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PCCSC Women's Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 17 17 34
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 24 35 59
3 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 33 30 63
4 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 50 42 92
5 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 63 58 121
6 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 65 70 135
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 2 17 Sarah Mace '14 [1-12]
Helena Scutt '14 [1-10]
Katie Riklin '13 [11-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 2 2 1 3 2 3 2 3 1 2 1 24 Madeline Kennedy '14 [1-12]
Lani Johnson '12 [1-6, 9-12]
Taylor Nidds '13 [7-8]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 3 3 3 2 5 2 3 1 2 3 3 33 Kelsey Rupp '12
Mallory Schluter '14
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 4 5 4 5 3 4 4 5 4 4 4 50 Emelia Pelliccio '13
Erica Parker '14
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 5 5 6 5 4 6 5 5 4 6 6 6 63 Megan Hayes '13
Elizabeth Felando '13
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 6 6 4 6 6 4 6 6 6 5 5 5 65 Jennifer Lyons '12
Caitlin Riley '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 2 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 2 1 1 17 Molly Mckinney '14 [1-12]
Kaitlyn Baab '15 [1-2, 7-12]
Mckenzie Wilson '14 [3-6]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 3 3 1 2 2 4 2 2 3 3 3 30 Alexis Tarakjian '15
Olivia Gebelein '15
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 3 1 2 3 4 4 3 5 3 1 2 4 35 Hanne Nagatani '13 [1-12]
Lindsay Stewart '13 [1-6, 9-12]
Holly Nishiguchi '13 [7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 4 4 4 3 1 5 3 4 4 4 2 42 Nora Brackbill '13
Amy Stuyvesant '13
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 5 5 6 5 5 6 2 4 5 5 5 5 58 Aubrey Toole '12 [1-2, 9-10]
Lauren Amery '12 [3-8, 11-12]
Sarah Adams '13 [1-4, 7-10]
Aubrey Toole '12 [5-6, 11-12]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 6 6 5 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 70 Maaike Boomgaard '13
Rachael Yao '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears112233445566
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows556611223344
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans661122334455
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal223344556611
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins334455661122
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons445566112233

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears778899101011111212
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows111112127788991010
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans121277889910101111
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal889910101111121277
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins991010111112127788
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons101011111212778899

Conditions — 04/21/2012 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1017.1 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.2 kn
avg  ·  max 13.3 kn
Gusts to 28.0 kn
From NE (52°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover47% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1017.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hawaii: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.14)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.37 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hawaii by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Hawaii, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →