19 [1-4]
Kohl Peasley '19 [5-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats11335577
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst7799111122
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers22446688
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds33557799
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers4466881010
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats9911112244
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars5577991111
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers6688101011
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs8810101133
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1010113355
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech1111224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats22446688
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst8810101133
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers33557799
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds4466881010
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers5577991111
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1010113355
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars6688101011
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers7799111122
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs9911112244
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1111224466
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech11335577

Conditions — 10/31/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1021.4 hPa

Temperature

45°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 35°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.2 kn
avg  ·  max 3.9 kn
Gusts to 11.5 kn
From SSW (214°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover52% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1021.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn · S 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.24 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →