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PCCSC Women's Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 14 11 25
2 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 34 43 77
3 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 49 40 89
4 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 48 43 91
5 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 57 50 107
6 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 56 55 111
7 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 47 76 123
8 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 71 61 132
9 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 74 73 147
10 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 103 99 202
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 1 3 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 14 Lily Katz '17
Kathryn Booker '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 5 1 2 4 1 2 6 5 6 34 Jennifer Hays '17
Lauren Rehbein '16
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 5 3 8 5 7 3 7 4 3 2 47 Sunny Scarbrough '17
Anna Rubino '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 7 5 4 5 7 4 3 6 3 48 Ginger Luckey '16
Ellen Gable '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 6 2 4 9 3 4 9 5 2 5 49 Francesca Dana '18
Alexandra Cotroneo '17
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 7 6 9 6 1 5 3 2 9 8 56 Louise Currie '18 [1-10]
Cole Brauer '17 [1-2]
Taylor Morgan '16 [3-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 4 2 3 9 6 8 7 8 7 57 Elizabeth Hays '17
Laura Roudebush '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 8 8 6 7 8 8 5 8 4 9 71 Christina Gasparich '19
Mackenzie Freeman '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 9 9 7 8 6 9 6 9 7 4 74 Grace Carrick '18
Sophie Ellison '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 DNF DNF DNF 103 Cheyenne Wright '16
Robyn Gillum '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 11 Maria El-Khazindar '19
Elena Vandenberg '18
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 4 2 6 5 1 4 6 6 3 3 40 Francesca Cappellini '16
Megan Bathen '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 5 4 3 6 6 7 2 4 4 43 Kyra Oakes '18
Ekaterina Goncharova '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 8 8 2 7 5 2 2 5 2 2 43 Olivia Godfrey '17 [1-10]
Sarah Scoffone '19 [1-7]
Claire Stivers '18 [8-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 4 5 4 3 3 5 9 5 9 50 Leah Ford '19
Kylie Sullivan '17
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 9 7 3 2 4 5 3 7 9 6 55 Caitlin Schadt '18
Gianna Bailey '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 5 3 7 6 7 8 4 8 6 7 61 Hollis Barth '16
Melissa Schem '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 6 6 8 9 8 10 8 3 7 8 73 Kathryn Cornella '16 [1-4]
Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker '19 [5-10]
Belle Lemoine '19 [1-7]
Kathryn Cornella '16 [8-10]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 7 9 9 8 9 7 10 4 8 5 76 Julia Jaynes '19 [1-10]
Courtney Pacheco '17 [1-4]
Brooke Scholl '16 [5-10]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 10 10 DNF 99 Hayley Chong '17
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears5555555555
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang1111111111
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers2222222222
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows9999999999
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos3333333333
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans10101010101010101010
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal4444444444
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins6666666666
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons7777777777
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos8888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears5555555555
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang1111111111
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers2222222222
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows9999999999
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos3333333333
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans10101010101010101010
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal4444444444
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins6666666666
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons7777777777
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos8888888888

Conditions — 04/16/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 25%  ·  Pressure 1016.5 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 7.5 kn
Gusts to 21.8 kn
From W (273°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity25% Pressure1016.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn · SW 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC Santa Barbara: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Santa Barbara by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at UC Santa Barbara).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →