Central Series Four

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 11 6 17
2 Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 11 14 25
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 14 15 29
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 24 5 29
5 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 12 21 33
6 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 17 21 38
7 Brown University Brown University Bears 26 18 44
8 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 25 25 50
9 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 25 27 52
10 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 27 30 57
11 University of Massachusetts at Boston University of Massachusetts at Boston Beacons 25 37 62
12 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 47 19 66
13 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 30 45 75
14 Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 37 43 80
15 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 42 38 80
16 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 40 47 87
17 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 46 48 94
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 5 5 11 Parker Colantuono '22
Kevin Stamp '22
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 5 3 3 11 Colin Snow '22
Thomas Jagielski '22
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 4 2 6 12 Martin Tipton '21
Alexandra Contomichalos '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 6 1 7 14 Matthew Galbraith '21
Zoe Willig '22
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 9 6 2 17 Perham Black '22
Eliza Jevon '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 15 8 1 24 John Duncan '19
Margaret Veltri '20
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 12 11 25 Christopher King '22
William Tagliamonte '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 7 9 9 25 Lucie Ford '20 [1-2]
Alex Bowdler '22 [3]
Alex Bowdler '22 [1-2]
Lucie Ford '20 [3]
University of Massachusetts at Boston University of Massachusetts at Boston Beacons 10 7 8 25 Benjamin Geffken '20
Jasmine Hinkey '21
Brown University Brown University Bears 12 10 4 26 Aryaman Dutta '22
Justin Chiang '21
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 13 4 10 27 Nicholas Memoli '20
Alyson Schwerdtfeger '19
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 14 13 30 Thomas Bouchard '21
Ian Ayer '22
Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 8 13 16 37 Adam Gibbs '22 [1-3]
Grace Mercer '22 [1-2]
Jack Vasquez '21 [3]
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 11 17 12 40 Kate Azar '21
Olivia Laroche '22
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 16 11 15 42 Isaac Bode '20
Lilliana Delmonico '20
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 14 15 17 46 Scott Ferreira '22 [1-3]
Hannah Dillahunt '21 [1-2]
Julia Farr '20 [3]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 17 16 14 47 Lucie Rochat '22
Patrick Stevenson '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 3 1 1 5 Evan Robison '21
Rose O'Neal '22
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 2 3 6 Kyle Nannig '21
Emilia Marino '22
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 7 3 4 14 Alexander Miller '22
Andrew Schnurr '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 8 5 2 15 Bowton Eaves '22
Dorothy Waskow '22
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 7 7 18 Sloane Kratzman '22
Aidan Biondi '22
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 5 4 10 19 Nicholas Leshaw '22
Ding Pang '22
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 10 9 21 Adam Wolnikowski '21
Allison Rice '23
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 9 6 6 21 Preston Anderson '22
Kevin Elk '20
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 6 8 11 25 Molly Hanrahan '22
Mary Persico '21
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 10 9 8 27 Kyle Boucher '21
Olivia Benoit '22
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 14 11 5 30 Kailey Sullivan '21
Kerri Tracy '22
University of Massachusetts at Boston University of Massachusetts at Boston Beacons 11 12 14 37 Max Godbey '19
Mauricio Angelone '20
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 12 14 12 38 Jillian Casey '22
Matthew Little '22
Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 13 13 17 43 Katherine Boback '21
Lynn Fu '22
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 15 17 13 45 Clayton Greig '22
Emily Zaleski '22
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 16 15 16 47 Meghan Timmons '21 [1-2]
Carter Ramquist '21 [3]
Carter Ramquist '21 [1-2]
Meghan Timmons '21 [3]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 17 16 15 48 Austin Schofield '20
Christina Chamberlin '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Mammoths113
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons224
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears336
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears447
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags668
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen131315
University of Massachusetts at BostonUniversity of Massachusetts at Boston Beacons141420
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers7719
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers8810
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats151517
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix191911
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams202018
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks101012
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1111113
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2121214
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue17171
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs18182

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Mammoths224
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons336
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears447
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears668
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags7719
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen141420
University of Massachusetts at BostonUniversity of Massachusetts at Boston Beacons151517
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers8810
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers191911
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats202018
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix101012
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams17171
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks111113
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1121214
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2131315
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue18182
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs113
School / Team SkipperCrew
Amherst College Amherst College Adam Gibbs '22 [1-3] Grace Mercer '22 [1-2]
Jack Vasquez '21 [3]
Mammoths Katherine Boback '21 Lynn Fu '22
Bentley University Bentley University Nicholas Memoli '20 Alyson Schwerdtfeger '19
Falcons Kailey Sullivan '21 Kerri Tracy '22
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Perham Black '22 Eliza Jevon '21
Polar Bears Preston Anderson '22 Kevin Elk '20
Brown University Brown University Aryaman Dutta '22 Justin Chiang '21
Bears Sloane Kratzman '22 Aidan Biondi '22
Fairfield University Fairfield University Isaac Bode '20 Lilliana Delmonico '20
Stags Jillian Casey '22 Matthew Little '22
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Christopher King '22 William Tagliamonte '21
Buccaneers Kyle Boucher '21 Olivia Benoit '22
Middlebury College Middlebury College Lucie Rochat '22 Patrick Stevenson '23
Panthers Nicholas Leshaw '22 Ding Pang '22
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Colin Snow '22 Thomas Jagielski '22
Phoenix Alexander Miller '22 Andrew Schnurr '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Lucie Ford '20 [1-2]
Alex Bowdler '22 [3]
Alex Bowdler '22 [1-2]
Lucie Ford '20 [3]
Seahawks Molly Hanrahan '22 Mary Persico '21
Tufts University Tufts University John Duncan '19 Margaret Veltri '20
Jumbos 1 Evan Robison '21 Rose O'Neal '22
Tufts University Tufts University Matthew Galbraith '21 Zoe Willig '22
Jumbos 2 Bowton Eaves '22 Dorothy Waskow '22
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Scott Ferreira '22 [1-3] Hannah Dillahunt '21 [1-2]
Julia Farr '20 [3]
Minutemen Austin Schofield '20 Christina Chamberlin '20
University of Massachusetts at Boston University of Massachusetts at Boston Benjamin Geffken '20 Jasmine Hinkey '21
Beacons Max Godbey '19 Mauricio Angelone '20
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Thomas Bouchard '21 Ian Ayer '22
Wildcats Clayton Greig '22 Emily Zaleski '22
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Parker Colantuono '22 Kevin Stamp '22
Rams Kyle Nannig '21 Emilia Marino '22
Wellesley College Wellesley College Kate Azar '21 Olivia Laroche '22
Blue Meghan Timmons '21 [1-2]
Carter Ramquist '21 [3]
Carter Ramquist '21 [1-2]
Meghan Timmons '21 [3]
Yale University Yale University Martin Tipton '21 Alexandra Contomichalos '22
Bulldogs Adam Wolnikowski '21 Allison Rice '23

Conditions — 04/14/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1013.1 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From ENE (75°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover84% Sunshine8.7 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1013.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Tufts: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tufts by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (60 labelled days at Tufts).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →