Priddy Trophy

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 14 14
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 16 16
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 25 25
4 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 52 MRP 52 MRP
5 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 2 72 MRP 72 MRP
6 Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 73 MRP 73 MRP
7 Stags Stags Stags 74 MRP 74 MRP
8 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 83 MRP 83 MRP
9 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 1 85 MRP 85 MRP
10 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 86 MRP 86 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 1 1 2 2 1 4 1 14 Michael O'Flaherty '21
Maguire Bennett '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 4 3 1 2 1 2 16 Bram Brakman '21
Robert Bartlett '21
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 3 3 3 4 4 3 2 3 25 Caleb Niles '22
Carter Brock '22
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 6 5 2 5 3 4 3 4 52 MRP Jack Eberhardt '21
Aylla Farias '21
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 2 8 4 5 8 5 7 5 10 72 MRP Anna Spiro '21
Allie White '21
Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 5 6 6 10 6 6 8 6 73 MRP
Stags Stags Stags 4 9 10 1 8 5 9 8 74 MRP
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 7 8 9 6 10 8 6 9 83 MRP Sarah Woodward '21
Christopher Ryan '21
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 1 10 10 8 7 9 9 7 5 85 MRP Hanna Mass '21
Mollie Ockene '21
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 9 7 7 9 7 10 10 7 86 MRP Wynn Simmons '21
Kelsey Black '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1617181910111213
StagsStags Stags1011121314151617
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen1718191011121314
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers 11112131415161718
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers 21213141516171819
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1314151617181910
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1819101112131415
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers1415161718191011
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1516171819101112
BulldogsBulldogs Bulldogs1910111213141516

Conditions — 04/21/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 38%  ·  Pressure 1026.7 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.9 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 20.4 kn
From NW (307°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover11% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity38% Pressure1026.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Sacred Heart: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.30 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sacred Heart by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Sacred Heart).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →