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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 30 17 47
2 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 32 38 70
3 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 48 25 73
4 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 37 47 84
5 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 50 41 91
6 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 61 62 123
7 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Mama Bears 51 78 129
8 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 58 74 132
9 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 75 58 133
10 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 14 128 142
11 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 83 72 155
12 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 103 73 176
13 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 96 83 179
14 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 103 96 199
15 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 115 88 203
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 4 14 Paul Didham '22
Connor Kobel '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 2 4 6 1 1 3 11 30 Liam Hood '20
Alyson Crowley '20
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 5 3 2 2 7 4 6 3 32 Aitor Iriso '21
William Michael '21
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 4 RDG 7 5 5 2 6 37 Margot Mason '21
Sophie Thompson '21
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 4 10 6 3 6 7 5 7 48 Gideon Burnes Heath '23
Mackenzie Maclean '21
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 10 6 5 4 3 6 7 9 50 Maddy Kuhn '20
Emma Worthington '23
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Mama Bears 9 5 3 5 10 8 9 2 51 Kingsley Ehrich '23
Lindsea Hayes '22
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 6 OCS 13 8 4 2 4 5 58 Thomas Samuels '21
Sara Tamayo-Correa '22
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 7 7 7 9 9 13 8 1 61 Erik Hallback '21
Quinn Schott '22
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 12 8 9 11 8 9 10 8 75 Drake Baldwin '20
Can Ding '23
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 8 9 8 10 11 10 12 15 83 Francesco Olivero '21 [1-8]
Caroline Sobek '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Julie Soules '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 11 12 14 14 13 11 11 10 96 Canyon Breyer '20
Jessica Dally '22
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 13 13 10 DNS 12 14 13 12 103 Kevin Gates '27
Jessica Morales '23
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 15 11 11 12 14 12 14 14 103 Liam Patrick '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Caila Devlin '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Josh Brooks '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Aaron Helfgott '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 14 14 DSQ 13 15 15 15 13 115 John Rzepczynski '21 [1-2]
Kekoa Blair '22 [3-6]
Isabel Lira '23 [7-8]
Kekoa Blair '22 [1-2]
John Rzepczynski '21 [3-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 2 1 2 2 1 4 4 17 Kai Ponting '23
Peyton Nienaber '22
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 5 1 2 1 3 2 9 2 25 Ian Marshall '22
Megan Purl '21
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 7 3 3 5 5 5 2 8 38 Keelin Davis '21
Adam Deming '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 6 4 7 4 4 4 6 6 41 Mary Jane Howland '22
Hallie Muller '20
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 7 DNS DNS 1 3 1 1 47 Ariana Fernandez '23
Eliana Tucker '23
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 12 9 8 3 9 9 5 3 58 Neil Gompf '21
Buttler Gao '23
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 13 6 4 10 6 6 10 7 62 Andrew Bittner '21 [1-8]
Samantha Dentzer '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Stella Greenwood '22 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 9 14 6 6 14 7 7 9 72 Nicolas Deshler '20
Alex Ferry '21
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 3 12 10 11 8 11 13 5 73 Olivia Feito '22
Declan Dury '22
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 10 8 12 9 7 8 8 12 74 Konrad Brine '20
Sarah Puts '22
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Mama Bears 11 11 5 7 10 12 11 11 78 Sophia Zaleski '22
Nora Giannoni '23
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 8 5 DNS DNS 12 10 3 13 83 Marie-Laure Golier '21
Keiran Hadley '21
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 4 10 11 12 13 DNF 12 10 88 Jay Weber '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Bennett Dorsey '22 [3-4]
Bennett Dorsey '22 [1-2]
Isabel Lira '23 [3-8]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 14 13 9 8 11 13 14 14 96 Sasha Wilson '23
Sonia Kortenkamp '23
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 128 Alex Demmler '20 [1-8]
Samantha Ho '21 [1-2, 5-8]
Sebastian Guerra '20 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears6363636363636363
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Mama Bears6464646464646464
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins109109109109109109109109
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers77777777
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters1212121212121212
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs1515151515151515
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos1919191919191919
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies4747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters2525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 12727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 22828282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons292292292292292292292292
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos3131313131313131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs3434343434343434

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears6363636363636363
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Mama Bears6464646464646464
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins109109109109109109109109
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers77777777
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters1212121212121212
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs1515151515151515
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos1919191919191919
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies4747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters2525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 12727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 22828282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons292292292292292292292292
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos3131313131313131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs3434343434343434
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Liam Hood '20 Alyson Crowley '20
Mustangs Kai Ponting '23 Peyton Nienaber '22
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Kevin Gates '27 Jessica Morales '23
Dolphins Olivia Feito '22 Declan Dury '22
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Paul Didham '22 Connor Kobel '19
49ers Alex Demmler '20 [1-8] Samantha Ho '21 [1-2, 5-8]
Sebastian Guerra '20 [3-4]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Liam Patrick '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Caila Devlin '21 [3-4, 7-8]		 Josh Brooks '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Aaron Helfgott '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Otters Sasha Wilson '23 Sonia Kortenkamp '23
San Diego State University San Diego State University Erik Hallback '21 Quinn Schott '22
Aztecs Andrew Bittner '21 [1-8] Samantha Dentzer '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Stella Greenwood '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University John Rzepczynski '21 [1-2]
Kekoa Blair '22 [3-6]
Isabel Lira '23 [7-8]		 Kekoa Blair '22 [1-2]
John Rzepczynski '21 [3-6]
Broncos Jay Weber '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Bennett Dorsey '22 [3-4]		 Bennett Dorsey '22 [1-2]
Isabel Lira '23 [3-8]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Francesco Olivero '21 [1-8] Caroline Sobek '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Julie Soules '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Bears Nicolas Deshler '20 Alex Ferry '21
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Kingsley Ehrich '23 Lindsea Hayes '22
Mama Bears Sophia Zaleski '22 Nora Giannoni '23
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Thomas Samuels '21 Sara Tamayo-Correa '22
Aggies Konrad Brine '20 Sarah Puts '22
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Drake Baldwin '20 Can Ding '23
Anteaters Neil Gompf '21 Buttler Gao '23
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Gideon Burnes Heath '23 Mackenzie Maclean '21
Bruins 1 Ian Marshall '22 Megan Purl '21
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Maddy Kuhn '20 Emma Worthington '23
Bruins 2 Mary Jane Howland '22 Hallie Muller '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Canyon Breyer '20 Jessica Dally '22
Tritons Marie-Laure Golier '21 Keiran Hadley '21
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Margot Mason '21 Sophie Thompson '21
Gauchos Ariana Fernandez '23 Eliana Tucker '23
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Aitor Iriso '21 William Michael '21
Banana Slugs Keelin Davis '21 Adam Deming '20

Conditions — 02/29/2020 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1017.1 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.9 kn
avg  ·  max 8.5 kn
Gusts to 21.8 kn
From SSW (204°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover28% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1017.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn · W 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cal Poly: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.24 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cal Poly by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Cal Poly, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →