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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Great River School Great River School Varsity 52 60 112
2 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 96 16 112
3 Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mixed 65 50 115
4 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 55 63 118
5 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 45 106 151
6 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 81 86 167
7 Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Varsity 119 53 172
8 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 65 121 186
9 Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 70 121 191
10 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 72 139 211
11 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 111 108 219
12 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 125 125 250
13 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 153 99 252
14 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 159 117 276
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 11 2 5 2 5 6 2 3 1 1 5 2 45 Dominik Moncur '25
Joseph Snyder '24
Great River School Great River School Varsity 2 1 1 5 7 3 DSQ 4 5 4 2 3 52 Lio Nunez '27
Weston Steingraber '27
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 7 8 8 6 4 1 3 2 2 6 1 7 55 Robbie Dresen '25
Elin Reigstad '25
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 1 5 3 11 2 8 5 5 9 7 8 1 65 Lorenzo Good '25
Finnigan Cairns '25
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mixed 10 7 4 7 1 7 6 6 4 3 6 4 65 Jack Colosi '25
Madeline Mcnerlin '23
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 5 6 6 1 9 12 1 1 6 2 12 9 70 Frank Ribich '26 [1-12]
Reece Foree '27 [1-2, 5-12]
Senibua Sander '24 [3-4]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 3 9 2 3 3 4 7 7 12 9 7 6 72 Nick Ross '25 [1-8]
Jude Kolpashchikov-Clark '29 [9-12]
Jude Kolpashchikov-Clark '29 [1-8]
Timothy Chouinard '26 [9-12]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 4 4 9 10 12 2 8 9 3 5 3 12 81 Akaycia Belisle '25
Joshua Drivdahl '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 6 12 11 4 13 9 4 8 7 8 9 5 96 Jack Brellenthin '26
David Acheson '24
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 9 13 10 9 6 10 9 12 8 10 4 11 111 Parker Ziegler '24
Sofie Muschenheim '25
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Varsity 12 10 12 12 8 5 10 11 10 11 10 8 119 Cole Bebeau '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Tyler David '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Pierre Lambert '27 [11-12]
Pierre Lambert '27 [1-6, 9-10]
Cole Bebeau '27 [7-8]
Tyler David '27 [11-12]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 13 3 13 8 11 11 11 10 11 13 11 10 125 Jack Siefker '26
Eden Linnebach '27
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 8 11 7 14 10 13 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 153 Hazel Eiden '25
Adra Jasper '26
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 14 14 14 13 14 14 12 13 13 12 13 13 159 Mara Lysaght '24
Lauren Reichert '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 16 Owen Ostbye '28
Linnea Martin '27
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mixed 3 3 2 10 5 2 5 3 8 3 2 4 50 Natalya Triplett '26
Logan Albrecht '28
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Varsity 1 1 10 3 1 4 2 5 9 8 7 2 53 Will Beres '27
Jackson Bebeau '27
Great River School Great River School Varsity 5 4 4 1 3 7 4 7 4 11 5 5 60 Dylan Mcdonald '27
Silas Taylor '25
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 11 10 8 5 6 3 3 2 3 5 4 3 63 Angus Levins '25
Haaken Lein '27
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 4 7 7 7 8 11 7 4 2 7 9 13 86 Stella Demars '25
Mason Scheinder '26
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 6 5 9 13 4 9 8 12 11 2 8 12 99 Maggie Mcgary '28
Gloria Jorczak '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 8 DNF 11 6 7 5 12 13 10 9 3 7 106 Ernest Hegstrom '28 [1-2, 5-12]
Cooper Cullen '27 [3-4]
Carter Radintz '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Ernest Hegstrom '28 [3-4]
No Show [7-12]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 12 6 3 4 9 6 DNS 11 13 10 11 8 108 Alexander Bixby '25
Marek Roe '27
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 7 9 12 9 14 14 6 9 12 6 10 9 117 Liam Strobel '29
Owen Neus '29
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 9 DNS 13 14 13 13 9 6 5 12 6 6 121 Soren Miller-Sardelis '24
Peter Jacobs '27
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 14 12 5 11 10 8 13 14 6 4 13 11 121 Jonah Brashaw '26 [1-12]
Ellison Leonhard '28 [1-2]
Avril Maxey '28 [3-12]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 13 8 6 8 12 10 11 8 7 14 14 14 125 Adra Jasper '26
Jack Brellenthin '26
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 10 11 14 12 11 12 10 10 14 13 12 10 139 Emme Arbuckle '26
Jamie Mcguffee '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Great River SchoolGreat River School Varsity11335577991111
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs2244668810101212
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed5577991111131311
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 13355779911111313
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2446688101012121414
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers668810101212141422
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mixed7799111113131133
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders9911111313113355
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Varsity881010121214142244
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers101012121414224466
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans1111131311335577
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 11212141422446688
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 213131133557799
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears1414224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Great River SchoolGreat River School Varsity2244668810101212
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs3355779911111313
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed668810101212141422
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1446688101012121414
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 25577991111131311
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers7799111113131133
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mixed881010121214142244
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders101012121414224466
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Varsity9911111313113355
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers1111131311335577
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans1212141422446688
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 113131133557799
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 21414224466881010
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears11335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Great River School Great River School Lio Nunez '27 Weston Steingraber '27
Varsity Dylan Mcdonald '27 Silas Taylor '25
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Akaycia Belisle '25 Joshua Drivdahl '25
Zephyrs Stella Demars '25 Mason Scheinder '26
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Jack Siefker '26 Eden Linnebach '27
Mixed Adra Jasper '26 Jack Brellenthin '26
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Jack Brellenthin '26 David Acheson '24
Skippers 1 Owen Ostbye '28 Linnea Martin '27
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Hazel Eiden '25 Adra Jasper '26
Skippers 2 Maggie Mcgary '28 Gloria Jorczak '24
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Parker Ziegler '24 Sofie Muschenheim '25
Panthers Alexander Bixby '25 Marek Roe '27
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Jack Colosi '25 Madeline Mcnerlin '23
Mixed Natalya Triplett '26 Logan Albrecht '28
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Cole Bebeau '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Tyler David '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Pierre Lambert '27 [11-12]		 Pierre Lambert '27 [1-6, 9-10]
Cole Bebeau '27 [7-8]
Tyler David '27 [11-12]
Varsity Will Beres '27 Jackson Bebeau '27
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Frank Ribich '26 [1-12] Reece Foree '27 [1-2, 5-12]
Senibua Sander '24 [3-4]
Raiders Jonah Brashaw '26 [1-12] Ellison Leonhard '28 [1-2]
Avril Maxey '28 [3-12]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Nick Ross '25 [1-8]
Jude Kolpashchikov-Clark '29 [9-12]		 Jude Kolpashchikov-Clark '29 [1-8]
Timothy Chouinard '26 [9-12]
Lakers Emme Arbuckle '26 Jamie Mcguffee '25
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Lorenzo Good '25 Finnigan Cairns '25
Spartans Soren Miller-Sardelis '24 Peter Jacobs '27
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Dominik Moncur '25 Joseph Snyder '24
Navy 1 Ernest Hegstrom '28 [1-2, 5-12]
Cooper Cullen '27 [3-4]		 Carter Radintz '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Ernest Hegstrom '28 [3-4]
No Show [7-12]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mara Lysaght '24 Lauren Reichert '24
Navy 2 Liam Strobel '29 Owen Neus '29
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Robbie Dresen '25 Elin Reigstad '25
Bears Angus Levins '25 Haaken Lein '27

Conditions — 09/23/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1011.4 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.7 kn
avg  ·  max 11.2 kn
Gusts to 27.8 kn
From SE (128°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover89% Sunshine8.1 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1011.4 hPa Rain0.21 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 10 kn · SE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at White Bear Lake: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.19 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at White Bear Lake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at White Bear Lake, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →