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MDISA Fleet Qualifier - Fall '23

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 18 29 47
2 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 22 35 57
3 Key School Key School Zags 24 54 78
4 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 44 45 89
5 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 55 35 90
6 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 54 48 102
7 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 56 57 113
8 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 63 63 126
9 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 59 70 129
10 Henderson High School Henderson High School Warriors 73 70 143
11 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 87 58 145
12 Gunston Gunston Herons 101 51 152
13 Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Tigers 95 75 170
14 Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 91 94 185
15 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 89 97 186
16 Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 94 98 192
17 Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 63 133 196
18 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 116 99 215
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 2 1 2 2 1 7 3 18 Ava Cornell '24
John Szynal '24
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 1 2 7 3 3 2 4 22 Owen Macwilliams '24
Taylor Collison '24
Key School Key School Zags 10 4 1 4 2 1 2 24 Mason Cook '25
Paige Asbill '31
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 7 5 3 1 DSQ 4 5 44 Jack Powers '24
Campbell Conway '24
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 11 8 9 6 6 5 9 54 Scott Opert '24
Molly Dowling '25
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 5 10 4 5 10 13 8 55 Marco Welch '24 [1-6]
Hayden Clary '24 [7]
James O'Leary '25 [1-4]
Aden Keithley '24 [5-7]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 4 12 14 9 8 3 6 56 Joseph Murphy '24
Will Clay '25
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 6 7 13 11 9 12 1 59 Claire Sullivan '25 [1-7]
Eli Leopold '24 [1-4]
Eliza Szymendera '25 [5-7]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 8 3 12 13 7 8 12 63 Hartley Cooper '26
Daniel Schwaninger '26
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 9 6 11 8 4 18 7 63 Conor Mastromarco '26 [1-7]
Wyatt Booth '25 [1-4]
Arabelle Gemmell '25 [5-7]
Henderson High School Henderson High School Warriors 14 11 5 12 11 6 14 73 Drew Defonzo '26
Jeff Porter '26
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 13 13 10 10 15 16 10 87 Peter Judge '25
Alexandria Still '27
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 16 14 6 7 DSQ 9 18 89 James Biles V '27
Teagan Leigh '28
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 3 9 16 16 13 17 17 91 Liam Rivers '25
Ryan Michael '26
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 17 15 8 14 14 10 16 94 James Ronayne '24
Gemma Love '25
Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Tigers 12 DSQ 15 15 12 11 11 95 Luke Petry '27 [1-7]
Jonah Molinoff '25 [1-2, 7]
Leif Carney '25 [3-6]
Gunston Gunston Herons 15 16 17 18 5 15 15 101 Tommy Mcgeady '25
Owen Daffron '25
South River High School South River High School Seahawks DNF DNS 18 17 16 14 13 116 Fiona O'Rourke '28 [1-2, 5-7]
Isabella De'Castillo '25 [3-4]
Teresa Tran '26 [1-4]
Isabella De'Castillo '25 [5-7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 4 1 1 1 2 DSQ 1 29 Alex Baker '26 [1-2]
Annie Sitzmann '26 [3-7]
Jack Lefever-Farino '25 [1-2]
Helena English '24 [3-7]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 1 6 2 3 1 RAF 3 35 Parker Herman '24
Christina Pierce '25
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 9 5 4 5 9 1 2 35 Chris White '24 [1-7]
Justin Marquez '24 [1-4]
Carter Telep '24 [5-7]
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 3 2 7 14 6 3 10 45 Halsey Carter '26 [1-4]
Charlotte Hugo '26 [5-7]
Myles Riffle '31 [1-4]
Aurelea Cerny '30 [5-7]
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 5 4 8 2 10 2 17 48 Sophie Griggs '24
Nola Primeaux '25
Gunston Gunston Herons 15 10 3 10 4 4 5 51 Matthew Periconi '24
Alix Allison '25
Key School Key School Zags 8 3 12 4 5 13 9 54 James Rizek '23 [1-7]
Elizabeth Roesch '27 [1-4]
Annabelle Ulak '26 [5-7]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 2 11 6 6 15 9 8 57 James Lilyquist '24
Everett Moulds '26
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 11 7 5 8 8 6 13 58 Gavin Morris '25
Madison Cannon '25
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 6 13 9 12 11 8 4 63 Louisa Kalinski '25
Victor Kleppinger '25
Henderson High School Henderson High School Warriors 10 9 11 9 12 12 7 70 Peter Mazzagatti '26
Maggie Defonzo '26
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 17 8 10 7 7 15 6 70 Ryan Brelage '24
Alex Prior '24
Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Tigers 7 12 13 17 3 7 16 75 William Lindsley '24
Caitlin Costello '24
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 13 16 16 15 14 5 15 94 Richard Nesti '26
Tyler Olson '25
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 12 15 14 11 OCS 14 12 97 Zachary Wells '25
Adalyn Biles '27
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 14 14 17 13 16 10 14 98 Rylee Landry '27 [1-7]
Catherine Kammeier '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Robert Bauer '26 [3-4]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 16 17 15 16 13 11 11 99 Clara Neeland '26
Annika Fisher '25
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 133 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers1133557
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers2244668
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins3355779
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds44668810
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets55779911
Indian Creek SchoolIndian Creek School Eagles881010121214
Jackson-Reed High SchoolJackson-Reed High School Tigers991111131315
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers10101212141416
Key SchoolKey School Zags11111313151517
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders12121414161618
Henderson High SchoolHenderson High School Warriors7799111113
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres181822446
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1313151517171
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons1414161618182
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks15151717113
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs16161818224
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints171711335
GunstonGunston Herons6688101012

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers2244668
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers3355779
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins44668810
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds55779911
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets6688101012
Indian Creek SchoolIndian Creek School Eagles991111131315
Jackson-Reed High SchoolJackson-Reed High School Tigers10101212141416
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers11111313151517
Key SchoolKey School Zags12121414161618
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders1313151517171
Henderson High SchoolHenderson High School Warriors881010121214
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres1133557
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1414161618182
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons15151717113
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks16161818224
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs171711335
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints181822446
GunstonGunston Herons7799111113
School / Team SkipperCrew
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School James Ronayne '24 Gemma Love '25
Panthers Rylee Landry '27 [1-7] Catherine Kammeier '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Robert Bauer '26 [3-4]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Owen Macwilliams '24 Taylor Collison '24
Cavaliers Parker Herman '24 Christina Pierce '25
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Marco Welch '24 [1-6]
Hayden Clary '24 [7]		 James O'Leary '25 [1-4]
Aden Keithley '24 [5-7]
Bruins Chris White '24 [1-7] Justin Marquez '24 [1-4]
Carter Telep '24 [5-7]
Gilman School Gilman School Liam Rivers '25 Ryan Michael '26
Greyhounds Richard Nesti '26 Tyler Olson '25
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Claire Sullivan '25 [1-7] Eli Leopold '24 [1-4]
Eliza Szymendera '25 [5-7]
Hornets Ryan Brelage '24 Alex Prior '24
Gunston Gunston Tommy Mcgeady '25 Owen Daffron '25
Herons Matthew Periconi '24 Alix Allison '25
Henderson High School Henderson High School Drew Defonzo '26 Jeff Porter '26
Warriors Peter Mazzagatti '26 Maggie Defonzo '26
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Conor Mastromarco '26 [1-7] Wyatt Booth '25 [1-4]
Arabelle Gemmell '25 [5-7]
Eagles No Show No Show
Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Luke Petry '27 [1-7] Jonah Molinoff '25 [1-2, 7]
Leif Carney '25 [3-6]
Tigers William Lindsley '24 Caitlin Costello '24
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School James Biles V '27 Teagan Leigh '28
Buccaneers Zachary Wells '25 Adalyn Biles '27
Key School Key School Mason Cook '25 Paige Asbill '31
Zags James Rizek '23 [1-7] Elizabeth Roesch '27 [1-4]
Annabelle Ulak '26 [5-7]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Joseph Murphy '24 Will Clay '25
Raiders James Lilyquist '24 Everett Moulds '26
Severn School Severn School Ava Cornell '24 John Szynal '24
Admirals Alex Baker '26 [1-2]
Annie Sitzmann '26 [3-7]		 Jack Lefever-Farino '25 [1-2]
Helena English '24 [3-7]
Severna Park Severna Park Peter Judge '25 Alexandria Still '27
Falcons Gavin Morris '25 Madison Cannon '25
South River High School South River High School Fiona O'Rourke '28 [1-2, 5-7]
Isabella De'Castillo '25 [3-4]		 Teresa Tran '26 [1-4]
Isabella De'Castillo '25 [5-7]
Seahawks Clara Neeland '26 Annika Fisher '25
Southern High School Southern High School Scott Opert '24 Molly Dowling '25
Bulldogs Sophie Griggs '24 Nola Primeaux '25
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Jack Powers '24 Campbell Conway '24
Saints Halsey Carter '26 [1-4]
Charlotte Hugo '26 [5-7]		 Myles Riffle '31 [1-4]
Aurelea Cerny '30 [5-7]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Hartley Cooper '26 Daniel Schwaninger '26
Sabres Louisa Kalinski '25 Victor Kleppinger '25

Conditions — 09/24/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 87%  ·  Pressure 1011.2 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.1 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From SSW (210°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine2.1 hrs Humidity87% Pressure1011.2 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Great Mills/Leonardtown High: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Great Mills/Leonardtown High by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (16 labelled days at Great Mills/Leonardtown High).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →