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Halloween Spectacular

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 1 24 19 43
2 Orono High School Orono High School Varsity 20 44 64
3 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 58 22 80
4 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 30 56 86
5 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 32 57 89
6 St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Gold 48 41 89
7 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 49 43 92
8 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 54 45 99
9 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 45 62 107
10 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 1 57 63 120
11 Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 82 49 131
12 St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Maroon 81 51 132
13 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 45 87 132
14 Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 2 76 98 174
15 Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 113 66 179
16 Big Foot High School Big Foot High School Varsity 83 117 200
17 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 124 79 203
18 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 95 MRP 114 MRP 209 MRP
19 Badger High School Badger High School Varsity 114 106 220
20 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Varsity 106 115 221
21 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 102 127 229
22 Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 138 MRP 124 MRP 262 MRP
23 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 2 136 128 264
24 Skyhawks Skyhawks Skyhawks 154 MRP 162 MRP 316 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Orono High School Orono High School Varsity 8 2 3 3 1 3 20 Samuel Bartel '18
Erik Sundberg '17
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 1 2 7 1 1 2 11 24 Christian Spencer '18
Maddie Crucius '20
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 1 1 2 7 4 15 30 Gloria Kevliciute '17
Becca Rose '17
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 3 4 4 5 13 32 Lily Loosbrock '17
Berette Mcnaught '16
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 10 5 12 8 8 2 45 Spencer Keenan '17
Lolly Vasilion '18
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 11 8 7 6 12 1 45 Owen Hall '16
Cynthia Rodriguez-Huspen '17
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Gold 13 10 10 2 9 4 48 Bridget Groble '17
Matthew Alfano '17
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 5 4 13 13 6 8 49 Phoebe Lincoln '16
Matteo Torquati '19
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 7 15 11 11 3 7 54 Will Davies '18 [1-4]
Allie Cahn '16 [5-6]
Emma Hyer '18 [1-4]
Julia Fairbank '19 [5-6]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 1 6 9 9 10 11 12 57 Brady Carlson '17
Macy Saucke '19
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 12 6 5 12 13 10 58 Hayden Easom '17 [1-6]
Gaby Ahlstrom '16 [1-4]
Chris Lecompte '17 [5-6]
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 2 16 13 6 5 15 21 76 Paul Mclean '17
Alex Guindon '17
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Maroon 9 16 DSQ 19 7 5 81 Logan O'Connor '17
Serena White '19
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 18 12 14 14 18 6 82 Jacob Dannhausen-Brun '16
Evan Kavooras '17
Big Foot High School Big Foot High School Varsity 19 11 15 15 14 9 83 Jacob Stout '16
Christian Karabas '19
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 4 18 8 9 20 16 95 MRP Nicholas Elsasser '18 [1-6]
Sarah Tompsidis '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Connor Sheridan '18 [3-4]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 14 14 17 18 16 23 102 Noah Barton '19 [1-6]
Katie Lowenbaum '17 [1-2]
Zach Nagel '19 [3-6]
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Varsity 17 19 21 DNS 10 14 106 Greg Wootton '19 [1-6]
Grayson Hunter '19 [1-2]
Leo Mancini '19 [3-6]
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 20 17 16 16 22 22 113 Topher Andersen '17
Hadley Reetz '17
Badger High School Badger High School Varsity 15 20 20 20 19 20 114 Josh Bakken '16
Jack Anderson '18
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 23 22 19 17 24 19 124 Austin Suvari '19 [1-6]
Lucy Mulvihill '18 [1-2]
James Zampa '16 [3-4]
Jack Suvari '19 [5-6]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 2 22 23 22 22 23 24 136 Megan Grosspietsch '16
Claire Phelps '19
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 24 21 18 21 17 17 138 MRP Chris Hummel '18
Sam Wojcik '19
Skyhawks Skyhawks Skyhawks 21 24 DNS DNS 21 18 154 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 1 1 1 1 9 1 6 19 Alex Keck '17
Maloy Murphy '19
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 2 3 2 5 9 1 22 Peter Reckamp '16 [1-6]
Lily Szymanski '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Sadera '18 [3-4]
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Gold 6 9 3 8 7 8 41 Aisling Sullivan '18 [1-6]
Tiernaur Anderson '16 [1-4]
Anna Cole '16 [5-6]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 3 6 5 13 5 11 43 Colleen Baumann '17
Lillian Nemeth '18
Orono High School Orono High School Varsity 7 10 9 1 8 9 44 Solomon Dworsky '17 [1-6]
Erich Pinske '18 [1-4]
Kristin Berg '17 [5-6]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 4 4 12 3 18 4 45 Marleigh Belsley '19 [1-4]
Nikolas Chambers '19 [5-6]
Chris Reuter '19 [1-4]
Marleigh Belsley '19 [5-6]
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 15 8 11 7 6 2 49 Sherman Thompson '18
David Phlamm '18
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Maroon 9 7 6 12 4 13 51 Ray Groble '17 [1-6]
Nicholas Alfano '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Abby Mcfadyen '16 [3-4]
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 11 2 16 2 15 10 56 Peter Odom '17
Caroline Bernet '17
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 14 5 4 17 12 5 57 Carl Eaton '17
Lizzy Holimann '16
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 12 12 7 6 2 23 62 Alex Fowkes '16
Caroline O'Malley '17
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 1 8 13 13 16 10 3 63 Connor Carlson '17
Sylvia Kush '18
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 13 15 10 10 11 7 66 Eric Hoyerman '19 [1-6]
Kelsey Weddig '18 [1-2]
Kaylee Weddig '18 [3-6]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 17 17 8 4 13 20 79 Han-Ray Jahn '17 [1-6]
Logan Pearlman '16 [1-4]
Rowan Henke '17 [5-6]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 5 11 21 11 21 18 87 Rory Neenan '18 [1-6]
Claire Russell '18 [1, 5-6]
Will Flocco '16 [2-4]
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 2 DNF 14 14 15 14 16 98 Myles Murphy '16
Stefan Yergens '18
Badger High School Badger High School Varsity 18 18 17 19 17 17 106 Carson Hillier '18
Michael Butler '16
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 10 16 DNS 21 3 19 114 MRP Helen Randolph '17 [1-2, 5-6]
William Porter '18 [3-4]
Ryan Benson '19 [1-4]
Su Yardimci '18 [5-6]
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Varsity 19 19 22 23 20 12 115 Preston Anderson '18 [1-6]
Laurel Schenkman '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Grayson Hunter '19 [3-4]
Big Foot High School Big Foot High School Varsity 16 OCS 18 20 23 15 117 Bo Freytag '18
Ben Malone '16
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 20 DNS 15 14 16 14 124 MRP Casey Gignac '18
Lily Wojcik '18
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 22 OCS 19 18 19 24 127 Nathan Whisner '19 [1-4]
Will Hurley '17 [5-6]
Will Hurley '17 [1-2]
Katie Lowenbaum '17 [3-6]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 2 21 20 20 22 24 21 128 Graves Anna '18
Mackenzie Saucke '17
Skyhawks Skyhawks Skyhawks 23 DNS DNS DNS 22 22 162 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Badger High SchoolBadger High School Varsity16161818
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Varsity17171919
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons1919
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons 11616
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons 21717
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Varsity161618182020
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Gold18182020
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Maroon17171919
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity2020

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Badger High SchoolBadger High School Varsity17171919
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Varsity161618182020
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons2020
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 21616
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons 11717
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons 216161818
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Varsity17171919
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Gold1919
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Maroon18182020
School / Team SkipperCrew
Badger High School Badger High School Josh Bakken '16 Jack Anderson '18
Varsity Carson Hillier '18 Michael Butler '16
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Greg Wootton '19 [1-6] Grayson Hunter '19 [1-2]
Leo Mancini '19 [3-6]
Varsity Preston Anderson '18 [1-6] Laurel Schenkman '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Grayson Hunter '19 [3-4]
Big Foot High School Big Foot High School Jacob Stout '16 Christian Karabas '19
Varsity Bo Freytag '18 Ben Malone '16
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Austin Suvari '19 [1-6] Lucy Mulvihill '18 [1-2]
James Zampa '16 [3-4]
Jack Suvari '19 [5-6]
Varsity Han-Ray Jahn '17 [1-6] Logan Pearlman '16 [1-4]
Rowan Henke '17 [5-6]
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Topher Andersen '17 Hadley Reetz '17
Vikings Eric Hoyerman '19 [1-6] Kelsey Weddig '18 [1-2]
Kaylee Weddig '18 [3-6]
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Jacob Dannhausen-Brun '16 Evan Kavooras '17
Varsity Sherman Thompson '18 David Phlamm '18
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Christian Spencer '18 Maddie Crucius '20
Varsity 1 Alex Keck '17 Maloy Murphy '19
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Paul Mclean '17 Alex Guindon '17
Varsity 2 Myles Murphy '16 Stefan Yergens '18
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Nicholas Elsasser '18 [1-6] Sarah Tompsidis '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Connor Sheridan '18 [3-4]
Scouts Helen Randolph '17 [1-2, 5-6]
William Porter '18 [3-4]		 Ryan Benson '19 [1-4]
Su Yardimci '18 [5-6]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Will Davies '18 [1-4]
Allie Cahn '16 [5-6]		 Emma Hyer '18 [1-4]
Julia Fairbank '19 [5-6]
Varsity Marleigh Belsley '19 [1-4]
Nikolas Chambers '19 [5-6]		 Chris Reuter '19 [1-4]
Marleigh Belsley '19 [5-6]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Hayden Easom '17 [1-6] Gaby Ahlstrom '16 [1-4]
Chris Lecompte '17 [5-6]
Ramblers 1 Peter Reckamp '16 [1-6] Lily Szymanski '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Sadera '18 [3-4]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Owen Hall '16 Cynthia Rodriguez-Huspen '17
Ramblers 2 Rory Neenan '18 [1-6] Claire Russell '18 [1, 5-6]
Will Flocco '16 [2-4]
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Chris Hummel '18 Sam Wojcik '19
Lions Casey Gignac '18 Lily Wojcik '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Lily Loosbrock '17 Berette Mcnaught '16
Skippers Carl Eaton '17 Lizzy Holimann '16
New Trier HS New Trier HS Spencer Keenan '17 Lolly Vasilion '18
Trevian 1 Alex Fowkes '16 Caroline O'Malley '17
New Trier HS New Trier HS Noah Barton '19 [1-6] Katie Lowenbaum '17 [1-2]
Zach Nagel '19 [3-6]
Trevian 2 Nathan Whisner '19 [1-4]
Will Hurley '17 [5-6]		 Will Hurley '17 [1-2]
Katie Lowenbaum '17 [3-6]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Brady Carlson '17 Macy Saucke '19
Raccoons 1 Connor Carlson '17 Sylvia Kush '18
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Megan Grosspietsch '16 Claire Phelps '19
Raccoons 2 Graves Anna '18 Mackenzie Saucke '17
Orono High School Orono High School Samuel Bartel '18 Erik Sundberg '17
Varsity Solomon Dworsky '17 [1-6] Erich Pinske '18 [1-4]
Kristin Berg '17 [5-6]
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Bridget Groble '17 Matthew Alfano '17
Gold Aisling Sullivan '18 [1-6] Tiernaur Anderson '16 [1-4]
Anna Cole '16 [5-6]
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Logan O'Connor '17 Serena White '19
Maroon Ray Groble '17 [1-6] Nicholas Alfano '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Abby Mcfadyen '16 [3-4]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Phoebe Lincoln '16 Matteo Torquati '19
Maroons Colleen Baumann '17 Lillian Nemeth '18
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Gloria Kevliciute '17 Becca Rose '17
Varsity Peter Odom '17 Caroline Bernet '17

Conditions — 10/24/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1009.9 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.8 kn
avg  ·  max 14.0 kn
Gusts to 29.7 kn
From WSW (256°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine1.2 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1009.9 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 15 kn · W 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Lake Forest Sailing: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.24 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Lake Forest Sailing by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Lake Forest Sailing, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →