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Wisconsin 3-Division

# SchoolTeam A B C TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 12 5 9 26
2 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 10 13 11 34
3 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 15 13 18 46
4 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 7 12 30 49
5 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 24 18 16 58
6 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 18 44 22 84
7 University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 29 27 33 89
8 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 34 28 38 100
9 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 3 37 38 39 114
10 Lawrence University Lawrence University Vikings 36 44 40 120
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 2 2 2 1 7 Benjamin Otten '14 [1-4]
Hannah Noll '15 [1-2]
George Phillips '17 [3-4]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 1 1 5 3 10 Jacob Bruce '16
Aislinn Mcmillan '17
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 6 3 1 2 12 Charles Bocklet '17
Kelsea Kierstead '15
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 3 4 3 5 15 James Sitter '17
Alexandra Manning '17
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 5 5 4 4 18 Isabella Hamilton '17
Allison Forbes '14
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 4 8 6 6 24 Ryan Mabie '16 [1-4]
Roger Dixon '11 [1-2]
Anne Borema '14 [3-4]
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 9 6 7 7 29 Olivia Zwierski-Moran '16
Kimberly Hu '15
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 7 7 9 DNF 34 Carson Potter '14 [1-2]
Connor Schmitt '14 [3-4]
Madeline Deysine '16 [1-2]
Margaret Parker '17 [3-4]
Lawrence University Lawrence University Vikings 10 10 8 8 36 Thomas Chesnutt '14
Ariel Worley '17
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 3 8 9 DNF 9 37 Madin Akpo-Esambe '17 [1-4]
Riza Ulman '16 [1-2]
Lincoln Oliver-O'Neil '16 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 2 1 1 5 Soren Walljasper '17
Korina Hendricks '17
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 3 4 2 3 12 Isak Peterson '15
Cole Meller '17
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 2 3 4 4 13 Robert Johnston '15
Courtney Peterson '16
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 4 1 6 2 13 Molly Sitter '15
Erik Elliott '17
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 5 5 3 5 18 Vytenis Karaitis '14
Brendan Brown '15
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 7 7 7 6 27 Brian Moy '14
Brian Waddell '16
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 6 6 5 DNF 28 Bill White '16 [1-4]
Katherine Kelly '16 [1-2]
Alexandra Rawson '15 [3-4]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 3 8 8 DNS DNS 38 Cameron Tehranchi '17 [1-2]
Frank Zhu '17 [3-4]
Luke Vogelzang '15 [1-2]
Lawrence University Lawrence University Vikings OCS DNS DNS DNS 44 Yu Kimura '16
Haley Macduff '16
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers DNF DNS DNS DNF 44 Lindsey Puccio '16
David Chapin '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 1 6 1 9 Ian Walter '16
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 3 2 2 4 11 Emily Fontaine '14
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 2 3 5 6 16 Jack Greve '15
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 DNF 4 1 2 18 Megan Mcmahon '17
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 5 DNF 3 3 22 Teresa Westin '16
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 4 DNF 10 5 30 Christopher Ponsonby '17
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames DNF DNF 4 7 33 Taylor Valentor '16
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 DNF DNF 7 9 38 Margaret Parker '17
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 3 DNF DNF 9 8 39 Kegan Leizerman '16
Lawrence University Lawrence University Vikings DNF DNF 8 10 40 Carl Byers '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames11111212
Lawrence UniversityLawrence University Vikings7788
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers12121313
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 18899
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 2991010
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 310101111
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers15151616
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Western Michigan161677
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 113131414
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 214141515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames11111212
Lawrence UniversityLawrence University Vikings7788
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers12121313
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 18899
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 2991010
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 310101111
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers15151616
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Western Michigan161677
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 113131414
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 214141515

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames11111212
Lawrence UniversityLawrence University Vikings1122
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers12121414
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 12288
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 2881010
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 310101111
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers661717
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Western Michigan171711
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 114141515
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 2151566
School / Team SkipperCrew
Lawrence University Lawrence University Thomas Chesnutt '14 Ariel Worley '17
Vikings Yu Kimura '16 Haley Macduff '16
Carl Byers '14
Northwestern University Northwestern University Jacob Bruce '16 Aislinn Mcmillan '17
Wildcats 1 Robert Johnston '15 Courtney Peterson '16
Emily Fontaine '14
Northwestern University Northwestern University Carson Potter '14 [1-2]
Connor Schmitt '14 [3-4]		 Madeline Deysine '16 [1-2]
Margaret Parker '17 [3-4]
Wildcats 2 Bill White '16 [1-4] Katherine Kelly '16 [1-2]
Alexandra Rawson '15 [3-4]
Margaret Parker '17
Northwestern University Northwestern University Madin Akpo-Esambe '17 [1-4] Riza Ulman '16 [1-2]
Lincoln Oliver-O'Neil '16 [3-4]
Wildcats 3 Cameron Tehranchi '17 [1-2]
Frank Zhu '17 [3-4]		 Luke Vogelzang '15 [1-2]
Kegan Leizerman '16
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Olivia Zwierski-Moran '16 Kimberly Hu '15
Flames Brian Moy '14 Brian Waddell '16
Taylor Valentor '16
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Isabella Hamilton '17 Allison Forbes '14
Gophers Lindsey Puccio '16 David Chapin '12
Teresa Westin '16
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Charles Bocklet '17 Kelsea Kierstead '15
Badgers 1 Soren Walljasper '17 Korina Hendricks '17
Ian Walter '16
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin James Sitter '17 Alexandra Manning '17
Badgers 2 Molly Sitter '15 Erik Elliott '17
Megan Mcmahon '17
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Benjamin Otten '14 [1-4] Hannah Noll '15 [1-2]
George Phillips '17 [3-4]
Panthers Isak Peterson '15 Cole Meller '17
Christopher Ponsonby '17
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Ryan Mabie '16 [1-4] Roger Dixon '11 [1-2]
Anne Borema '14 [3-4]
Western Michigan Vytenis Karaitis '14 Brendan Brown '15
Jack Greve '15

Conditions — 05/03/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1008.6 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.3 kn
avg  ·  max 15.6 kn
Gusts to 31.7 kn
From WNW (294°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover53% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1008.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 15 kn · N 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Wisconsin: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.18)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.29
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.47 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.18 means a rating gap counts about 15% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wisconsin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (41 labelled days at Wisconsin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →