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SAISA Fall Open Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 56 28 84
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 57 46 103
3 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 65 38 103
4 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 67 40 107
5 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 57 64 121
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 46 80 126
7 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 68 88 156
8 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 84 101 185
9 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 131 73 204
10 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 118 100 218
11 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 86 135 221
12 The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 132 125 257
13 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 171 107 278
14 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 123 170 293
15 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 154 140 294
16 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 146 168 314
17 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 141 190 331
18 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 185 190 375
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 4 8 4 3 8 2 4 2 1 8 2 46 Adam Larson '24
Isabella Du Plessis '24
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 3 4 1 9 5 9 7 1 3 2 12 56 Atlee Kohl '25
Natalie Elder '25
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 2 11 11 4 3 11 3 4 3 4 57 Emily Allen '25
Piper Desantis '23
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 6 5 6 1 2 8 1 4 12 9 3 57 Eden Nykamp '25 [1-11]
Amelia Johnson '25 [1-3, 7-9]
Brooks Jordan '24 [4-6, 10-11]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 8 3 3 DSQ 1 1 3 6 DSQ 1 1 65 Benjamin Dufour '26 [1-9]
Emma Tallman '25 [10-11]
Roxanne Snyder '23 [1-9]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 9 1 13 2 7 4 2 9 5 4 11 67 Mateo Rodriguez '23
Avery Harris '25
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 11 7 2 6 3 5 6 7 9 6 6 68 Humberto Porrata '25 [1-9]
Jordan Byrd '24 [10-11]
Hannah Marsicano '24 [1-9]
Lily Theisen '23 [10-11]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 2 11 16 4 10 7 9 5 2 10 8 84 Dylan Hardt '25
Naomi Sterlingsdottir '22
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 5 9 7 12 6 11 5 8 11 7 5 86 Brendan Smucker '25 [1-11]
Sofia Scarpa '26 [1-3, 7-11]
Harpoon Seabring '22 [4-6]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 7 12 5 7 9 10 15 12 6 16 DNS 118 Hilton Kamps '25 [1-11]
Imogene Dunn '25 [1-6]
Isabella Botelho '25 [7-11]
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 17 14 8 8 11 6 12 13 16 5 13 123 Hudson Jenkins '25
Eric Bonifacic '25
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 12 10 9 10 15 15 10 14 17 12 7 131 Nilah Miller '25 [1-6, 10-11]
Samantha Bialek '24 [7-9]
Sam Heighway '25 [1-6, 10-11]
Paige Phillips '25 [7-9]
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 13 6 15 13 13 12 8 15 10 11 16 132 Gregory Walters '23 [1-11]
Brooke Cheatham '23 [1-6]
Gordan Stine '26 [7-9]
Malcolm Mcalister '23 [10-11]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 14 16 12 15 12 18 13 10 7 14 10 141 Phoebe Whitbeck '23
Evelyn Earnhardt '25
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 16 13 10 5 16 17 16 16 13 15 9 146 Ian Hoogenboom '25
Ian Connolly '25
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 10 15 18 17 14 13 17 11 8 17 14 154 Francis "Mac" Humphrey '26 [1-3, 7-9]
John Cole Mcgee '26 [4-6, 10-11]
John Cole Mcgee '26 [1-3, 7-9]
Francis "Mac" Humphrey '26 [4-6, 10-11]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 18 18 14 16 17 14 14 17 15 13 15 171 Christopher Lucyk '24
Charlotte Meyers '25
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 15 17 17 14 18 16 18 18 14 DNS DNS 185 Joaquin Marquez '24
Christian Pegouske '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 3 2 4 3 2 3 3 1 5 1 1 28 Steven Hardee '26
Teddy Bueres '24
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 1 2 2 1 12 4 6 2 3 3 38 Axel Stordahl '24
Lucy Klempen '24
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 1 8 1 5 6 1 BKD 2 6 2 4 40 Joey Meagher '24
Katie Nelson '24
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 4 3 10 8 3 5 1 5 1 4 2 46 Matthew King '24
Rori Bywater '25
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 5 5 3 10 9 2 9 3 4 9 5 64 Matthew Monts '24
Elissa Martinez '23
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 8 4 6 1 10 4 2 11 9 10 8 73 William Turner '24
Ian Bosse '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 10 5 6 5 10 8 4 10 5 11 80 Robert Chase '26 [1-3]
Jacob Usher '25 [4-6, 10-11]
Harrison Bailey '23 [7-9]
Olivia Sowa '24 [1-3]
Robert Chase '26 [4-11]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 10 6 DSQ 4 4 6 12 7 3 8 9 88 Zachariah Schemel '25
Brilan Christopher '24
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 9 12 8 7 8 9 10 8 16 7 6 100 Carly Orhan '23 [1-11]
Angelina Khourisader '23 [1-6]
Connor Teague '23 [7-11]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 13 7 12 9 12 7 6 12 7 6 10 101 Kevin Martin '24 [1-11]
Dom Aloysius Mandigma '23 [1-3, 7-9]
Shane Hayward '24 [4-6, 10-11]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 12 9 11 13 7 8 7 9 12 12 7 107 Roberto Martelli '24
Shannon Mcgrane '23
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 7 11 13 11 11 11 14 13 11 11 12 125 Noah Frank '26 [1-11]
Carolyn Staples '25 [1-6]
Brooke Cheatham '23 [7-9]
Gordan Stine '26 [10-11]
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 11 13 9 12 13 15 13 14 8 13 14 135 Brandon Depalma '24 [1-11]
Henry Hill '25 [1-6]
Harpoon Seabring '22 [7-11]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 14 14 7 14 14 14 11 10 13 14 15 140 Kathleen Hale '26
Noah Shore '22
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 16 16 14 15 15 13 17 15 14 17 16 168 Ryan Ringel '25 [1-6]
William Robertson '25 [7-11]
John Bloch '26 [1-3, 10-11]
William Robertson '25 [4-6]
Ryan Ringel '25 [7-9]
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 15 17 15 16 16 16 16 16 15 15 13 170 Julian Larsen '26
David Mejia '24
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 17 18 17 18 17 17 18 17 18 16 17 190 Nevin Williams '24
Sam Woodley '26
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 18 15 16 17 18 18 15 18 17 DNS DNS 190 Liam Dunn '26
Ashlyn Cowgill '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers11133355577
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33355577799
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs13131315151517171711
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers22244466688
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils4446668881010
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons5557779991111
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles6668881010101212
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles8881010101212121414
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers7779991111111313
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets9991111111313131515
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins1010101212121414141616
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes15151517171711133
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels16161618181822244
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack1111111313131515151717
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars1212121414141616161818
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls18181822244466
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks17171711133355
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights14141416161618181822

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers22244466688
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars4446668881010
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs14141416161618181822
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers33355577799
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils5557779991111
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons6668881010101212
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles7779991111111313
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles9991111111313131515
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers8881010101212121414
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets1010101212121414141616
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins1111111313131515151717
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes16161618181822244
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels17171711133355
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack1212121414141616161818
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars13131315151517171711
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls11133355577
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks18181822244466
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights15151517171711133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Auburn University Auburn University Joaquin Marquez '24 Christian Pegouske '23
Tigers Liam Dunn '26 Ashlyn Cowgill '23
Clemson University Clemson University Nilah Miller '25 [1-6, 10-11]
Samantha Bialek '24 [7-9]		 Sam Heighway '25 [1-6, 10-11]
Paige Phillips '25 [7-9]
Tigers William Turner '24 Ian Bosse '25
College of Charleston College of Charleston Benjamin Dufour '26 [1-9]
Emma Tallman '25 [10-11]		 Roxanne Snyder '23 [1-9]
Cougars Axel Stordahl '24 Lucy Klempen '24
Duke University Duke University Ian Hoogenboom '25 Ian Connolly '25
Blue Devils Ryan Ringel '25 [1-6]
William Robertson '25 [7-11]		 John Bloch '26 [1-3, 10-11]
William Robertson '25 [4-6]
Ryan Ringel '25 [7-9]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Eden Nykamp '25 [1-11] Amelia Johnson '25 [1-3, 7-9]
Brooks Jordan '24 [4-6, 10-11]
Tritons Matthew Monts '24 Elissa Martinez '23
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Dylan Hardt '25 Naomi Sterlingsdottir '22
Eagles Kevin Martin '24 [1-11] Dom Aloysius Mandigma '23 [1-3, 7-9]
Shane Hayward '24 [4-6, 10-11]
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Brendan Smucker '25 [1-11] Sofia Scarpa '26 [1-3, 7-11]
Harpoon Seabring '22 [4-6]
Panthers Brandon Depalma '24 [1-11] Henry Hill '25 [1-6]
Harpoon Seabring '22 [7-11]
Florida State University Florida State University Mateo Rodriguez '23 Avery Harris '25
Seminoles Joey Meagher '24 Katie Nelson '24
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Christopher Lucyk '24 Charlotte Meyers '25
Yellow Jackets Roberto Martelli '24 Shannon Mcgrane '23
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Emily Allen '25 Piper Desantis '23
Fins Matthew King '24 Rori Bywater '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Adam Larson '24 Isabella Du Plessis '24
Wolfpack Robert Chase '26 [1-3]
Jacob Usher '25 [4-6, 10-11]
Harrison Bailey '23 [7-9]		 Olivia Sowa '24 [1-3]
Robert Chase '26 [4-11]
Rollins College Rollins College Hilton Kamps '25 [1-11] Imogene Dunn '25 [1-6]
Isabella Botelho '25 [7-11]
Tars Carly Orhan '23 [1-11] Angelina Khourisader '23 [1-6]
Connor Teague '23 [7-11]
The Citadel The Citadel Gregory Walters '23 [1-11] Brooke Cheatham '23 [1-6]
Gordan Stine '26 [7-9]
Malcolm Mcalister '23 [10-11]
Bulldogs Noah Frank '26 [1-11] Carolyn Staples '25 [1-6]
Brooke Cheatham '23 [7-9]
Gordan Stine '26 [10-11]
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Hudson Jenkins '25 Eric Bonifacic '25
Knights Julian Larsen '26 David Mejia '24
University of Miami University of Miami Atlee Kohl '25 Natalie Elder '25
Hurricanes Steven Hardee '26 Teddy Bueres '24
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Francis "Mac" Humphrey '26 [1-3, 7-9]
John Cole Mcgee '26 [4-6, 10-11]		 John Cole Mcgee '26 [1-3, 7-9]
Francis "Mac" Humphrey '26 [4-6, 10-11]
Tar Heels Kathleen Hale '26 Noah Shore '22
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Phoebe Whitbeck '23 Evelyn Earnhardt '25
Seahawks Nevin Williams '24 Sam Woodley '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Humberto Porrata '25 [1-9]
Jordan Byrd '24 [10-11]		 Hannah Marsicano '24 [1-9]
Lily Theisen '23 [10-11]
Bulls Zachariah Schemel '25 Brilan Christopher '24

Conditions — 10/29/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1020.0 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.5 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From NE (34°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover68% Sunshine9.1 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1020.0 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn* · S 6 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rollins: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rollins by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Rollins).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →