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VISA NA/Cox Fleet Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 9 19 28
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 13 24 37
3 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 21 23 44
4 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 19 30 49
5 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 35 23 58
6 Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 45 40 85
7 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 52 33 85
8 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 59 31 90
9 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 64 35 99
10 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 82 31 113
11 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 37 79 116
12 York High School York High School Varsity 65 63 128
13 Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 39 96 135
14 Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 81 65 146
15 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 66 88 154
16 Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 63 95 158
17 Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 94 70 164
18 Tabb High School Tabb High School Varsity 64 102 166
19 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 82 86 168
20 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 77 92 169
21 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 1 93 81 174
22 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 114 75 189
23 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 109 108 217
24 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 2 106 112 218
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 1 1 1 2 4 9 Chris Robertson '19
Matt Wright '19
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 5 3 3 1 1 13 Nathan Smith '20
Benton Amthor '19
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 3 2 2 3 9 19 Lucas Masiello '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 2 6 5 6 2 21 Parker Purrington '19
Ray Domena '19
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 6 4 6 9 10 35 Maiya Foleck '19 [1-4]
Paul Trudell '22 [5]
Audrey Permenter '23 [1-4]
Lydia Sweeney '21 [5]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 7 7 4 4 15 37 Jack Mckenna '20
Emmaline Dicarlo '20
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 8 5 16 5 5 39 Britt Cortina '20
Gracie Harris '20
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 4 9 7 13 12 45 Madeline Amthor '22
Christopher Raab '20
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 15 8 8 18 3 52 Cole Handly '19 [1-5]
Tori Dixon '20 [1-3]
Grace Bridges '20 [4-5]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 RDG 18 10 11 8 59 Michael Hostutler '20
Mihir Damle '19
Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 17 17 11 12 6 63 Avery Mcnight '20
Gavin Miller '23
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 9 11 13 14 17 64 Gavin Smith '21
Tyson Denton '21
Tabb High School Tabb High School Varsity 11 12 20 8 13 64 David Hanna '21
Justin Kelly '25
York High School York High School Varsity 14 DSQ 12 7 7 65 Brian Fox '19
Charlie Gibson '20
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 12 14 9 10 21 66 Alex Kitay '19
Ethan Kutner '18
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 10 10 18 23 16 77 Dax Dimuzio '21 [1-3]
Cole Frankenhoff '22 [4-5]
Trey Outlaw '21 [1-3]
Kyle Rutherford '22 [4-5]
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 13 13 19 17 19 81 Ryan Allman '21
Erin Allman '21
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 16 19 17 16 14 82 Jack Butler '23 [1-5]
Alex Wilkerson '19 [1-2]
Emily Argust '20 [3, 5]
Hunter Sznoluch '19 [4]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 18 15 14 24 11 82
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 1 19 20 15 21 18 93 Jake Kiggans '19
Maria Rodriguez '22
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 21 16 22 15 20 94 Ricky Cordner '19
Alexandra Smith '23
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 2 20 21 23 19 23 106 Charles Schoening '19 [1-5]
Oliver Hudson '20 [1-4]
Camden Edwards '22 [5]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 23 23 21 20 22 109 Ashlyn Wise '21
Aubrey Walton '23
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 22 22 24 22 24 114 Ronan Donovan '19
Maddy O'Connell '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 1 4 5 3 6 19 Alex Schuck '21 [1-4]
Robert Chase '22 [5]
Adam Elci '22 [1-4]
Jon Krueger '20 [5]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 2 1 6 10 4 23 Charlie Britt '21
Henry Campbell '21
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 4 6 7 5 1 23 Maggie Campbell '22 [1-4]
Harrison Thomson '22 [5]
Clare Harbin '19 [1-4]
Sam Beck '21 [5]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 6 11 1 1 5 24 John Vail '20
Jeff Elkin '20
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 9 8 9 2 2 30 Clare Elden Gaule '21
Kennedy Jones '20
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 3 2 3 14 9 31 Tristan Elden '20
Anna Flynn '20
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 5 7 4 8 7 31 Jennifer Permenter '21
Cameron Lloyd '19
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 7 3 2 11 10 33 Sam Brady '19 [1-5]
Laura Rhodes '20 [1-3]
Mallory Soter '20 [4-5]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 8 9 11 4 3 35 Megan Geith '20
Ryan Nguyen '20
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 12 5 8 7 8 40 Haydon Gould '19 [1-5]
Sara Howe '19 [1-3]
Charlie Gibson '20 [4-5]
York High School York High School Varsity 13 17 10 6 17 63 Kai Vylet '19
Ethan White '21
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 16 10 16 12 11 65 Konrad Freischlag '20
Joshua Childers '21
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 11 13 13 20 13 70 Morgan Handly '21 [1-5]
Ramazani Clement '23 [1-3]
Victor Pirnik '22 [4-5]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 14 18 12 17 14 75 Katherine Anna Hamner '22
Riley Kelley '20
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 15 22 15 15 12 79 Chase Brewer '22
Barrett Wise '23
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 1 18 12 20 9 22 81 Josh Kiggans '21
Chase Brittain '22
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 22 15 17 13 19 86 Carter Lydon '21 [1-5]
Andy Beute '23 [1-2]
Adam Mcaninley '23 [3-4]
Morgan Jenkins '24 [5]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 20 16 18 16 18 88 Connor Duggan '19
Krysta Rutherford '19
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 17 19 14 21 21 92 Scott Spencer '19 [1-3]
Drake James '20 [4-5]
Caden Sutton '21 [1-3]
Diaana Mohsin '19 [4-5]
Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers DNF 14 21 19 16 95 Molly Hanson '22 [1]
Charlotte Pirnik '20 [2-5]
Kevin Liang '20 [1-3]
Daniel Mayolas '21 [4-5]
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 10 24 19 23 20 96 Dan Whelan '20
Katie Fremaux '20
Tabb High School Tabb High School Varsity 23 23 23 18 15 102 Elias Rooker '23
Jude Link '22
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 21 20 22 22 23 108 Grace Watlington '22
Katie Robinson '20
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 2 19 21 24 24 24 112 Mark Ostrowski '19 [1-3]
Maggie Mcdonald '19 [4-5]
Maragret Lassalle '19 [1-3]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 111335
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 21818102102104
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 122446
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2101101103103105
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 3102102104104106
Frank W. Cox High SchoolFrank W. Cox High School Falcons33557
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity44669
Hampton High SchoolHampton High School Crabbers557710
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 1669911
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 2103103105105107
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 177101012
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 21041041061061
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints99111113
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 11010121214
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 21051051071072
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 11111131315
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2106106113
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights1212141416
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms1313151517
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 11414161618
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 2107107224
Tabb High SchoolTabb High School Varsity15151717101
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans16161818102
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity1717101101103

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 122446
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 2101101103103105
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 133557
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2102102104104106
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 3103103105105107
Frank W. Cox High SchoolFrank W. Cox High School Falcons44669
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity557710
Hampton High SchoolHampton High School Crabbers669911
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 177101012
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 21041041061061
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 199111113
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 21051051071072
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints1010121214
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 11111131315
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2106106113
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 11212141416
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2107107224
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights1313151517
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms1414161618
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 115151717101
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 211335
Tabb High SchoolTabb High School Varsity16161818102
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans1717101101103
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity1818102102104
School / Team SkipperCrew
Catholic High School Catholic High School Jake Kiggans '19 Maria Rodriguez '22
Crusaders 1 Josh Kiggans '21 Chase Brittain '22
Catholic High School Catholic High School Charles Schoening '19 [1-5] Oliver Hudson '20 [1-4]
Camden Edwards '22 [5]
Crusaders 2 Mark Ostrowski '19 [1-3]
Maggie Mcdonald '19 [4-5]		 Maragret Lassalle '19 [1-3]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Nathan Smith '20 Benton Amthor '19
Seahorses 1 John Vail '20 Jeff Elkin '20
Christchurch School Christchurch School Lucas Masiello '19
Seahorses 2 Clare Elden Gaule '21 Kennedy Jones '20
Christchurch School Christchurch School
Seahorses 3 Tristan Elden '20 Anna Flynn '20
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Ryan Allman '21 Erin Allman '21
Falcons Konrad Freischlag '20 Joshua Childers '21
Grafton High School Grafton High School Madeline Amthor '22 Christopher Raab '20
Varsity Haydon Gould '19 [1-5] Sara Howe '19 [1-3]
Charlie Gibson '20 [4-5]
Hampton High School Hampton High School Avery Mcnight '20 Gavin Miller '23
Crabbers Molly Hanson '22 [1]
Charlotte Pirnik '20 [2-5]		 Kevin Liang '20 [1-3]
Daniel Mayolas '21 [4-5]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Alex Kitay '19 Ethan Kutner '18
Navigators 1 Connor Duggan '19 Krysta Rutherford '19
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Dax Dimuzio '21 [1-3]
Cole Frankenhoff '22 [4-5]		 Trey Outlaw '21 [1-3]
Kyle Rutherford '22 [4-5]
Navigators 2 Scott Spencer '19 [1-3]
Drake James '20 [4-5]		 Caden Sutton '21 [1-3]
Diaana Mohsin '19 [4-5]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Cole Handly '19 [1-5] Tori Dixon '20 [1-3]
Grace Bridges '20 [4-5]
Warriors 1 Sam Brady '19 [1-5] Laura Rhodes '20 [1-3]
Mallory Soter '20 [4-5]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Gavin Smith '21 Tyson Denton '21
Warriors 2 Megan Geith '20 Ryan Nguyen '20
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Jack Butler '23 [1-5] Alex Wilkerson '19 [1-2]
Emily Argust '20 [3, 5]
Hunter Sznoluch '19 [4]
Saints Carter Lydon '21 [1-5] Andy Beute '23 [1-2]
Adam Mcaninley '23 [3-4]
Morgan Jenkins '24 [5]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Michael Hostutler '20 Mihir Damle '19
Bulldogs 1 Jennifer Permenter '21 Cameron Lloyd '19
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Maiya Foleck '19 [1-4]
Paul Trudell '22 [5]		 Audrey Permenter '23 [1-4]
Lydia Sweeney '21 [5]
Bulldogs 2 Charlie Britt '21 Henry Campbell '21
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Parker Purrington '19 Ray Domena '19
Oaks 1 Maggie Campbell '22 [1-4]
Harrison Thomson '22 [5]		 Clare Harbin '19 [1-4]
Sam Beck '21 [5]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Chris Robertson '19 Matt Wright '19
Oaks 2 Alex Schuck '21 [1-4]
Robert Chase '22 [5]		 Adam Elci '22 [1-4]
Jon Krueger '20 [5]
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Britt Cortina '20 Gracie Harris '20
Knights Dan Whelan '20 Katie Fremaux '20
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Ricky Cordner '19 Alexandra Smith '23
Phantoms Morgan Handly '21 [1-5] Ramazani Clement '23 [1-3]
Victor Pirnik '22 [4-5]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Jack Mckenna '20 Emmaline Dicarlo '20
Islanders 1 Chase Brewer '22 Barrett Wise '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Ashlyn Wise '21 Aubrey Walton '23
Islanders 2 Grace Watlington '22 Katie Robinson '20
Tabb High School Tabb High School David Hanna '21 Justin Kelly '25
Varsity Elias Rooker '23 Jude Link '22
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Ronan Donovan '19 Maddy O'Connell '20
Trojans Katherine Anna Hamner '22 Riley Kelley '20
York High School York High School Brian Fox '19 Charlie Gibson '20
Varsity Kai Vylet '19 Ethan White '21

Conditions — 09/22/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1018.6 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 84°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From NNW (344°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1018.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →