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Frosh/Soph

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 18 27 45
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 40 37 77
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 66 15 81
4 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 28 60 88
5 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 30 68 98
6 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 59 39 98
7 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 68 49 117
8 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 53 69 122
9 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 48 MRP 102 MRP 150 MRP
10 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 95 72 167
11 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 99 76 175
12 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 90 95 185
13 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 96 91 187
14 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 78 113 191
15 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 127 90 217
16 Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 133 MRP 129 MRP 262 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 1 3 1 1 1 5 1 5 18 Hayden Potter '20
Farzana Mohamedali '20
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 5 2 5 4 7 1 3 1 28 Nathaniel Gordon '20
Avery Wolf '21
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 2 4 2 5 3 10 2 2 30 Karl Skeel '20
Cora Knauss '18
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 4 5 4 3 2 8 4 10 40 Chloe Dawson '20
Camille Ottaway '20
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 1 3 2 4 4 7 4 48 MRP Crystal Song '19
Natalie Benoit '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 7 6 6 12 12 2 5 3 53 Audrey Prewitt '20
Emily Hammond '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 6 13 8 6 8 3 6 9 59 Lukas Koch '21
David Goede '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 9 9 7 8 6 7 12 8 66 Ezekiel Ward '20
Jordanne Johnson '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 8 7 12 9 5 9 11 7 68 Chandler Sharp '19
Giancarlo Defrancesco '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 11 10 9 11 11 6 8 12 78 Charlotte Clark '21
Shawna Eggleston '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 12 15 10 7 13 13 14 6 90 Noah Salmen-Hartley '21
Nigel Fletcher '21
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 13 14 15 10 9 11 10 13 95 Arthur Jenkins '21
Arthur Jenkins '19
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 10 12 14 15 10 12 9 14 96 Danielle Dow '20 [1-8]
Andrew Wilkinson '18 [1-2]
Hannah Norum '18 [3-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 14 8 11 14 14 14 13 11 99 Carter Dojan '20
Madelyn Carr '20
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 16 16 16 16 16 15 16 16 127 Emily Burns '20
Arielle Names '20
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 15 11 13 13 15 16 15 15 133 MRP Sally Goldman '20
Ben Green '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 2 3 3 2 1 1 2 1 15 Max Van Dam '20
Emily Tan '20
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 4 1 1 1 2 4 7 7 27 Austin Hauter '21
Blake Winner '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 1 2 4 8 3 9 4 6 37 Marijke Jorna '21
Sandy Rost '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 3 6 2 3 5 13 3 4 39 Steven Dieleman '20
Julien Roberts '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 8 10 9 4 6 8 1 3 49 Kate Chandler '21
Amber Crabb '20
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 9 9 5 9 8 5 13 2 60 Ian Wolcott '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Audrey Jacobs '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Elizabeth Landefeld '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Connor Hughes '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 7 4 10 5 13 3 14 12 68 Yinjin Maile '21
Kristan Lund '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 10 5 14 13 9 2 6 10 69 Bay Whitney '21
Fiona Mcbride '21
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 12 13 8 6 4 6 12 11 72 Anny Schmidt '21
Arthur Jenkins '19
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 5 7 12 7 10 11 9 15 76 Benjamin Morasch '20
Yumi-Shika Shridhar '20
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 14 15 6 14 12 10 11 8 90 Marelie Vorster '20
Keevan Tallon '21
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 11 8 7 12 15 12 10 16 91 Kyle Padgett '21
Nick Drachnik '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 DNS DNS DNS DNS 7 7 8 5 95 Lukas Koch '21
David Goede '21
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 6 12 13 10 11 16 5 9 102 MRP Erez Buyukyilmaz '21
Callanish Hawthorne '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 13 14 11 15 16 15 16 13 113 Gillian Craig '20
Emma Reynolds '21
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 15 11 15 11 14 14 15 14 129 MRP Sally Goldman '20
Ben Green '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds88888888
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers77777777
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 28686868686868686
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 38282828282828282

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds88888888
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers77777777
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 28686868686868686
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 38282828282828282
School / Team SkipperCrew
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Sally Goldman '20 Ben Green '20
Pioneers Sally Goldman '20 Ben Green '20
Oregon State University Oregon State University Danielle Dow '20 [1-8] Andrew Wilkinson '18 [1-2]
Hannah Norum '18 [3-8]
Beavers Kyle Padgett '21 Nick Drachnik '20
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Crystal Song '19 Natalie Benoit '20
UBC Thunderbirds Erez Buyukyilmaz '21 Callanish Hawthorne '20
University of Oregon University of Oregon Emily Burns '20 Arielle Names '20
Ducks Marelie Vorster '20 Keevan Tallon '21
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Arthur Jenkins '21 Arthur Jenkins '19
Loggers Anny Schmidt '21 Arthur Jenkins '19
University of Victoria University of Victoria Charlotte Clark '21 Shawna Eggleston '21
Vikes 1 Gillian Craig '20 Emma Reynolds '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Lukas Koch '21 David Goede '21
Vikes 2 Steven Dieleman '20 Julien Roberts '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Noah Salmen-Hartley '21 Nigel Fletcher '21
Vikes 3 Lukas Koch '21 David Goede '21
University of Washington University of Washington Nathaniel Gordon '20 Avery Wolf '21
Huskies 1 Ian Wolcott '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Audrey Jacobs '18 [3-4, 7-8]		 Elizabeth Landefeld '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Connor Hughes '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Washington University of Washington Karl Skeel '20 Cora Knauss '18
Huskies 2 Yinjin Maile '21 Kristan Lund '20
University of Washington University of Washington Hayden Potter '20 Farzana Mohamedali '20
Huskies 3 Austin Hauter '21 Blake Winner '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Ezekiel Ward '20 Jordanne Johnson '21
Vikings 1 Max Van Dam '20 Emily Tan '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Chloe Dawson '20 Camille Ottaway '20
Vikings 2 Marijke Jorna '21 Sandy Rost '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Chandler Sharp '19 Giancarlo Defrancesco '21
Vikings 3 Kate Chandler '21 Amber Crabb '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Carter Dojan '20 Madelyn Carr '20
Vikings 4 Benjamin Morasch '20 Yumi-Shika Shridhar '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Audrey Prewitt '20 Emily Hammond '20
Vikings 5 Bay Whitney '21 Fiona Mcbride '21

Conditions — 11/04/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1015.1 hPa

Temperature

35°F
↑ 36°F   ↓ 33°F
Feels like 29°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.6 kn
avg  ·  max 3.7 kn
Gusts to 10.9 kn
From SE (129°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine1.0 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1015.1 hPa Rain0.02 in Snow0.14 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn* · N 6 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Western Washington: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Western Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (23 labelled days at Western Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →