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Rainier Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 14 11 25
2 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 16 21 37
3 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 19 29 48
4 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 33 19 52
5 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 36 35 71
6 Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 48 40 88
7 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 44 51 95
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 14 Taylor Martin '16
Benjamin Kaas '17
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 2 1 3 1 6 2 16 Brian Hickman '15
Cragan Smith '14
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 1 3 1 4 3 3 19 Kris Thompson '16
Molly Utter '14
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 5 5 DNS 4 3 1 7 33 Stephen Moran '16 [1-2, 4-6]
No Show [3, 7]
Gretchen Rude '17 [1-2, 4-6]
Mickey Scott '14 [3, 7]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 6 4 4 DNS 5 5 4 36 Johan Jorna '14
Alyssa Staples '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 3 6 DNS DNS 6 7 6 44 Rachael Mccrady '14
Kalli Light '17
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers DNS DNS DNS DNS 7 4 5 48 Robin Gropp '16
Haines Whitacre '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 2 1 2 1 3 1 1 11 Jake Fetterman '15
Haley Bolin '17
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 4 4 1 2 2 2 4 19 Ryan Fritsen '14 [1-7]
Sean Pomeroy '16 [1-4]
Joseph Albertine '15 [5-7]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 2 3 3 4 3 5 21 Cody Odou '17
Aike Burger '16
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 3 4 5 6 6 2 29 Kate Flanagan '17
Melissa Hickenbottom '16
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 5 5 5 4 5 5 6 35 Quanah Green '17
Brianne Busey '14
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers DNS DNS DNS DNS 1 4 3 40 Halloran Garvey '15
No Show
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 6 DNS DNS DNS 7 7 7 51 Emily Levalley '16
Hope Odendahl '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers72727272727272
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks73737373737373
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers75757575757575
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings78787878787878
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies0000000
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 16666878787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 27777888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers72727272727272
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks73737373737373
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers75757575757575
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings78787878787878
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies0000000
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 16666878787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 27777888888

Conditions — 04/19/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1016.0 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 32.3 kn
From SW (215°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover79% Sunshine8.9 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1016.0 hPa Rain0.21 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 11 kn · S 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Oregon State: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Oregon State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Oregon State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →