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SAISA South Points #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 21 9 30
2 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 20 14 34
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 15 23 38
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 12 28 40
5 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 1 23 17 40
6 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 21 23 44
7 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 17 28 45
8 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 28 28 56
9 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 27 32 59
10 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 2 37 34 71
11 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 52 28 80
12 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 43 49 92
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 1 1 5 5 12 Daniel Lawless '17
Hannah Knighton '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 2 7 4 15 Michael Sanandajian '18
Mandi Dickie '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 4 4 3 6 17 Peter Steo '19
Kelsy Waack '18
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 3 6 1 10 20 Samuel Peirson '17
Jamie Johar '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 9 5 6 1 21 Stephan Verhulst '19
Lauri Niklason '16
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 10 7 2 2 21 Anna Huebschmann '18
Dana Mclean '17
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 1 7 3 4 9 23 Rafael Melendez '17
Hannah Sellers '19
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 6 9 9 3 27 Aaron Burnett '19
Jasmine Dahlby '19
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 5 8 8 7 28 Giancarlo Falconi '16
Nick Gangemi '16
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 2 8 11 10 8 37 No Show
No Show
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 11 10 11 11 43 Benjamin Kaminsky '17
Lisa Diaz '17
Rollins College Rollins College Tars DNS DNS DNS DNS 52 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 1 5 2 1 9 Benjamin Chafee '16
Rebekah Woodburn '19
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 5 6 1 2 14 Geoffrey St. John '19
Kathryn Ross '18
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 1 2 1 5 9 17 Curtis Woodworth '17 [1-4]
Michelle Pine '17 [1-2]
Caitlin Lazarus '19 [3-4]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 6 11 3 3 23 Stanley Carraway '19
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 9 2 8 4 23 Scott Ewing '18
Darby Capellin '19
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 3 9 6 10 28 Benjamin Ringrose '19
Geoffrey Calderone '18
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 4 3 10 11 28 Chad Murray '17 [1-4]
Cori Warren '11 [1-2]
Jose Aponte '18 [3-4]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 10 4 7 7 28 No Show
Jessica Schwartz '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 11 7 4 6 28 Anna Palmer '17
Victoria Caba '17
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 8 10 9 5 32 Maya Kwasniewski '19 [1-4]
Paul Talty '19 [1-2]
Benjamin Anderson '18 [3-4]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 2 7 8 11 8 34 No Show
No Show
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 12 12 DNF 12 49 Nicholas Meury '18
David Still '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 11133
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 22244
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators991111
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles 13355
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles 24466
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 15577
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 26688
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 37799
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 110101212
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 2111111
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars881010
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls121222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 114141616
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 215151717
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators22222424
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles 116161818
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles 217171919
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 118182020
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 219192121
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 320202222
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 123231313
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 224241414
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars21212323
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls13131515

Conditions — 03/26/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 88%  ·  Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.6 kn
avg  ·  max 7.5 kn
Gusts to 14.0 kn
From WNW (292°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine3.2 hrs Humidity88% Pressure1019.9 hPa Rain0.18 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Jacksonville: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.33 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jacksonville by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at Jacksonville).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →