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VISA Spring Championships

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Varsity 16 13 29
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Varsity 1 21 16 37
3 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Varsity 1 19 24 43
4 Christchurch School Christchurch School Varsity 2 35 18 53
5 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Varsity 2 29 44 73
6 Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Varsity 42 34 76
7 Maury High School Maury High School Varsity 1 47 34 81
8 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 33 66 99
9 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 47 55 102
10 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Varsity 1 54 54 108
11 York High School York High School Varsity 78 42 120
12 Maury High School Maury High School Varsity 2 64 71 135
13 Smithfield High School Smithfield High School Smithfield 65 83 148
14 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Varsity 2 81 78 159
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Varsity 2 5 2 2 3 2 16 William Whitmore '16 [1-6]
Jessica Williams '16 [1-4]
Alek Sas '18 [5-6]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Varsity 1 1 2 4 6 1 5 19 Dreugh Phillips '16
Mike Klink '15
Christchurch School Christchurch School Varsity 1 RAF 1 1 1 2 1 21 Hector Guzman '16
Annabell Carrington '15
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Varsity 2 4 3 6 5 4 7 29 Ellie Maus '18
Sarah Smith '18
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 5 4 7 7 6 4 33 Jacob Marquardt '14
Ian O'Connell '16
Christchurch School Christchurch School Varsity 2 3 8 3 3 12 6 35 Alex Moreno '15
Heidi Ruse '14
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Varsity 8 11 5 8 7 3 42 Neilson Woodfield '16
Mateo Burt '16
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 7 6 8 9 8 9 47 Harrison Parker '18
Hailey Gilman '17
Maury High School Maury High School Varsity 1 9 7 11 4 5 11 47 Feild Russell '14
Will Ellson '15
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Varsity 1 6 9 10 10 11 8 54 Nathaniel Gibson '15
Wilson Hatchett '17
Maury High School Maury High School Varsity 2 11 13 9 11 10 10 64 Turner Labrie '14 [1-6]
Alexandra Lingle '18 [1-4]
Peter Dister '17 [5-6]
Smithfield High School Smithfield High School Smithfield 10 10 12 12 9 12 65 Meghan Grumbling '14
Scot Mackenzie '14
York High School York High School Varsity 12 12 13 14 13 14 78 Daniel Hodges '18
Hayden Gould '19
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Varsity 2 13 14 14 13 14 13 81 Callie Cruff '16
Christian Williams '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Varsity 1 3 3 1 2 3 13 Gray Kiger '16
Marshall Mccraw '16
Christchurch School Christchurch School Varsity 1 2 4 5 3 1 1 16 Jack Elkin '15
Carter Little '14
Christchurch School Christchurch School Varsity 2 5 1 2 2 4 4 18 Graham Shivers '14
Claire Rae '16
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Varsity 1 6 2 1 5 8 2 24 Darden Purrington '16
Nick Baker '16
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Varsity 3 8 6 4 5 8 34 Miles Campbell '16
Rachel Kilgore '14
Maury High School Maury High School Varsity 1 7 6 4 9 3 5 34 Jonathan Rowland '15 [1-4]
Feild Russell '14 [5-6]
Charlotte Hennessy '15 [1-4]
York High School York High School Varsity 9 5 7 6 9 6 42 Zane Morris '18
Kylee Hockaday '17
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Varsity 2 4 7 10 8 6 9 44 Daniel Vail '17 [1-2]
Parker Purrington '19 [3-4]
Chris Robertson '19 [5-6]
Chris Robertson '19 [1-2]
Daniel Vail '17 [3-4]
Parker Purrington '19 [5-6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Varsity 1 8 10 9 10 7 10 54 Rick Hall '15
Thomas Bain '14
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity 10 9 8 11 10 7 55 Kaila Pfrang '17
Emily Argust '20
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 11 11 DSQ 7 11 11 66 Matthew Shield '16 [1-6]
Eric Duffy '16 [1-2]
Richard Gunn '15 [3-4]
Jacob Wilcox '16 [5-6]
Maury High School Maury High School Varsity 2 12 12 11 12 12 12 71 Tyler Cason '17 [1-6]
Kyle Sandhoff '14 [1-2]
Helen Mccrary '20 [3-4]
Arden Porter '15 [5-6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Varsity 2 13 13 13 13 13 13 78 Michael Kendrick '17
Ryan Kusterer '15
Smithfield High School Smithfield High School Smithfield 14 14 12 14 14 DNF 83 Ramani Perera '15
Haley Province '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Varsity 1335577
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Varsity 21212141422
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Varsity 166881010
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Varsity 214142244
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity9911111313
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Varsity113355
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Varsity 1224466
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Varsity 21111131311
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Varsity8810101212
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Varsity 1446688
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Varsity 213131133
Smithfield High SchoolSmithfield High School Smithfield77991111
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Varsity557799
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity101012121414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Varsity 1446688
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Varsity 213131133
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Varsity 177991111
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Varsity 2113355
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Varsity101012121414
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Varsity224466
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Varsity 1335577
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Varsity 21212141422
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Varsity9911111313
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Varsity 1557799
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Varsity 214142244
Smithfield High SchoolSmithfield High School Smithfield8810101212
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Varsity66881010
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity1111131311
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Hector Guzman '16 Annabell Carrington '15
Varsity 1 Jack Elkin '15 Carter Little '14
Christchurch School Christchurch School Alex Moreno '15 Heidi Ruse '14
Varsity 2 Graham Shivers '14 Claire Rae '16
Maury High School Maury High School Feild Russell '14 Will Ellson '15
Varsity 1 Jonathan Rowland '15 [1-4]
Feild Russell '14 [5-6]		 Charlotte Hennessy '15 [1-4]
Maury High School Maury High School Turner Labrie '14 [1-6] Alexandra Lingle '18 [1-4]
Peter Dister '17 [5-6]
Varsity 2 Tyler Cason '17 [1-6] Kyle Sandhoff '14 [1-2]
Helen Mccrary '20 [3-4]
Arden Porter '15 [5-6]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Harrison Parker '18 Hailey Gilman '17
Varsity Kaila Pfrang '17 Emily Argust '20
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy William Whitmore '16 [1-6] Jessica Williams '16 [1-4]
Alek Sas '18 [5-6]
Varsity Gray Kiger '16 Marshall Mccraw '16
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Dreugh Phillips '16 Mike Klink '15
Varsity 1 Darden Purrington '16 Nick Baker '16
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Ellie Maus '18 Sarah Smith '18
Varsity 2 Daniel Vail '17 [1-2]
Parker Purrington '19 [3-4]
Chris Robertson '19 [5-6]		 Chris Robertson '19 [1-2]
Daniel Vail '17 [3-4]
Parker Purrington '19 [5-6]
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Neilson Woodfield '16 Mateo Burt '16
Varsity Miles Campbell '16 Rachel Kilgore '14
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Nathaniel Gibson '15 Wilson Hatchett '17
Varsity 1 Rick Hall '15 Thomas Bain '14
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Callie Cruff '16 Christian Williams '17
Varsity 2 Michael Kendrick '17 Ryan Kusterer '15
Smithfield High School Smithfield High School Meghan Grumbling '14 Scot Mackenzie '14
Smithfield Ramani Perera '15 Haley Province '15
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Jacob Marquardt '14 Ian O'Connell '16
Varsity Matthew Shield '16 [1-6] Eric Duffy '16 [1-2]
Richard Gunn '15 [3-4]
Jacob Wilcox '16 [5-6]
York High School York High School Daniel Hodges '18 Hayden Gould '19
Varsity Zane Morris '18 Kylee Hockaday '17

Conditions — 05/03/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1010.7 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.8 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From SW (224°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover34% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1010.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hampton: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.34 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hampton by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (26 labelled days at Hampton).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →