The Invitational

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 1 124
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 129
3 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 2 158
4 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 166
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 173
6 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 178
7 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 211
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 226
9 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 341
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 2 A 1 4 10 3 1 4 6 10 3 3 45 Sophia Montgomery '25
Lily Bartlett '24
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 9 5 6 2 4 1 9 8 2 2 48 Miles Williams '24
Dean Balcirak '25
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers A 11 9 5 1 3 7 5 2 6 4 53 Brooke Schmelz '25
Mercedes Escandon '25
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green A 14 1 4 4 10 5 2 1 5 8 54 Nicholas Hurley '23
Maya Nguyen '24
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 3 6 13 6 7 9 8 3 1 1 57 Adrien Bellanger '25
Cindy Wang '25
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 1 A 4 3 7 5 6 2 3 7 DSQ 6 62 Dylan Ascencios '24
Emily Launderville '24
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 1 B 7 2 2 9 5 3 16 6 7 5 62 Marleigh Belsley '24
Cassia Lee '23
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 2 8 1 15 2 6 14 9 15 9 81 Thomas Johnson '23
Arturo Ortega '22
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 5 14 11 13 9 13 12 14 4 7 102 Zoe Grant '25
Alexander Jaber '25
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears B 15 7 14 8 14 11 10 5 8 13 105 Preston Anderson '22
Caleb Adams-Hull '23
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 10 15 15 10 BKD 8 1 15 14 10 109 Liam Lawless '25
Ada Oancea '24
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 2 B 6 10 12 11 12 15 17 4 11 15 113 Paul Kuechler '22
Katherine Barkin '22
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers B 12 11 3 14 8 10 15 12 12 16 113 Raymond Huffman '21
Soleh Anderlini '23
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 13 12 16 7 15 14 7 11 10 11 116 Marina Garrido '25
Dorothy Waskow '22
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears A 8 16 8 12 11 16 13 16 9 12 121 Christine Reimer '24
Eleanor Donahue '25
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green B 16 13 9 17 13 12 4 13 13 14 124 Michael Hanrahan '24
Elise Donovan '24
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech A 17 18 17 16 16 17 11 17 DSQ 17 165 William Stottlemyer '23
Eric Gustafson '23
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech B 18 17 18 18 17 18 18 18 16 18 176 Samuel Ott '24
Iris Morin '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (43 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears111111111
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green222222222
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson 1333333333
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson 2444444444
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers555555555
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies666666666
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams888888888
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos777777777
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech999999999

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears101010101010101010
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green111111111111111111
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson 1121212121212121212
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson 2131313131313131313
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers141414141414141414
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies151515151515151515
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams171717171717171717
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos161616161616161616
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech181818181818181818

Conditions — 09/25/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1016.2 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.3 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From ENE (65°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover35% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1016.2 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Harvard: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Harvard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (59 labelled days at Harvard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →