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Rainier Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 13 17 30
2 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 24 17 41
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 17 28 45
4 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 46 22 68
5 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 57 42 99
6 Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 55 44 99
7 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 58 53 111
8 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 58 59 117
9 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 71 52 123
10 University of Oregon University of Oregon Women's 49 76 125
11 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 67 61 128
12 Otters Otters Otters 103 MRP 111 MRP 214 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 3 2 3 2 1 1 1 13 Lily Grimshaw '15
Molly Utter '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 2 1 1 1 2 8 2 17 Peter Mcgrath '13
Jake Fetterman '15
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 3 2 3 3 7 5 24 Zachary Forcade '13
Caylin Cordray '13
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 9 4 5 DNF 8 3 4 46 Austin Sandifer '16
Alexander Muschler '16
University of Oregon University of Oregon Women's 4 6 8 DNF 7 4 7 49 Eliza Pearce '15
Mika Garrett '16
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 8 5 4 DNF 5 10 10 55 Haines Whitacre '16
Halloran Garvey '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 5 9 10 DNF 4 5 11 57 Debbi Kenote '13 [1-7]
Nathalie Cushing '16 [1-4]
Amanda Martelli '13 [5-7]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 7 11 DNS DNF 6 2 6 58 Ciara Anderson '16
Kimberly Smith '16
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 10 8 6 DNF 9 9 3 58 Alex Lubben '13 [1-4]
John Hodges '13 [5-7]
Matthew Sullivan '14 [1-4]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 6 10 7 DNF 11 11 9 67 Johan Jorna '14
Alyssa Staples '14
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 12 DNS 9 DNF 10 6 8 71 Jackson Thomas '15 [1-4]
Charles Shoemaker '16 [5-7]
Janey Lyon '16 [1-4]
Otters Otters Otters 11 7 DNF DNF DNS DNS DNS 103 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 1 1 4 5 2 1 3 17 Alyce Flanagan '13
Haley Lane '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 3 1 1 5 2 1 17 Sam Parish '15 [1-4]
Kris Thompson '16 [5-7]
Cory Baranski '16 [1-4]
Sarah Redmond '15 [5-7]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 2 2 2 6 3 3 4 22 Brian Hickman '15
Kyle Peterzã©N '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 5 4 5 7 1 4 2 28 Casey Pruitt '13 [1-4]
Paul Foley '15 [5-7]
Sarah Hanavan '13 [1-4]
Sara Welsh '12 [5-7]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 3 5 9 3 7 6 9 42 Angela Gossom '13
Rachael Mccrady '14
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 6 10 3 4 9 5 7 44 Robin Gropp '16
Melissa Rathbun '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 9 6 DNS 8 4 7 5 52 Ryan Fritsen '14
Kaitlin Livingston '15
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 10 8 7 2 6 9 11 53 Aike Burger '16
Cragan Smith '14
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 7 7 8 11 8 8 10 59 John Hodges '13 [1-2]
Marius Malkevicius '13 [3-7]
Zachary Bannon '14 [1-2]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 8 9 6 9 11 10 8 61 Brianne Busey '14
Heather Wilson '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Women's DNF DNS DNS 10 10 11 6 76 Kaili Swetland '14 [1-7]
Mickey Scott '14 [1-2]
Mariah Hubbard '16 [3-7]
Otters Otters Otters DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 111 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers71717171717171
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks73737373737373
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Women's74747474747474
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 175757575757575
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 276767676767676
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings78787878787878
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies81818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women82828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 187878787878787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 288888888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers71717171717171
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks73737373737373
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Women's74747474747474
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 175757575757575
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers 276767676767676
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings78787878787878
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies81818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women82828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 187878787878787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 288888888888888
School / Team SkipperCrew
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Haines Whitacre '16 Halloran Garvey '15
Pioneers Robin Gropp '16 Melissa Rathbun '13
Northwestern University Northwestern University Alex Lubben '13 [1-4]
John Hodges '13 [5-7]		 Matthew Sullivan '14 [1-4]
Wildcats John Hodges '13 [1-2]
Marius Malkevicius '13 [3-7]		 Zachary Bannon '14 [1-2]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Austin Sandifer '16 Alexander Muschler '16
Beavers 1 Brian Hickman '15 Kyle Peterzã©N '16
Oregon State University Oregon State University Ciara Anderson '16 Kimberly Smith '16
Beavers 2 Aike Burger '16 Cragan Smith '14
Portland State University Portland State University Johan Jorna '14 Alyssa Staples '14
Vikings Brianne Busey '14 Heather Wilson '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Jackson Thomas '15 [1-4]
Charles Shoemaker '16 [5-7]		 Janey Lyon '16 [1-4]
Ducks Ryan Fritsen '14 Kaitlin Livingston '15
University of Oregon University of Oregon Eliza Pearce '15 Mika Garrett '16
Women's Kaili Swetland '14 [1-7] Mickey Scott '14 [1-2]
Mariah Hubbard '16 [3-7]
University of Washington University of Washington Zachary Forcade '13 Caylin Cordray '13
Huskies Sam Parish '15 [1-4]
Kris Thompson '16 [5-7]		 Cory Baranski '16 [1-4]
Sarah Redmond '15 [5-7]
University of Washington University of Washington Lily Grimshaw '15 Molly Utter '14
Husky Women Alyce Flanagan '13 Haley Lane '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Peter Mcgrath '13 Jake Fetterman '15
Vikings 1 Casey Pruitt '13 [1-4]
Paul Foley '15 [5-7]		 Sarah Hanavan '13 [1-4]
Sara Welsh '12 [5-7]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Debbi Kenote '13 [1-7] Nathalie Cushing '16 [1-4]
Amanda Martelli '13 [5-7]
Vikings 2 Angela Gossom '13 Rachael Mccrady '14

Conditions — 04/13/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1019.5 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 22.7 kn
From W (270°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover63% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1019.5 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 20 kn · W 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Oregon State: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Oregon State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Oregon State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →