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Mustang Open Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 34 27 61
2 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 25 44 69
3 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 59 44 103
4 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 1 76 35 111
5 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 42 103 145
6 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 54 99 153
7 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2 73 84 157
8 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 90 81 171
9 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 78 100 178
10 Aztecs 2 Aztecs 2 Aztecs 2 67 126 193
11 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 3 138 56 194
12 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 83 115 198
13 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 92 114 206
14 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 100 111 211
15 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 121 129 250
16 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 153 98 251
17 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 156 96 252
18 Aztecs 1 Aztecs 1 Aztecs 1 118 162 280
19 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 143 159 302
20 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 175 128 303
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 4 4 3 2 2 3 3 3 25 Nicholas Mueller '27
Mateo Krok '27
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 4 3 BYE 7 3 1 2 8 2 34 Luke Harris '27
Ava Bergan '27
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 11 12 1 1 1 3 4 4 5 42 Marianna Shand '24 [1-9]
Neomi Goodman '24 [1-2]
Linnea Jackson '25 [3-7]
Teresa Dang '24 [8-9]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 6 2 3 11 8 9 1 5 9 54 Matt Grimsley '26
Patrick Gardiner '26
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 9 6 2 8 5 7 7 9 6 59 Max Case '24
Mira Shupe '26
Aztecs 2 Aztecs 2 Aztecs 2 7 5 6 13 6 6 10 6 8 67
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2 8 10 7 6 11 11 6 7 7 73 Carter Anderson '27
Conor Kim '27
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 1 3 8 5 9 9 5 11 14 12 76 Blake Roberts '25
Lucas Elliott '25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 5 1 17 2 7 12 12 12 10 78 Katherine Olsen '25
Catherine Arcaris '26
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 12 9 11 5 12 13 9 1 11 83 Enzo Cremers '24
Ines Huret '24
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 10 17 13 10 10 4 15 10 1 90 Ximena Greatorex '25 [1-2]
Florence Duff '25 [3-9]
Emily Yong '25 [1-2]
Claire Wiley '27 [3-9]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 15 11 8 12 13 14 13 2 4 92 Rory Collins '25
Taylor Modrcin '25
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 16 16 12 14 4 8 5 11 14 100 Brendan O'Connor '27
Liza Churkov '25
Aztecs 1 Aztecs 1 Aztecs 1 13 7 14 4 19 16 8 17 20 118
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 2 13 9 16 17 10 19 19 16 121
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 3 14 20 10 18 15 15 14 15 17 138 Nikita Swatek '25
Kean Kennedy '25
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 18 14 18 15 14 20 18 13 13 143 Nejan Gunawardena '27
Lynn Park '24
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 17 18 15 20 18 18 16 16 15 153 Katherine Smith '24
Tabitha Campbell '25
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 19 15 16 17 16 17 17 20 19 156 Gennis Marie Pilapil '25
Sriskandha Kandimalla '25
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos DNS 19 DNS 19 20 19 20 18 18 175 Chase Vanderveer '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 4 BYE 3 3 1 1 1 10 1 27 Hudson Mayfield '27 [1-9]
Ariana Gabier '24 [1-7]
Edward Ansart '24 [8-9]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 1 1 3 8 1 2 2 3 2 13 35 Andrew Ring '25
Crawford Patten '26
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 2 2 2 OCS 4 6 4 1 2 44 Robert Bloomfield '26 [1-9]
Samuel Groom '24 [1-5, 8-9]
Gabriel Gargiulo '25 [6-7]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 3 1 1 OCS 3 3 2 6 4 44 Sam Jennings '27
Logan Chapman '26
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 3 5 7 4 4 5 7 9 8 7 56 Adam Leddy '25
Matthew Stank '27
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 10 5 10 13 18 8 11 3 3 81 Sienna Stromberg '25 [1-2, 6-9]
Paige O’Dell '27 [3-5]
Simone Karlon '27 [1-2, 6-9]
Yulia Polischuk '27 [3-5]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2 6 8 19 2 9 12 13 9 6 84 Sophia Meyers '27 [1-9]
Asha Myers '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Sophia Preston '27 [3-4, 8-9]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 15 10 7 5 10 18 15 4 12 96 Emma Feasey '25
Valentina Garcia '26
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 13 16 20 9 6 4 8 11 BYE 98 Alexandra Toaxen '27
Della Eckenrod '25
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 16 11 11 11 15 5 10 5 15 99 William Bailly '26
Austin Hargus '27
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 7 14 16 OCS 14 10 6 7 5 100 Fiona Wu '25
Paula Castillo Hi Espino '27
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 8 12 6 6 8 20 17 12 14 103 Conrad Kistler '26 [1-9]
Teresa Dang '24 [1-5]
Neomi Goodman '24 [6-7]
Marianna Shand '24 [8-9]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 12 6 13 OCS 13 15 5 17 9 111 Andrew Keller '23
Leyla Mumcuoglu '27
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 14 13 9 15 11 11 7 18 16 114 Jonah Eckerman '27
Talia Frank '25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 OCS 9 5 10 17 9 DNS 15 8 115 Ethan Lisle '25
Dante Drolet '26
Aztecs 2 Aztecs 2 Aztecs 2 9 18 12 OCS 7 14 16 19 10 126
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 11 17 15 14 12 13 12 16 18 128 Ba-Duong Nguyen '25
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 17 15 17 7 16 19 14 13 11 129
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 DNS DNS 14 12 20 17 DNS 14 19 159 Mason Read '24
Thu Vo '24
Aztecs 1 Aztecs 1 Aztecs 1 OCS 19 18 8 19 16 DNS 20 20 162
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils140140140140140140140140140
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 1222222222
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 2999999999
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers101101101101101101101101101
Aztecs 1Aztecs 1 Aztecs 1151515151515151515
Aztecs 2Aztecs 2 Aztecs 2161616161616161616
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans383838383838383838
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 1262626262626262626
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 2260260260260260260260260260
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 3252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2282828282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos323232323232323232
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 1133133133133133133133133133
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2343434343434343434

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils140140140140140140140140140
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 1222222222
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 2999999999
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers101101101101101101101101101
Aztecs 1Aztecs 1 Aztecs 1151515151515151515
Aztecs 2Aztecs 2 Aztecs 2161616161616161616
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans383838383838383838
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 1262626262626262626
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 2260260260260260260260260260
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 3252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2282828282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos323232323232323232
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 1133133133133133133133133133
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2343434343434343434
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Matt Grimsley '26 Patrick Gardiner '26
Sun Devils William Bailly '26 Austin Hargus '27
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Max Case '24 Mira Shupe '26
Mustangs 1 Robert Bloomfield '26 [1-9] Samuel Groom '24 [1-5, 8-9]
Gabriel Gargiulo '25 [6-7]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Ximena Greatorex '25 [1-2]
Florence Duff '25 [3-9]		 Emily Yong '25 [1-2]
Claire Wiley '27 [3-9]
Mustangs 2 Sienna Stromberg '25 [1-2, 6-9]
Paige O’Dell '27 [3-5]		 Simone Karlon '27 [1-2, 6-9]
Yulia Polischuk '27 [3-5]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Nicholas Mueller '27 Mateo Krok '27
Keelhaulers Sam Jennings '27 Logan Chapman '26
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Chase Vanderveer '27
Broncos Ba-Duong Nguyen '25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Enzo Cremers '24 Ines Huret '24
Bears 1 Ethan Lisle '25 Dante Drolet '26
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Katherine Olsen '25 Catherine Arcaris '26
Bears 2 Fiona Wu '25 Paula Castillo Hi Espino '27
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Gennis Marie Pilapil '25 Sriskandha Kandimalla '25
Anteaters 1 Emma Feasey '25 Valentina Garcia '26
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Nejan Gunawardena '27 Lynn Park '24
Anteaters 2 Mason Read '24 Thu Vo '24
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Nikita Swatek '25 Kean Kennedy '25
Anteaters 3 Adam Leddy '25 Matthew Stank '27
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Katherine Smith '24 Tabitha Campbell '25
Bruins 1 Alexandra Toaxen '27 Della Eckenrod '25
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Marianna Shand '24 [1-9] Neomi Goodman '24 [1-2]
Linnea Jackson '25 [3-7]
Teresa Dang '24 [8-9]
Bruins 2 Conrad Kistler '26 [1-9] Teresa Dang '24 [1-5]
Neomi Goodman '24 [6-7]
Marianna Shand '24 [8-9]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Brendan O'Connor '27 Liza Churkov '25
Tritons 1 Andrew Keller '23 Leyla Mumcuoglu '27
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Rory Collins '25 Taylor Modrcin '25
Gauchos Jonah Eckerman '27 Talia Frank '25
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Blake Roberts '25 Lucas Elliott '25
Banana Slugs 1 Andrew Ring '25 Crawford Patten '26
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Carter Anderson '27 Conor Kim '27
Banana Slugs 2 Sophia Meyers '27 [1-9] Asha Myers '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Sophia Preston '27 [3-4, 8-9]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Luke Harris '27 Ava Bergan '27
Trojans Hudson Mayfield '27 [1-9] Ariana Gabier '24 [1-7]
Edward Ansart '24 [8-9]

Conditions — 02/24/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1016.5 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.7 kn
Gusts to 12.2 kn
From SW (230°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover39% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1016.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn · SW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cal Poly: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cal Poly by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Cal Poly, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →