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Webb/Woolum Regatta

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 178
2 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 257
3 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 282
4 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 492
5 Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls 594
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates A 3 3 1 4 1 4 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 6 33 Maximilian Kuester '18
Dario Abou Rjeili '20
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates B 5 4 10 2 7 1 2 8 5 6 4 3 3 1 3 64 Filip Stevanovic '20
Luca Taglialegne '20
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 1 1 9 3 3 2 5 9 4 3 5 10 2 5 9 71 Anders Hudson '17 [1-10]
Vir Menon '20 [11-15]
Laura Kilgore '17 [1-10]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 9 2 4 8 6 5 3 1 1 4 6 7 7 8 8 79 George White '20
Abigail Lockler '18
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains C 2 6 6 5 4 10 7 3 9 10 3 5 6 4 1 81 Amanda Attardi '17
Mikaela Farrugia '20
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates C 10 11 7 10 10 3 4 4 3 2 2 2 8 3 2 81 Elisabeth Kuester '19 [1-15]
Imani Thomas '18 [1-5]
Alyssa Seunarine '17 [6-15]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 7 7 3 7 5 6 6 5 10 9 8 8 5 10 5 101 Brendon Wilkins '18
Molly Sternberg '17
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs C 6 5 11 6 8 8 8 10 7 5 7 6 4 7 4 102 Olivia Windemuller '19
Victoria Ewing '19
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 8 8 2 1 2 11 9 7 8 7 11 9 9 6 7 105 Benjamin Kempton '18 [1-5, 7-15]
Ian O'Connell '20 [6]
Ian O'Connell '20 [1-5, 7-15]
Benjamin Kempton '18 [6]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe A 4 10 12 9 9 7 10 6 6 8 10 4 10 9 10 124 Patrick Mazzeo '18
Emily Cassio '18
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe C 11 9 8 14 12 9 12 12 12 11 12 11 12 12 DNS 173 Alba Fernandez '20
Carol Peng '17
Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls C 14 13 5 12 11 12 13 14 13 13 9 12 11 13 11 176 Matthew Bovard '17
Molly Emery '20
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe B 15 14 14 11 13 13 11 13 11 12 14 15 13 14 12 195 Juliana Rustum '20
Gabriel Freeland '20
Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls A 12 12 13 13 14 14 14 11 15 14 13 13 14 11 14 197 Anastasia Jones '19
Chris Clift '19
Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls B 13 15 15 15 15 15 DNF 15 14 15 15 14 15 DNS 13 221 Elliot Hirtle '20
Joshua Weitman '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains111111111111111
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates444444444444444
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs777777777777777
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Seagulls101010101010101010101010101010
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe131313131313131313131313131313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains222222222222222
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates555555555555555
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs888888888888888
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Seagulls111111111111111111111111111111
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe141414141414141414141414141414

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C11C12C13C14C15C
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains333333333333333
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates666666666666666
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs999999999999999
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Seagulls121212121212121212121212121212
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe151515151515151515151515151515

Conditions — 04/01/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1012.2 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.6 kn
avg  ·  max 12.9 kn
Gusts to 25.9 kn
From NNW (336°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover69% Sunshine8.5 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1012.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 12 kn · NE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Christopher Newport: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christopher Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Christopher Newport).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →