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Pere Marquette

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 21 26 47
2 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 29 34 63
3 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 26 39 65
4 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 40 30 70
5 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 42 39 81
6 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 2 75 66 141
7 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 80 74 154
8 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 1 69 89 158
9 Marquette University Marquette University Silver Eagles 94 81 175
10 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 87 90 177
11 Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 98 94 192
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 3 1 4 1 1 1 3 1 2 4 21 Tom Groskopf '19 [1-10]
Katharine Madigan '20 [1-8]
Connor Sawyers '18 [9-10]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 5 3 3 2 5 2 1 2 1 2 26 Patrick Schmidt '22
Jack Barnes '21
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 2 5 1 4 2 4 4 3 3 1 29 Jack Behrend '20 [1-10]
Susie Voltz '19 [1-8]
Simon Wolfrum '21 [9-10]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 4 4 8 5 3 3 2 4 4 3 40 Cailin Oakes '18
Bailey Adkins '19
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 2 2 6 4 6 5 5 6 5 42 Bobby Sessions '20 [1-8]
Learon Mcginn '19 [9-10]
Ava Hill '20 [1-4]
Learon Mcginn '19 [5-8]
Frank Mazur '20 [9-10]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 1 7 6 5 9 6 9 6 8 7 6 69 Mark Hurt '18
Jessica Moster '19
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 2 6 8 6 3 7 5 10 11 8 11 75 Emily Allen '19
Michael Chang '18
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 10 10 7 8 9 8 7 9 5 7 80 Maya Smith '19
Ryan Sigurdson '18
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 8 7 11 7 10 11 8 6 10 9 87 Caroline Ritter '18
Jacob Pledger '18
Marquette University Marquette University Silver Eagles 9 9 9 10 11 10 OCS 7 9 8 94 Nicholas Carney '20 [1-8]
Owen Bradley '18 [9-10]
Hannah Menz '18 [1-4]
Olivia Menzia '19 [5-8]
Catherine Strietmann '18 [9-10]
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 11 11 10 11 8 7 9 10 11 10 98 Katy Shadek '20
Ben Whitehead '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 3 1 3 3 3 2 2 3 1 5 26 Katherine Zimmerman '18 [1-10]
Anastasiya May '20 [1-8]
Thomas Kelly '20 [9-10]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 4 4 5 2 2 4 3 2 3 1 30 Carl Eaton '21
Holly Mckee '20
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 1 2 2 1 4 3 RAF 5 2 2 34 Alex Keck '21 [1-10]
Jane Rogers '21 [1-6]
Sydney Maxwell '21 [7-10]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 2 5 1 OCS 1 1 5 4 5 3 39 Peter Sauer '20 [1-10]
Robin Ritchey '18 [1-8]
Zach Childs '21 [9-10]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 5 3 4 4 5 8 1 1 4 4 39 Mason Chrabaszcz '18 [1-2]
Lindsey Clark '20 [3-6]
Ryan Clulo '18 [7-10]
Halle Imm '21 [1-2]
Katie Baach '19 [3-4]
Cecilia Dietzler '21 [5-6]
Karaline Black '20 [7-10]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 2 6 7 8 5 7 5 6 9 7 6 66 Edward Marcheselli '19
Lucy Reising '20
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 8 10 6 7 10 9 4 6 6 8 74 Victor Nartovich '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Miles Clark '21 [3-4, 7-8]
John Chrostek '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Madeline Jones '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Marquette University Marquette University Silver Eagles 7 8 7 6 11 6 9 8 10 9 81 Colin Higgins '21 [1-4]
Connor Mccoll '19 [5-6]
Zachary Nordgren '19 [7-10]
Erik Floyd '21 [1-2, 7-8]
Sydney Eger '20 [3-4]
Stacy Mellantine '19 [5-6]
Taylor Jackson '18 [9-10]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 1 9 6 11 9 8 7 10 10 9 10 89 Bogdan Visan '17
Dylan Morris '20
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 10 11 10 10 6 10 7 11 8 7 90 Lisette Boer '19
John Stack '17
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 11 9 9 8 9 11 8 7 11 11 94 Max Spehlmann '17 [1-10]
Kaloyan Parvanov '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Vivianna Sophia Lane '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen1132325151
Lake Forest CollegeLake Forest College Foresters313138385252
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles11323251518181
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Silver Eagles313138385252
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 1323251518181
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 23838525211
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers 111323251518181
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers 2313138385252
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers818131313838
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 1515181813131
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 25252113232

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen313138385252
Lake Forest CollegeLake Forest College Foresters11323251518181
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles313138385252
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Silver Eagles11323251518181
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 13838525211
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 2515181813131
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers 1313138385252
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers 2323251518181
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers1132325151
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 15252113232
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 2818131313838
School / Team SkipperCrew
Hope College Hope College Caroline Ritter '18 Jacob Pledger '18
Flying Dutchmen Lisette Boer '19 John Stack '17
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Katy Shadek '20 Ben Whitehead '21
Foresters Max Spehlmann '17 [1-10] Kaloyan Parvanov '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Vivianna Sophia Lane '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Marquette University Marquette University Bobby Sessions '20 [1-8]
Learon Mcginn '19 [9-10]		 Ava Hill '20 [1-4]
Learon Mcginn '19 [5-8]
Frank Mazur '20 [9-10]
Golden Eagles Mason Chrabaszcz '18 [1-2]
Lindsey Clark '20 [3-6]
Ryan Clulo '18 [7-10]		 Halle Imm '21 [1-2]
Katie Baach '19 [3-4]
Cecilia Dietzler '21 [5-6]
Karaline Black '20 [7-10]
Marquette University Marquette University Nicholas Carney '20 [1-8]
Owen Bradley '18 [9-10]		 Hannah Menz '18 [1-4]
Olivia Menzia '19 [5-8]
Catherine Strietmann '18 [9-10]
Silver Eagles Colin Higgins '21 [1-4]
Connor Mccoll '19 [5-6]
Zachary Nordgren '19 [7-10]		 Erik Floyd '21 [1-2, 7-8]
Sydney Eger '20 [3-4]
Stacy Mellantine '19 [5-6]
Taylor Jackson '18 [9-10]
Purdue University Purdue University Mark Hurt '18 Jessica Moster '19
Boilermakers 1 Bogdan Visan '17 Dylan Morris '20
Purdue University Purdue University Emily Allen '19 Michael Chang '18
Boilermakers 2 Edward Marcheselli '19 Lucy Reising '20
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Cailin Oakes '18 Bailey Adkins '19
Gophers 1 Carl Eaton '21 Holly Mckee '20
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Maya Smith '19 Ryan Sigurdson '18
Gophers 2 Victor Nartovich '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Miles Clark '21 [3-4, 7-8]		 John Chrostek '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Madeline Jones '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Tom Groskopf '19 [1-10] Katharine Madigan '20 [1-8]
Connor Sawyers '18 [9-10]
Badgers 1 Katherine Zimmerman '18 [1-10] Anastasiya May '20 [1-8]
Thomas Kelly '20 [9-10]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Patrick Schmidt '22 Jack Barnes '21
Badgers 2 Peter Sauer '20 [1-10] Robin Ritchey '18 [1-8]
Zach Childs '21 [9-10]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Jack Behrend '20 [1-10] Susie Voltz '19 [1-8]
Simon Wolfrum '21 [9-10]
Panthers Alex Keck '21 [1-10] Jane Rogers '21 [1-6]
Sydney Maxwell '21 [7-10]

Conditions — 09/30/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1029.2 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 14.2 kn
From S (191°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover18% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1029.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · S 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Marquette: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.23 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Marquette by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 13 labelled days at Marquette, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →