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Peter Wenner Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 38 54 92
2 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 1 70 38 108
3 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 47 79 126
4 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 53 76 129
5 Hosei University Hosei University Hosei 85 85 170
6 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Black 91 91 182
7 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 117 70 187
8 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 95 100 195
9 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 97 99 196
10 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 95 108 203
11 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 2 106 115 221
12 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 126 127 253
13 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 163 141 304
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 3 4 2 1 1 4 1 1 5 2 5 7 2 38 Adam Pokras '14
Ana-Melissa Kea '13
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 8 3 8 2 4 1 9 3 4 1 2 1 1 47 Madeline Kennedy '14
Katrina Berry '15
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 1 6 1 3 5 6 6 5 1 5 7 4 3 53 Kendall Sanson '15
Nicole Bosetti '15
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 1 5 1 3 5 3 2 11 4 10 4 4 8 10 70 David Berry '16
Adele Horbulyk '16
Hosei University Hosei University Hosei 6 7 6 6 8 5 2 6 7 8 10 6 8 85 No Show
No Show
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Black 10 9 5 12 2 11 10 11 3 11 1 2 4 91 Jeremy Hitchcock '17
Cole Brauer '17
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 4 10 10 8 6 7 4 9 9 3 9 9 7 95 Cameron Hutcheson '14
Aditya Radhakrishna '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 9 11 4 4 10 9 8 12 2 9 3 5 9 95 Elizabeth Hays '17
Melodi Gencosmanoglu '17
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 11 5 7 9 7 3 5 7 11 12 6 3 11 97 Julian Soto '14 [1-8]
Mackenzie Cook '17 [9-13]
Hana Bruno '16 [1-8]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 2 7 8 11 11 9 8 3 8 6 6 12 12 5 106 Manuel Gomez '17
Heather Lee '16
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 2 9 10 11 12 7 2 12 13 11 13 13 117 Nicolas Delfino '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Tyler Wooldridge '14 [5-6]
Joseph Mcardle '14 [9-13]
Cheyenne Wright '16 [1-8]
Alex Sinclair '16 [9-13]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 12 12 12 7 12 10 12 10 8 7 8 10 6 126 Jeffrey Tedmori '15
Kyle Clarke '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 10 13 11 12 163 John Beutter '17
Kylie Sullivan '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 1 2 3 5 1 1 1 6 3 1 5 5 3 2 38 Reid Cannon '15
Sarah Berry '15
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 1 1 2 10 7 8 5 6 3 3 1 1 6 54 Giacomo Paoletti '15
Kellie Yamada '16
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 5 4 3 2 3 3 2 2 9 7 7 10 13 70 John Olson '14 [1-10]
Jiachao Yang '15 [11-13]
Erika Poynter '16 [1-8]
Kanyanat Tongprasearth '17 [9-10]
David Padilla '15 [11-13]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 10 2 10 8 8 9 3 4 4 6 3 4 5 76 Olivia Gebelein '15 [1-4]
Hollis Barth '16 [5-8]
Brandon Yuen '14 [9-13]
Brandon Yuen '14 [1-4]
Olivia Gebelein '15 [5-8]
Hollis Barth '16 [9-13]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 3 7 9 6 9 6 4 1 7 4 13 9 1 79 Cecilia Jansson '15
Cecilia Jansson '15
Hosei University Hosei University Hosei 8 5 6 7 12 11 9 9 2 1 2 2 11 85 No Show
No Show
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Black 7 9 7 4 6 2 1 5 13 10 6 13 8 91 Colton Saunders '15 [1-6]
Naish Harlan '15 [7-13]
Madeline Anzivino '15 [1-6]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 4 10 11 9 2 4 10 8 5 12 8 7 9 99 Patrick Manuel '16
Shawna Koch '15
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 11 11 1 3 4 10 12 12 8 2 10 12 4 100 John Coakley '16
Taylor Dupont '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 6 6 8 11 5 7 7 10 10 9 9 8 12 108 Sarah Wyman '17
Justina Leo '15
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 2 12 13 4 5 10 5 8 13 11 13 12 6 3 115 Emma Dayton '16
Jordan Pow '17
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 13 12 13 13 11 12 13 7 6 8 4 5 10 127 Bianca Barnes '15
Traci Cosmer '14
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 9 8 12 12 13 13 11 11 12 11 11 11 7 141 Gabrielle Robertson '16
Rahul Iyengar '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Hosei UniversityHosei University Hosei22446688101012121
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins1133557799111113
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Black66881010121211335
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Green77991111131322446
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine99111113132244668
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows88101012121133557
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 110101212113355779
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 2111113132244668810
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 133557799111113132
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 244668810101212113
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons55779911111313224
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder 11212113355779911
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder 2131322446688101012

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
Hosei UniversityHosei University Hosei33557799111113132
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins22446688101012121
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Black77991111131322446
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Green88101012121133557
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine10101212113355779
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows99111113132244668
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 1111113132244668810
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 21212113355779911
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 144668810101212113
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 255779911111313224
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons66881010121211335
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder 1131322446688101012
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder 21133557799111113
School / Team SkipperCrew
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Jeffrey Tedmori '15 Kyle Clarke '15
Dolphins Bianca Barnes '15 Traci Cosmer '14
Hosei University Hosei University No Show No Show
Hosei No Show No Show
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Elizabeth Hays '17 Melodi Gencosmanoglu '17
Bruins 1 Sarah Wyman '17 Justina Leo '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles John Beutter '17 Kylie Sullivan '17
Bruins 2 Gabrielle Robertson '16 Rahul Iyengar '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nicolas Delfino '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Tyler Wooldridge '14 [5-6]
Joseph Mcardle '14 [9-13]		 Cheyenne Wright '16 [1-8]
Alex Sinclair '16 [9-13]
Tritons John Olson '14 [1-10]
Jiachao Yang '15 [11-13]		 Erika Poynter '16 [1-8]
Kanyanat Tongprasearth '17 [9-10]
David Padilla '15 [11-13]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Jeremy Hitchcock '17 Cole Brauer '17
Rainbow Black Colton Saunders '15 [1-6]
Naish Harlan '15 [7-13]		 Madeline Anzivino '15 [1-6]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Adam Pokras '14 Ana-Melissa Kea '13
Rainbow Green Giacomo Paoletti '15 Kellie Yamada '16
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Madeline Kennedy '14 Katrina Berry '15
Rainbow Wahine Cecilia Jansson '15 Cecilia Jansson '15
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Julian Soto '14 [1-8]
Mackenzie Cook '17 [9-13]		 Hana Bruno '16 [1-8]
Rainbows Patrick Manuel '16 Shawna Koch '15
University of Southern California University of Southern California Cameron Hutcheson '14 Aditya Radhakrishna '17
Trojans 1 John Coakley '16 Taylor Dupont '17
University of Southern California University of Southern California Kendall Sanson '15 Nicole Bosetti '15
Trojans 2 Olivia Gebelein '15 [1-4]
Hollis Barth '16 [5-8]
Brandon Yuen '14 [9-13]		 Brandon Yuen '14 [1-4]
Olivia Gebelein '15 [5-8]
Hollis Barth '16 [9-13]
University of Victoria University of Victoria David Berry '16 Adele Horbulyk '16
Thunder 1 Reid Cannon '15 Sarah Berry '15
University of Victoria University of Victoria Manuel Gomez '17 Heather Lee '16
Thunder 2 Emma Dayton '16 Jordan Pow '17

Conditions — 01/18/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1016.0 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 83°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.2 kn
Gusts to 10.7 kn
From NW (315°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover58% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1016.0 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn · NW 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hawaii: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.49 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hawaii by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Hawaii, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →