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Edward Teach Memorial

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 1 55
2 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 1 85
3 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 2 128
4 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 160
5 Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls 202
6 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 2 203
7 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 220
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 1 A 1 10 1 3 1 1 1 1 3 3 25 Maximilian Kuester '18
Dario Abou Rjeili '20
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 1 A 2 2 5 2 3 4 4 2 1 2 27 Colin Suvak '19
Colleen Roney '18
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 1 B 4 1 2 1 2 2 5 6 6 1 30 Luca Taglialegne '20
Elisabeth Kuester '19
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 2 A 5 5 4 5 4 3 3 3 4 4 40 Victor Layne '20 [1-10]
Alexander Knoop '20 [1-4]
Dorothy Stump '18 [5-10]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 1 B 3 3 3 7 5 6 9 9 5 8 58 Jillian Ticatch '21
Katie Purcell '20
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 2 A 10 4 10 8 DNS 9 2 4 2 5 69 Filip Stevanovic '20
Mercedes Matlock '20
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe A 6 6 9 10 9 7 6 5 7 10 75 Patrick Mazzeo '18
Charles Neff '20
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies A 7 9 11 9 8 8 8 7 10 7 84
Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls A 11 7 6 11 6 10 7 11 9 6 84 Simon Timmerman '16
Kendall Krach '18
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe B 9 11 7 4 10 5 11 8 8 12 85 Connor Chapin '20
Dillon Coppersmith '20
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 2 B 8 8 8 6 7 11 10 10 11 9 88 Katarina Catallo '20 [1-4]
Alexander Knoop '20 [5-10]
Dorothy Stump '18 [1-4]
Katarina Catallo '20 [5-10]
Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls B 12 12 12 12 11 12 12 12 12 11 118 Thomas Burley '19
Alex Hartwell '19
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 2 B 13 13 14 14 DNS 13 13 13 13 13 134 Khari Parrish '20
Lance Sharpe '20
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies B 14 14 13 13 12 14 14 14 14 14 136
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates 11122334455
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates 22233445566
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Seagulls3344556677
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos 14455667788
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos 25566778899
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies667788991010
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe77889910101111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates 18899101011111212
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates 2991010111112121313
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Seagulls10101111121213131414
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos 1111112121313141411
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos 21212131314141122
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies13131414112233
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe141411223344

Conditions — 09/02/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 88%  ·  Pressure 1016.8 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.4 kn
Gusts to 26.0 kn
From S (176°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine0.5 hrs Humidity88% Pressure1016.8 hPa Rain0.15 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn* · SW 14 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hampton: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hampton by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (26 labelled days at Hampton).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →