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SAISA South Points #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 34 18 52
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 24 29 53
3 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 41 29 70
4 New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 37 38 75
5 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 49 28 77
6 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 48 47 95
7 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 61 48 109
8 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 57 63 120
9 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 59 70 129
10 Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 56 81 137
11 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 64 82 146
12 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 96 89 185
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 6 7 1 3 2 1 1 3 24 Daniel Lawless '17
Hannah Knighton '17
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 3 1 6 6 7 4 2 5 34 Seth Barrows '15
Sophie Abadia '15
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 4 3 8 7 1 5 8 1 37 Sophia Schultz '17
James Montgomery '17
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 1 4 10 11 6 2 3 4 41 Jack Famiglietti '18
Rachel Daye '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 9 5 7 5 3 7 5 7 48 Allison Price '16
Kelsy Waack '18
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 7 6 5 1 8 9 7 6 49 Sophie Salomon '18
Jane Anne Donovan '18
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 11 10 11 2 5 11 4 2 56 Curtis Woodworth '17 [1-8]
Michelle Pine '17 [1-6]
Meghan Peltier '16 [7-8]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 10 11 3 4 4 6 9 10 57 Jesus Cansino '15
Jacqueline Taylor '15
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 2 2 9 11 10 11 9 59 Taylor Scheuermann '15 [1-4]
Bryce Scarfone '15 [5-8]
Jacob Dannin '18 [1-4]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 8 9 9 8 10 3 6 8 61 Dean Nixon '16
Devin Hansen '16
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 8 4 10 9 8 10 DNS 64 Maria Ayala '18 [1-8]
Hannah Friedle '18 [1-6]
Federico Pozas '18 [7-8]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 DNF 12 12 12 12 12 12 11 96 Benjamin Anderson '18
Gretchen Gutierrez '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 3 4 1 6 1 1 1 1 18 Samuel Normington '18
Aliki Fornier '17
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 1 1 3 1 7 4 7 4 28 Hana Zwick '18
Jean Crotty '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 2 7 5 5 4 2 2 2 29 Peter Hidley '17 [1-6]
Ian Ikeda '17 [7-8]
Anna Palmer '17 [1-6]
Lauri Niklason '16 [7-8]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 4 3 2 7 2 3 3 5 29 Samuel Armington '18
Sara Wedemeyer '17
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 7 2 6 2 3 5 6 7 38 Margaret Swerdloff '17
Cornell Lee '16
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 5 6 7 3 6 10 4 6 47 Natalie Butler '18 [1-6]
Benjamin Tino '16 [7-8]
Victoria Caba '17 [1-6]
Alexandria Gagne '18 [7-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 6 5 4 4 5 6 5 DNS 48 Michael Sanandajian '18
Delaney Caron '18
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 8 10 10 8 8 7 9 3 63 John Easum '15
Trevor Johnson '16
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 10 8 8 10 9 BYE 8 8 70 Geoffrey Calderone '18 [1-7]
Olivia Gassner '18 [8]
Olivia Gassner '18 [1-7]
Geoffrey Calderone '18 [8]
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 11 9 9 9 10 11 11 11 81 Rafael Melendez '17
Janelle Dargham '16
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 9 12 12 11 11 8 10 9 82 Chance Sweat '16 [1-8]
Cayla Jordan '18 [1-6]
Emily Pasco-Anderson '17 [7-8]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 12 11 11 12 12 9 12 10 89 Katie Dodge '18
Tricia Wojtisek '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 111223344
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 222334455
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles33445566
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators 199101011111212
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators 210101111121211
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State44556677
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 155667788
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 266778899
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes111112121122
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls7788991010
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars889910101111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1212112233

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 111223344
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 222334455
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles33445566
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators 199101011111212
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators 210101111121211
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State44556677
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 155667788
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 266778899
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes111112121122
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls7788991010
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars889910101111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1212112233
School / Team SkipperCrew
Eckerd College Eckerd College Seth Barrows '15 Sophie Abadia '15
Tritons 1 Samuel Normington '18 Aliki Fornier '17
Eckerd College Eckerd College Sophie Salomon '18 Jane Anne Donovan '18
Tritons 2 Hana Zwick '18 Jean Crotty '18
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Jesus Cansino '15 Jacqueline Taylor '15
Eagles John Easum '15 Trevor Johnson '16
Florida State University Florida State University Curtis Woodworth '17 [1-8] Michelle Pine '17 [1-6]
Meghan Peltier '16 [7-8]
Florida State Rafael Melendez '17 Janelle Dargham '16
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Daniel Lawless '17 Hannah Knighton '17
Fins 1 Peter Hidley '17 [1-6]
Ian Ikeda '17 [7-8]		 Anna Palmer '17 [1-6]
Lauri Niklason '16 [7-8]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Allison Price '16 Kelsy Waack '18
Fins 2 Natalie Butler '18 [1-6]
Benjamin Tino '16 [7-8]		 Victoria Caba '17 [1-6]
Alexandria Gagne '18 [7-8]
New College of Florida New College of Florida Sophia Schultz '17 James Montgomery '17
Nulls Margaret Swerdloff '17 Cornell Lee '16
Rollins College Rollins College Maria Ayala '18 [1-8] Hannah Friedle '18 [1-6]
Federico Pozas '18 [7-8]
Tars Chance Sweat '16 [1-8] Cayla Jordan '18 [1-6]
Emily Pasco-Anderson '17 [7-8]
University of Florida University of Florida Jack Famiglietti '18 Rachel Daye '18
Gators 1 Samuel Armington '18 Sara Wedemeyer '17
University of Florida University of Florida Benjamin Anderson '18 Gretchen Gutierrez '18
Gators 2 Katie Dodge '18 Tricia Wojtisek '15
University of Miami University of Miami Taylor Scheuermann '15 [1-4]
Bryce Scarfone '15 [5-8]		 Jacob Dannin '18 [1-4]
Hurricanes Geoffrey Calderone '18 [1-7]
Olivia Gassner '18 [8]		 Olivia Gassner '18 [1-7]
Geoffrey Calderone '18 [8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Dean Nixon '16 Devin Hansen '16
Bulls Michael Sanandajian '18 Delaney Caron '18

Conditions — 04/04/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1018.5 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From W (264°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover57% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1018.5 hPa Rain0.12 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Jacksonville: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jacksonville by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at Jacksonville).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →