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Salve Saturday Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 78
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 90
3 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 103
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 170
5 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B: Hotshots 172
6 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawk Vanquishers 212
7 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 225
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 B 1 3 2 1 1 7 2 2 2 1 22 Matthew Schryver '20
Taylor Borges '22
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 A 4 11 3 3 2 1 3 4 6 5 42 Parker Colantuono '22
Kevin Stamp '22
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 8 5 1 4 6 4 7 6 1 2 44 Grace Vincens '20
Jennifer Ryan '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 B 3 8 4 2 7 3 1 5 4 11 48 Christian Moffitt '21
Alyssa Hall '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 A 11 1 5 8 10 6 4 3 5 3 56 Garrett Connelly '19
Wyle Goddard '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 5 6 8 12 3 2 8 1 10 4 59 Joey Lark '21
Allison Gilson '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B: Hotshots B 6 7 6 10 4 8 6 8 9 8 72 Alex Bowdler '22
Zachary Steuer '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 B 7 9 9 13 5 5 5 7 11 6 77 Michael O'Flaherty '21
Maguire Bennett '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawk Vanquishers A 2 4 13 7 8 11 9 13 7 7 81 Allie Deluca '21
Peter Cronin '22
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 A 9 2 7 5 13 10 10 9 14 14 93 Kyle Nannig '21
Liz Kass '22
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B: Hotshots A 12 10 11 6 9 12 12 10 8 10 100 Lucie Ford '20
Mary Persico '21
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen B 10 12 12 11 12 9 13 11 3 9 102 Thomas Laskarzewski '22 [1-10]
Alex Cooper '20 [1-5]
Hannah Dillahunt '21 [6-10]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen A 13 14 10 9 11 14 14 14 12 12 123 Timothy Burns '22 [1-10]
Hannah Dillahunt '21 [1-5]
Justin Stott '20 [6-10]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawk Vanquishers B 14 13 14 14 14 13 11 12 13 13 131 Molly Hanrahan '22
Caroline King '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen4444444444
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 15555555555
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 26666666666
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 37777777777
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawk Vanquishers3333333333
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1111111111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks B: Hotshots2222222222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen11111111111111111111
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 112121212121212121212
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 213131313131313131313
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 314141414141414141414
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawk Vanquishers10101010101010101010
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks8888888888
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks B: Hotshots9999999999

Conditions — 03/30/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1019.5 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 17.1 kn
Gusts to 28.4 kn
From SSE (146°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover74% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1019.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Salve Regina: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.24 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Salve Regina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (43 labelled days at Salve Regina).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →