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Anteater Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 14 20 34
2 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 18 37 55
3 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 47 35 82
4 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 57 46 103
5 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 65 44 109
6 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 53 61 114
7 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 75 40 115
8 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 66 62 128
9 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 63 87 150
10 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 62 95 157
11 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 77 80 157
12 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 72 97 169
13 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 108 102 210
14 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 117 99 216
15 Sun Devils 2 Sun Devils 2 Sun Devils 2 108 111 219
16 Sun Devils 1 Sun Devils 1 Sun Devils 1 125 95 220
17 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 101 124 225
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 1 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 14 Nigel Lipps '21
Chieko Imai '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 2 1 1 5 1 2 3 3 18 Nicholas Dorn '22
Eleanore Mcguire-Wien '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 12 10 6 4 5 3 2 5 47 Abraham Dearden '20
Hallie Muller '20
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 3 5 4 2 16 12 9 2 53 Thomas Samuels '21
Sarah Puts '22
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 7 13 3 7 6 7 10 4 57 Neil Gompf '21 [1-8]
Hali Aniol '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexander Myers '22 [3-4, 7-8]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 6 6 7 8 4 13 6 12 62 Erik Hallback '21
Megan Mcglothlin '21
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 9 8 9 6 7 10 4 10 63 Kingsley Ehrich '23
Lindsea Hayes '22
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 4 4 5 12 8 16 7 9 65 Luc Lamontagne '22
Jessica Stewart '23
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 11 9 10 9 2 6 11 8 66 Fisher Price '20
Andrew Keller '23
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 10 12 11 1 13 9 5 11 72 Kevin Gates '27
Mariel Johnson '23
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 5 11 8 11 10 11 13 6 75 Maddy Kuhn '20
Alison Connolly '21
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 8 3 14 10 9 8 12 13 77 Chris Haugen '22
Peyton Nienaber '22
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers DNS DNS DNS 14 14 4 8 7 101 Travis Foust '22 [1-5]
Devon Kurisu '23 [6-8]
Rilee Mello '21 [1-5]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 13 15 15 17 15 5 14 14 108 Jeffrey Romeo '22
Chloe Schofield '23
Sun Devils 2 Sun Devils 2 Sun Devils 2 16 7 13 13 11 DNS 15 15 108
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 14 14 16 15 12 14 16 16 117 Grant Gravallese '22
Sofia Malinovsky '22
Sun Devils 1 Sun Devils 1 Sun Devils 1 15 16 12 16 17 15 17 17 125
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 20 Molly Rowland '21
Megan Saenz '22
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 7 1 3 10 3 1 2 8 35 Ian Marshall '22
Megan Purl '21
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 1 OCS 1 1 1 13 1 1 37 Noah Barton '23
Shea Goodner '21
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 4 4 4 4 8 5 8 3 40 Mary Jane Howland '22
Mackenzie Maclean '21
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 3 7 7 5 4 11 5 2 44 Sophia Zaleski '22 [1-8]
Iesha Carter '23 [1-6]
Marlena Tavernier-Fine '22 [7-8]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 5 6 8 7 6 4 4 6 46 Paulo Garcia Lopez '21
Can Ding '23
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 10 5 5 3 10 3 12 13 61 Jonah Brees '23
Kasey Stoudt '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 15 8 6 6 5 9 6 7 62 Canyon Breyer '20
Jessica Dally '22
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 6 OCS 10 9 7 14 7 9 80 Macy Rowe '23
Robyn Zulauf '20
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 DNS 13 17 8 11 6 9 5 87 James Guiraud '21
Kyla Burmester '23
Sun Devils 1 Sun Devils 1 Sun Devils 1 11 10 9 11 14 15 14 11 95
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 14 9 11 13 13 10 13 12 95 Andrew Bittner '21
No Show
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 9 OCS 12 14 12 7 11 14 97 Olivia Feito '22
Michael Boyd '21
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 8 2 14 12 15 16 16 16 99 Julio Hurtado '20
Jeremy Burke '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 12 11 13 17 17 12 10 10 102 Benjamin Tegeler '20
Conor Henson '20
Sun Devils 2 Sun Devils 2 Sun Devils 2 13 DNS 16 15 9 8 15 17 111
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 16 12 15 16 16 17 17 15 124 Sebastian Guerra '20 [1-8]
Dane Williams '23 [1-5]
Clara Baillie '21 [6-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Sun Devils 1Sun Devils 1 Sun Devils 13939393939393939
Sun Devils 2Sun Devils 2 Sun Devils 24040404040404040
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 16262626262626262
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 26464646464646464
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1250250250250250250250250
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2260260260260260260260260
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins99999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers88888888
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs1515151515151515
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies4747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters2525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 12828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 22727272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1301301301301301301301301
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2291291291291291291291291
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3292292292292292292292292
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs3333333333333333

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Sun Devils 1Sun Devils 1 Sun Devils 13939393939393939
Sun Devils 2Sun Devils 2 Sun Devils 24040404040404040
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 16262626262626262
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 26464646464646464
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1250250250250250250250250
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2260260260260260260260260
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins99999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers88888888
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs1515151515151515
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies4747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters2525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 12828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 22727272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1301301301301301301301301
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2291291291291291291291291
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3292292292292292292292292
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs3333333333333333
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Chris Haugen '22 Peyton Nienaber '22
Mustangs 1 Macy Rowe '23 Robyn Zulauf '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Jeffrey Romeo '22 Chloe Schofield '23
Mustangs 2 Benjamin Tegeler '20 Conor Henson '20
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Kevin Gates '27 Mariel Johnson '23
Dolphins Olivia Feito '22 Michael Boyd '21
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Travis Foust '22 [1-5]
Devon Kurisu '23 [6-8]		 Rilee Mello '21 [1-5]
49ers Sebastian Guerra '20 [1-8] Dane Williams '23 [1-5]
Clara Baillie '21 [6-8]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Erik Hallback '21 Megan Mcglothlin '21
Aztecs Andrew Bittner '21 No Show
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Kingsley Ehrich '23 Lindsea Hayes '22
Bears 1 James Guiraud '21 Kyla Burmester '23
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Luc Lamontagne '22 Jessica Stewart '23
Bears 2 Sophia Zaleski '22 [1-8] Iesha Carter '23 [1-6]
Marlena Tavernier-Fine '22 [7-8]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Thomas Samuels '21 Sarah Puts '22
Aggies Jonah Brees '23 Kasey Stoudt '20
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Neil Gompf '21 [1-8] Hali Aniol '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexander Myers '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Anteaters Paulo Garcia Lopez '21 Can Ding '23
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Abraham Dearden '20 Hallie Muller '20
Bruins 1 Ian Marshall '22 Megan Purl '21
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Maddy Kuhn '20 Alison Connolly '21
Bruins 2 Mary Jane Howland '22 Mackenzie Maclean '21
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nicholas Dorn '22 Eleanore Mcguire-Wien '20
Tritons 1 Noah Barton '23 Shea Goodner '21
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nigel Lipps '21 Chieko Imai '20
Tritons 2 Molly Rowland '21 Megan Saenz '22
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Fisher Price '20 Andrew Keller '23
Tritons 3 Canyon Breyer '20 Jessica Dally '22
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Grant Gravallese '22 Sofia Malinovsky '22
Banana Slugs Julio Hurtado '20 Jeremy Burke '20

Conditions — 03/07/2020 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1016.1 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.1 kn
avg  ·  max 10.6 kn
Gusts to 23.5 kn
From SSW (197°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover90% Sunshine7.8 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1016.1 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn · SW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC Irvine: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.27 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Irvine by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at UC Irvine, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →