NYISA-SE In League 9/17/22

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 1 7 8 15
2 Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 1 12 22 34
3 St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 1 25 15 40
4 The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 2 24 22 46
5 Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 2 30 31 61
6 St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 2 39 37 76
7 Bay Shore High School Bay Shore High School Marauders 1 37 43 80
8 Bay Shore High School Bay Shore High School Marauders 2 42 38 80
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 7 Gavin Hudson '24
Mairead Reitzel '24
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 1 3 2 2 2 1 2 12 Margaux Cowles '23 [1-6]
Graham Welsh '23 [1-2]
Michelle Kaneti '25 [3-6]
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 2 5 4 3 3 4 5 24 Jeremy Lunati '23
Amy Li '23
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 1 2 6 4 4 5 4 25 Nicole Ostapowicz '24 [1-6]
Bernadette Scott '24 [1-4]
Eoghan Mccarthy '24 [5-6]
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 2 8 3 8 5 3 3 30 Nicholas Heggerud '23
Carlo Osuna '25
Bay Shore High School Bay Shore High School Marauders 1 4 5 5 7 8 8 37 Jackson Mendolia '24
Hadlet Hemmingway '24
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 2 6 7 6 6 7 7 39 Catherine Desmond '26
Molly Mcmanus '26
Bay Shore High School Bay Shore High School Marauders 2 7 8 7 8 6 6 42 Joe Termini '23
Logan Mccollum '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 8 Mauro Gonzales '24
Sean Beaver '23
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 1 5 3 2 2 1 2 15 Kevin Ryan '25 [1-6]
Bridget Theisen '25 [1-4]
Mia Focarile '24 [5-6]
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 2 2 4 5 4 2 5 22 Dora Qian '26
Jp Bennet '23
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 1 4 2 4 3 6 3 22 Anndaly Mcmanus '25
Lanie Ferrarone '24
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 2 3 6 6 5 5 6 31 Jonathan Wittick '25
Max Lazarus '25
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 2 6 7 3 6 7 8 37 Patrick Ronzo '23
Finley Regan '23
Bay Shore High School Bay Shore High School Marauders 2 7 8 8 7 4 4 38 Abigail Regan '26
Henry Dejoseph '23
Bay Shore High School Bay Shore High School Marauders 1 8 5 7 8 8 7 43 Ryan Curley '24
Ammar Khalil '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bay Shore High SchoolBay Shore High School Marauders 1112233
Bay Shore High SchoolBay Shore High School Marauders 2223344
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers 1334455
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers 2445566
St. John the BaptistSt. John the Baptist Cougars 1556677
St. John the BaptistSt. John the Baptist Cougars 2667788
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears 1778811
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears 2881122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bay Shore High SchoolBay Shore High School Marauders 1112233
Bay Shore High SchoolBay Shore High School Marauders 2223344
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers 1334455
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers 2445566
St. John the BaptistSt. John the Baptist Cougars 1556677
St. John the BaptistSt. John the Baptist Cougars 2667788
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears 1778811
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears 2881122

Conditions — 09/17/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1024.7 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 13.4 kn
From ESE (102°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1024.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at The Stony Brook: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.25 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at The Stony Brook by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at The Stony Brook, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →