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2021 NWISA Fall Champs - Gold Fleet

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 38 21 59
2 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 48 37 85
3 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 40 53 93
4 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 54 42 96
5 Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 42 57 99
6 Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Bruins 83 46 129
7 The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 91 79 170
8 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 76 94 170
9 Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 75 111 186
10 Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 97 91 188
11 Lincoln High School - Seattle WA Lincoln High School - Seattle WA Lincoln - Seattle W 116 86 202
12 Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 105 120 225
13 Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 104 126 230
14 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 119 123 242
15 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 142 145 287
16 Explorations Academy Explorations Academy Penguins 152 142 294
17 Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 150 165 315
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 4 3 7 1 2 5 2 3 7 4 38 Catie Vandervort '22
Phoebe Howe '24
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 3 4 4 2 4 4 6 7 4 2 40 Peter Schnell '22
Charlotte Yesser '23
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 6 2 8 10 1 3 4 5 2 1 42 Danny Juan '23
Nati Garcia-Bompadre '23
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 8 1 2 3 7 1 9 2 9 6 48 Ella Hubbard '22
Poppy Green '24
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 6 9 5 5 2 1 1 12 11 54 Barrett Lhamon '22 [1-10]
Lauren Heinzelman '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Elliott Chalcraft '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 1 9 1 4 9 7 7 11 8 DNS 75 Corinne Harrison '23
Hannah Welch '25
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 9 5 3 7 8 11 10 10 10 3 76 Thomas Buys '22
Ej Boilek '22
Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Bruins 7 7 14 12 3 6 5 4 16 9 83 Cole Newbrook '25
Alex Baldwin '25
The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 5 14 13 6 6 9 8 13 5 12 91 Isabelle Mcnabb '22
Simone Ford '24
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 10 8 5 8 12 10 11 12 13 8 97 Jaden Unruh '22
Reed Kregenow '22
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 11 10 15 11 10 17 3 6 11 10 104 Willy Walden '24 [1-10]
Sophie Kunka '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Charlotte Capel '24 [3-4, 7-10]
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 13 16 6 9 17 8 13 8 1 14 105 Avian De Keizer-Mendoza '23
Robert Bloomfield '22
Lincoln High School - Seattle WA Lincoln High School - Seattle WA Lincoln - Seattle W 17 11 17 13 15 12 12 9 3 7 116 Nadia Khalil '23
Esther Hulverstrom '23
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 16 12 12 14 11 14 14 15 6 5 119 Bailey Logan '23
Natalie Aarstol '23
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 12 17 11 17 13 15 16 14 14 13 142 Willow Gray '24
Tess Sivret '24
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 15 15 10 15 14 13 17 DNS 17 16 150 August Montiel '25
Solvay Copeland '24
Explorations Academy Explorations Academy Penguins 14 13 16 16 16 16 15 16 15 15 152 Sophie North '22
Lucy Marshall '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 1 1 12 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 21 Dieter Creitz '25
Meimei Peterson '22
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 4 2 2 6 5 2 3 5 3 5 37 Charlie Snyder '24
Annie Davis '24
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 4 6 3 4 4 7 3 5 3 42 Gianna Dewey '23
Jeffrey Kriegh '23
Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Bruins 7 5 1 2 8 8 5 4 4 2 46 Leif Hauge '24
Saylor Hauge '25
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2 3 9 8 2 3 4 2 2 DSQ 53 Zack Riccelli '23 [1-10]
Feliz (Miguel) Gilpin-Moreno '23 [1-3]
Teddy Gao '23 [4-10]
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 5 6 5 5 7 5 2 6 6 10 57 Oliver Nairn '23
Levi Bailey '24
The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 10 10 3 7 10 6 6 10 13 4 79 Francesca Dougherty '25
Mia Mcnabb '24
Lincoln High School - Seattle WA Lincoln High School - Seattle WA Lincoln - Seattle W 11 9 8 4 6 10 13 9 9 7 86 Will Seegert '23
No Show
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 9 8 7 9 DSQ 7 9 8 8 8 91 Camryn Lee '24
Reed Kregenow '22
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 6 7 4 12 11 12 10 12 11 9 94 Ryan Metz '22
Shelby Lang '23
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 8 13 BYE 10 9 11 15 15 7 12 111 Charlie Kuluz '25
Aspen Merrill '25
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 17 15 DNF 15 3 9 12 7 OCS 6 120 Nick Heelan '22
Ryan Solie '25
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 14 11 10 11 15 13 8 14 12 15 123 Mike Rogge '23
Keagan Carrigan '24
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 16 14 11 14 13 15 11 11 10 11 126 Lhotse Rowell '24 [1-10]
Ocean Smith '24 [1-6]
Sophie Kunka '23 [7-10]
Explorations Academy Explorations Academy Penguins 12 16 13 13 14 14 17 13 16 14 142 Nate North '24
Chance Ozmer '23
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 13 12 DNF 16 12 17 14 16 14 13 145 Ian Beatty '22
Emma Moore '25
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 15 17 DNF 17 DNS 16 16 17 15 16 165 Miles Bartlett '22
Eliss Ingman '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans1133557799
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers224466874687461010
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions335577991111
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Bayhawks44668746874610101212
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars557799111187458745
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers66874687461010121288598859
Columbia High School - WAColumbia High School - WA Bruins77991111874587452727
Explorations AcademyExplorations Academy Penguins87468746101012128859885900
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals99111187458745272789578957
Lincoln High School - Seattle WALincoln High School - Seattle WA Lincoln - Seattle W10101212885988590011
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats11118745874527278957895722
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears121288598859001133
Port Townsend High SchoolPort Townsend High School Redhawks874587452727895789572244
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders8859885900113355
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners272789578957224466
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm0011335577
The Downtown SchoolThe Downtown School Sockeye Salmon8957895722446687468746

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans224466874687461010
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers335577991111
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions44668746874610101212
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Bayhawks557799111187458745
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars66874687461010121288598859
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers77991111874587452727
Columbia High School - WAColumbia High School - WA Bruins87468746101012128859885900
Explorations AcademyExplorations Academy Penguins99111187458745272789578957
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals10101212885988590011
Lincoln High School - Seattle WALincoln High School - Seattle WA Lincoln - Seattle W11118745874527278957895722
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats121288598859001133
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears874587452727895789572244
Port Townsend High SchoolPort Townsend High School Redhawks8859885900113355
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders272789578957224466
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners0011335577
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm8957895722446687468746
The Downtown SchoolThe Downtown School Sockeye Salmon1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Barrett Lhamon '22 [1-10] Lauren Heinzelman '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Elliott Chalcraft '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Spartans Gianna Dewey '23 Jeffrey Kriegh '23
Ballard High School Ballard High School Catie Vandervort '22 Phoebe Howe '24
Beavers Dieter Creitz '25 Meimei Peterson '22
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Corinne Harrison '23 Hannah Welch '25
Lions Charlie Kuluz '25 Aspen Merrill '25
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Willow Gray '24 Tess Sivret '24
Bayhawks Ian Beatty '22 Emma Moore '25
Capital High School Capital High School Avian De Keizer-Mendoza '23 Robert Bloomfield '22
Cougars Nick Heelan '22 Ryan Solie '25
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Jaden Unruh '22 Reed Kregenow '22
Tarriers Camryn Lee '24 Reed Kregenow '22
Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Cole Newbrook '25 Alex Baldwin '25
Bruins Leif Hauge '24 Saylor Hauge '25
Explorations Academy Explorations Academy Sophie North '22 Lucy Marshall '23
Penguins Nate North '24 Chance Ozmer '23
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Peter Schnell '22 Charlotte Yesser '23
Cardinals Zack Riccelli '23 [1-10] Feliz (Miguel) Gilpin-Moreno '23 [1-3]
Teddy Gao '23 [4-10]
Lincoln High School - Seattle WA Lincoln High School - Seattle WA Nadia Khalil '23 Esther Hulverstrom '23
Lincoln - Seattle W Will Seegert '23 No Show
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Thomas Buys '22 Ej Boilek '22
Wildcats Ryan Metz '22 Shelby Lang '23
Olympia High School Olympia High School Ella Hubbard '22 Poppy Green '24
Bears Charlie Snyder '24 Annie Davis '24
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Willy Walden '24 [1-10] Sophie Kunka '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Charlotte Capel '24 [3-4, 7-10]
Redhawks Lhotse Rowell '24 [1-10] Ocean Smith '24 [1-6]
Sophie Kunka '23 [7-10]
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Danny Juan '23 Nati Garcia-Bompadre '23
Rough Riders Oliver Nairn '23 Levi Bailey '24
Sehome High School Sehome High School Bailey Logan '23 Natalie Aarstol '23
Mariners Mike Rogge '23 Keagan Carrigan '24
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School August Montiel '25 Solvay Copeland '24
Storm Miles Bartlett '22 Eliss Ingman '22
The Downtown School The Downtown School Isabelle Mcnabb '22 Simone Ford '24
Sockeye Salmon Francesca Dougherty '25 Mia Mcnabb '24

Conditions — 11/06/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1017.8 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From SSW (199°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover32% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1017.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn · S 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Central Catholic/Franklin/Lincoln OR: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Central Catholic/Franklin/Lincoln OR by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Central Catholic/Franklin/Lincoln OR: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →