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VISA CCS Leukemia Cup Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 14 8 22
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 16 17 33
3 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 24 16 40
4 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 29 42 71
5 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 22 60 82
6 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 51 37 88
7 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 57 42 99
8 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 60 50 110
9 Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 54 62 116
10 Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 41 90 131
11 Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 68 66 134
12 York High School York High School Varsity 46 89 135
13 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 90 48 138
14 Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 96 45 141
15 Tabb High School Tabb High School Varsity 80 81 161
16 Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 94 77 171
17 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 87 90 177
18 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 101 89 190
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 3 4 1 2 3 14 Boyd Bragg '19
Reese Bragg '21
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 5 1 2 3 4 1 16 Nathan Smith '20
Carson Rozell '19
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 10 2 1 2 3 4 22 Jack Mckenna '20
Emmaline Dicarlo '20
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 3 7 6 5 1 2 24 Parker Purrington '19
Ray Domena '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 2 5 3 9 5 5 29 Chris Robertson '19
Matt Wright '19
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 4 10 5 6 6 10 41 Britt Cortina '20 [1-6]
Gracie Harris '20 [1-5]
Paula Ann Robertson '19 [6]
York High School York High School Varsity 6 4 10 11 8 7 46 Brian Fox '19
Christopher Raab '20
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 8 9 7 7 7 13 51 Michael Hostutler '20
Mihir Damle '19
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 7 11 8 10 10 8 54 Madeline Amthor '22
Lenore Dougherty '20
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 9 8 12 4 13 11 57 Maiya Foleck '19
Audrey Permenter '23
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 11 6 11 15 11 6 60 Kyle Pfrang '22
Carter Lydon '21
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 14 DSQ 9 8 9 9 68 Gavin Smith '21
Ramazani Clement '23
Tabb High School Tabb High School Varsity 13 12 13 16 12 14 80 David Hanna '21
Hunter Bryson '22
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 12 15 14 13 17 16 87 Ronan Donovan '19
Maddy O'Connell '20
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 15 16 18 14 15 12 90 Sam Brady '19 [1-6]
Mallory Soter '20 [1-5]
Grace Bridges '20 [6]
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 16 14 17 12 16 DNS 94 Ryan Allman '21
Erin Allman '21
Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 18 13 15 17 14 DSQ 96 Ryan Nguyen '20
Gavin Miller '23
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 17 17 16 18 18 15 101 Dax Dimuzio '21
Caden Sutton '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 8 Benton Amthor '19
Clare Elden Gaule '21
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 5 2 1 2 3 3 16 Harrison Thomson '22 [1-3]
Maggie Campbell '22 [4-6]
Sam Beck '21 [1-3]
Adam Elci '22 [4-6]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 2 3 RDG 5 2 2 17 John Vail '20
Anna Flynn '20
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 8 6 4 4 11 4 37 Charlie Britt '21
Henry Campbell '21
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 3 10 8 6 8 7 42 Jennifer Permenter '21
Cameron Lloyd '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 9 7 5 3 13 5 42 Alex Schuck '21 [1-6]
Adam Elci '22 [1-3]
Sam Beck '21 [4-6]
Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 4 8 2 11 7 13 45 Tyler Brown '23
Daniel Mayolas '21
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 7 4 6 9 4 18 48 Cole Handly '19 [1-4]
Megan Geith '20 [5-6]
Morgan Riggins '20 [1-4]
Tori Dixon '20 [5-6]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 10 9 13 7 5 6 50 Leila Pfrang '25
Morgan Jenkins '24
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 15 5 10 8 10 12 60 Charlotte Patterson '20 [1-6]
Eleanor Patterson '22 [1-3]
Ashlyn Wise '21 [4-6]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 11 15 7 13 6 10 62 Haydon Gould '19
Sara Howe '19
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 6 14 14 10 14 8 66 Tyson Denton '21
Kevin Liang '20
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 14 DNS 9 12 9 14 77 Konrad Freischlag '20
Trevor Childers '19
Tabb High School Tabb High School Varsity 16 11 12 DNF 12 11 81 Elias Rooker '23
Reilly Warren '21
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 12 13 11 17 DNF 17 89 Cole Frankenhoff '22
Trey Outlaw '21
York High School York High School Varsity 17 16 17 15 15 9 89 Charlie Gibson '20
Jude Link '22
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 13 12 16 16 17 16 90 Will Robertson '21
Katie Fremaux '20
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans RDG RDG 15 14 16 15 90 Katherine Anna Hamner '22
Riley Kelley '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1113355
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2224466
Frank W. Cox High SchoolFrank W. Cox High School Falcons335577
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity446688
Hampton High SchoolHampton High School Crabbers557799
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators66881010
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors77991111
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints8810101212
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 19911111313
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2101012121414
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1111113131515
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2121214141616
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights131315151717
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms141416161818
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders1515171711
Tabb High SchoolTabb High School Varsity1616181822
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans17171133
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity18182244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1224466
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2335577
Frank W. Cox High SchoolFrank W. Cox High School Falcons446688
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity557799
Hampton High SchoolHampton High School Crabbers66881010
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators77991111
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors8810101212
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints9911111313
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1101012121414
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2111113131515
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1121214141616
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2131315151717
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights141416161818
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms1515171711
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders1616181822
Tabb High SchoolTabb High School Varsity17171133
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans18182244
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Boyd Bragg '19 Reese Bragg '21
Seahorses 1 Benton Amthor '19 Clare Elden Gaule '21
Christchurch School Christchurch School Nathan Smith '20 Carson Rozell '19
Seahorses 2 John Vail '20 Anna Flynn '20
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Ryan Allman '21 Erin Allman '21
Falcons Konrad Freischlag '20 Trevor Childers '19
Grafton High School Grafton High School Madeline Amthor '22 Lenore Dougherty '20
Varsity Haydon Gould '19 Sara Howe '19
Hampton High School Hampton High School Ryan Nguyen '20 Gavin Miller '23
Crabbers Tyler Brown '23 Daniel Mayolas '21
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Dax Dimuzio '21 Caden Sutton '21
Navigators Cole Frankenhoff '22 Trey Outlaw '21
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Sam Brady '19 [1-6] Mallory Soter '20 [1-5]
Grace Bridges '20 [6]
Warriors Cole Handly '19 [1-4]
Megan Geith '20 [5-6]		 Morgan Riggins '20 [1-4]
Tori Dixon '20 [5-6]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Kyle Pfrang '22 Carter Lydon '21
Saints Leila Pfrang '25 Morgan Jenkins '24
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Michael Hostutler '20 Mihir Damle '19
Bulldogs 1 Charlie Britt '21 Henry Campbell '21
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Maiya Foleck '19 Audrey Permenter '23
Bulldogs 2 Jennifer Permenter '21 Cameron Lloyd '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Chris Robertson '19 Matt Wright '19
Oaks 1 Alex Schuck '21 [1-6] Adam Elci '22 [1-3]
Sam Beck '21 [4-6]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Parker Purrington '19 Ray Domena '19
Oaks 2 Harrison Thomson '22 [1-3]
Maggie Campbell '22 [4-6]		 Sam Beck '21 [1-3]
Adam Elci '22 [4-6]
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Britt Cortina '20 [1-6] Gracie Harris '20 [1-5]
Paula Ann Robertson '19 [6]
Knights Will Robertson '21 Katie Fremaux '20
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Gavin Smith '21 Ramazani Clement '23
Phantoms Tyson Denton '21 Kevin Liang '20
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Jack Mckenna '20 Emmaline Dicarlo '20
Islanders Charlotte Patterson '20 [1-6] Eleanor Patterson '22 [1-3]
Ashlyn Wise '21 [4-6]
Tabb High School Tabb High School David Hanna '21 Hunter Bryson '22
Varsity Elias Rooker '23 Reilly Warren '21
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Ronan Donovan '19 Maddy O'Connell '20
Trojans Katherine Anna Hamner '22 Riley Kelley '20
York High School York High School Brian Fox '19 Christopher Raab '20
Varsity Charlie Gibson '20 Jude Link '22

Conditions — 09/29/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1022.9 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.6 kn
avg  ·  max 4.2 kn
Gusts to 11.9 kn
From N (2°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover72% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1022.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christchurch: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christchurch by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Christchurch, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →