MDISA WRSC FALL 2025 T1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 17 7 24
2 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 26 23 49
3 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 1 31 26 57
4 The Tome School The Tome School Titans 36 26 62
5 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 34 31 65
6 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 35 43 78
7 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 2 31 49 80
8 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 44 48 92
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 2 2 1 DSQ 1 1 1 17 Alex Baker '26
Kai Davids '28
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 7 3 4 3 3 4 2 26 Xander Moulds '29
Sam Glauner '27
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 1 1 7 6 1 6 5 5 31 Hayden Medick '26
Matthew Treatman-Clark '27
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 2 5 5 8 2 4 3 4 31 Fiona O'Rourke '28
Maize ... '26
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 3 8 2 4 8 6 3 34 James Biles V '27
Claire Oehlerking '29
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 8 1 5 5 7 2 7 35 Thomas Birchfield '27
Colt Touchton '29
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 4 6 3 6 2 DSQ 6 36 Victor Schlecker '26
Emerson Stehl '26
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 6 4 7 7 5 7 8 44 Lucianno Russo '27
Sarah Ramson '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 7 Natalie Gaver '28 [1-7]
Ana Fishback '27 [1-2, 5-7]
Lila Knoepfle '27 [3-4]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 5 2 2 2 4 6 2 23 Everett Moulds '26
Catherine Hicks '28
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 1 3 5 5 4 3 3 3 26 Robert David '27
Finn Fraser '28
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 6 4 3 5 2 2 4 26 Nathaniel Wyman '28
John Arty '29
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 2 3 4 3 6 4 DSQ 31 Cole Ramsey '28
Lucia Zaklin '27
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 8 6 6 7 5 5 6 43 Nolan Wingate '28
Owen Myers '29
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 4 7 7 8 8 7 7 48 Samuel Wells '27
Charan Ghambir '28
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 2 7 8 8 6 7 8 5 49 Tomas ... '26
Rory Campbell '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers1133668
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders2299774
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers3366881
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals4422997
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks 16688113
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks 27744229
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs8811336
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans9977442

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers2244777
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders1188666
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers4477999
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals3311888
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks 17799222
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks 26633111
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs9922444
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans8866333

Conditions — 09/13/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1019.6 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From SSE (147°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover6% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1019.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at West River Sailing Club: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at West River Sailing Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at West River Sailing Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →