Massachusetts Institute of Technology '13
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.83 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 37 | Fall 2012 |
| Keelboat | 1.48 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 9 | Fall 2012 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.59 (fleet 3.58) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 8–24 (25%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2013 | 2 | 8–10 | — |
| Fall 2012 | 1 | 0–14 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (5 matches) the record is 0–5 against 2.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−2.4). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 5 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-05-04 | Fowle Trophy | skipper | 3.48 | 0.48 | 0–5 | 2.4 | ≤−3.00 | 5.1 | >99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | D | 12 | 7.4 | 3.21 |
| Sharpe Trophy | Skipper | TR | 13 | 62% | — |
| NEISA Dinghy Champs/CG Alumni Bowl | Skipper | B | 15 | 6.2 | 3.94 |
| Gill Coed Championships | Skipper | B | 7 | 11.0 | 3.17 |
| Fowle Trophy | Skipper | TR | 5 | 0% | — |
| Boston Dinghy Club Challenge Cup | Skipper | B | 17 | 6.5 | 3.78 |
| College Sailing Western Semifinal | Skipper | B | 8 | 7.4 | 3.28 |
| Fall 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 4.9 | 4.37 |
| Pine Trophy Keelboat | Skipper | A | 9 | 4.1 | 1.48 |
| NEISA Men's Singlehanded Championship Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 18 | 8.4 | 3.23 |
| The Hatch Brown Trophy | Skipper | B | 15 | 6.6 | 3.66 |
| Hap Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 0% | — |
| Erwin Schell Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 6.1 | 3.70 |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | B | 9 | 7.0 | 3.79 |
| ACC-qualified NE FR Scrimmage | Skipper | B | 6 | 8.7 | 2.16 |
| Spring 2011 Team page Season | |||||
| NEISA Coed Dinghy Championship | Crew | A | 2 | 12.5 | — |
| 82nd Boston Dinghy Cup | Skipper | A | 4 | 13.5 | 1.93 |
| Fall 2010 Team page Season | |||||
| Professor Steadman Hood Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 13.5 | 1.35 |
| Penbay Open | Skipper | A | 11 | 9.5 | 1.55 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 9 | 3.8 | 2.98 |
| Navy Fall | Skipper | D | 19 | 4.7 | 3.44 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy | Skipper | A | 7 | 8.6 | 3.20 |
| 70th Erwin Schell Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 13.8 | 1.41 |
| Atlantic Coast Dinghies | Skipper | B | 5 | 9.6 | 3.18 |
| Spring 2010 Team page Season | |||||
| The Boston Dinghy Cup | Skipper | C | 17 | 4.9 | 3.38 |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | C | 9 | 9.7 | 2.15 |
| 2010 New England | Skipper | B | 2 | 17.0 | -0.23 |
| Fall 2009 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy- Greater Boston | Skipper | B | 12 | 8.7 | 2.21 |
| Men's Ne Singlehanded Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 19 | 9.3 | 2.84 |
| The Hatch Brown Trophy | Skipper | C | 18 | 6.1 | 3.36 |
| Harry Anderson Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 10.4 | 2.58 |
| 68th Erwin Schell Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 9.4 | 3.09 |
| Spring 2009 Team page Season | |||||
| 80th Boston DinghyCup | Skipper | C | 14 | 10.3 | 1.91 |
| Fall 2008 Team page Season | |||||
| Smith Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 7.2 | 2.80 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | A | 17 | 9.5 | 1.79 |
| Hatch Brown | Skipper | C | 12 | 11.5 | 1.81 |
| BU Invite @ MIT | Skipper | A | 6 | 1.2 | 5.95 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
