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MSS Conference #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 7 11 18
2 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 20 2 22
3 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 8 15 23
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 6 8 18 26
5 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 20 7 27
6 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 1 9 20 29
7 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 9 22 31
8 Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 2 24 7 31
9 Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 1 9 24 33
10 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 27 13 40
11 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 10 36 46
12 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 40 7 47
13 Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 2 15 33 48
14 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 2 23 26 49
15 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 5 28 26 54
16 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 27 29 56
17 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 32 30 62
18 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 35 36 71
19 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 3 42 30 72
20 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 41 32 73
21 Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 1 35 42 77
22 Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 38 43 81
23 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 45 43 88
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 1 6 7 Virginia Higgins '22
Tyler Utendorfer '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 3 5 8 Katie Hanley '22
Emma Komis '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 6 5 3 8 Nigel Yu '23
Bryce Lesinski '23
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 1 2 7 9 Alexandre Cholat '22
Rose Pereira '22
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 1 7 2 9 Harrison Anderson '23
Kytalin Hendrickson '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 8 1 9 Evelyn Engebretson '24
Lauren Salmi '23
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 6 4 10 Wyatt Tait '23
Lorenzo Good '25
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 2 4 11 15 Leo Markus '23
Erik Westgard '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 11 9 20 Jack Wherry '23
Ana Stewart '23
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 12 8 20 Rafael Zarzosa '23
Andy Corbett '23
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 2 13 10 23 Rory Baker '24
Aiden Ide '25
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 2 10 14 24 Kristoffer Koop '24
Sebastian Tisdell '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 14 13 27 Paige Kurtenbach '23
William Barrett '24
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 15 12 27 Robbie Dresen '25
Lucy Guidinger '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 5 9 19 28 Teddy Bower '26
Jack Brellenthin '26
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 16 16 32 Sam Fider '22
Helene Schroeder '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 17 18 35 Isabela Snow '23
Katherine Vonsmith '27
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 1 18 17 35 Brandon Eberts '25
Tristan Raimann '27
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 23 15 38 Jack Colosi '25 [1]
Ella Wisely '23 [2]
Ella Wisely '23 [1]
Jack Colosi '25 [2]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 19 21 40 Gwyneth Noller '25
Amelia Sulciner '24
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 21 20 41 Samantha Forgosh '22
Aliya Determan '26
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 3 20 22 42 Aiden Kennedy '25
Jack Karban '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 22 23 45 Graham Pierce '26
Jack Harris '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 1 1 2 Dominik Moncur '25
Joseph Snyder '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 2 5 7 Hazel Eiden '25
Gloria Jorczak '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 4 3 7 Sophia Sigel '24
David Acheson '24
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 2 5 2 7 Wyatt Holst '24
Teagan Hartwig-Burton '25
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 3 8 11 Grady Van Ness '22
Alex Wyatt '27
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 6 7 13 Isaac Sparber '22
Lauren Reichert '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 9 6 15 Lucy Snow '25
Kerem Tosun '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 6 8 10 18 Maxwell Kelley '26
Luke Weibel '24
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 1 16 4 20 Henry Jackson '25
Caleb Thompson '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 7 15 22 Max Barrett '25
Jordi Malaret '23
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 1 10 14 24 Dylan Mcdonald '24
Noah Redfearn '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 5 13 13 26 Piper Laing '27
Parker Laing '24
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 2 15 11 26 Parker Abed '22
Austin Shaw '23
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 11 18 29 Stella Townshend '22
Matthew Fish '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 3 14 16 30 Britta Lundeen-Hetland '25
Harper Lundeen-Hetland '27
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 18 12 30 Luke Dubois '22
Leif Rush '27
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 23 9 32 Alex Bixby '25
Ray Taha '26
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 2 12 21 33 Ben Padden '25
Kristaps Pelecis '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 17 19 36 Sameer Bhatia '24
David Piper '23
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 19 17 36 Franklin Hurt '25
Mickey Fraser '26
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 1 22 20 42 Brooke Krivich '23
Renata Hernandez '27
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 20 23 43 Niamh Mcmahon '26
Haaken Lein '27
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 21 22 43 Anastasia Gilbert '26
Katharine Woodburn '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Brainerd High SchoolBrainerd High School Warriors 12121
Brainerd High SchoolBrainerd High School Warriors 22222
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets1010
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 199
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 22323
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 155
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 21212
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 31111
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 41515
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 588
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 61414
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers22
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mustangs1919
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans 11717
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans 21313
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers1616
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans2020
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers 11818
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers 277
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 144
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 211
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 366
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears33

Division B

Team1B2B
Brainerd High SchoolBrainerd High School Warriors 12121
Brainerd High SchoolBrainerd High School Warriors 22222
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets1010
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 199
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 22323
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 155
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 21212
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 31111
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 41515
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 588
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 61414
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers22
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mustangs1919
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans 11717
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans 21313
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers1616
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans2020
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers 11818
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers 277
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 144
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 211
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 366
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears33
School / Team SkipperCrew
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Brandon Eberts '25 Tristan Raimann '27
Warriors 1 Brooke Krivich '23 Renata Hernandez '27
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Kristoffer Koop '24 Sebastian Tisdell '24
Warriors 2 Wyatt Holst '24 Teagan Hartwig-Burton '25
Edina High School Edina High School Virginia Higgins '22 Tyler Utendorfer '22
Hornets Grady Van Ness '22 Alex Wyatt '27
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Gwyneth Noller '25 Amelia Sulciner '24
Mixed 1 Hazel Eiden '25 Gloria Jorczak '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Graham Pierce '26 Jack Harris '25
Mixed 2 Anastasia Gilbert '26 Katharine Woodburn '27
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Katie Hanley '22 Emma Komis '22
Skippers 1 Lucy Snow '25 Kerem Tosun '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Isabela Snow '23 Katherine Vonsmith '27
Skippers 2 Sameer Bhatia '24 David Piper '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Jack Wherry '23 Ana Stewart '23
Skippers 3 Sophia Sigel '24 David Acheson '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Evelyn Engebretson '24 Lauren Salmi '23
Skippers 4 Max Barrett '25 Jordi Malaret '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Teddy Bower '26 Jack Brellenthin '26
Skippers 5 Piper Laing '27 Parker Laing '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Nigel Yu '23 Bryce Lesinski '23
Skippers 6 Maxwell Kelley '26 Luke Weibel '24
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Samantha Forgosh '22 Aliya Determan '26
Panthers Alex Bixby '25 Ray Taha '26
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Jack Colosi '25 [1]
Ella Wisely '23 [2]		 Ella Wisely '23 [1]
Jack Colosi '25 [2]
Mustangs Niamh Mcmahon '26 Haaken Lein '27
Orono High School Orono High School Harrison Anderson '23 Kytalin Hendrickson '22
Spartans 1 Henry Jackson '25 Caleb Thompson '25
Orono High School Orono High School Rory Baker '24 Aiden Ide '25
Spartans 2 Parker Abed '22 Austin Shaw '23
Southwest High School Southwest High School Sam Fider '22 Helene Schroeder '22
Lakers Luke Dubois '22 Leif Rush '27
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Wyatt Tait '23 Lorenzo Good '25
Spartans Franklin Hurt '25 Mickey Fraser '26
Washburn High School Washburn High School Alexandre Cholat '22 Rose Pereira '22
Millers 1 Dylan Mcdonald '24 Noah Redfearn '23
Washburn High School Washburn High School Leo Markus '23 Erik Westgard '22
Millers 2 Ben Padden '25 Kristaps Pelecis '25
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Paige Kurtenbach '23 William Barrett '24
Navy 1 Isaac Sparber '22 Lauren Reichert '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Rafael Zarzosa '23 Andy Corbett '23
Navy 2 Dominik Moncur '25 Joseph Snyder '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Aiden Kennedy '25 Jack Karban '23
Navy 3 Britta Lundeen-Hetland '25 Harper Lundeen-Hetland '27
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Robbie Dresen '25 Lucy Guidinger '24
Bears Stella Townshend '22 Matthew Fish '24

Conditions — 10/02/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 92%  ·  Pressure 1011.9 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 14.0 kn
From WNW (301°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover81% Sunshine6.6 hrs Humidity92% Pressure1011.9 hPa Rain0.44 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Minnetonka High School, Eden Prairie, and Blake School: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Minnetonka High School, Eden Prairie, and Blake School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Minnetonka High School, Eden Prairie, and Blake School: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →