Navigate

NWISA North Regionals

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 13 15 28
2 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 23 10 33
3 Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 1 28 8 36
4 Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 2 25 13 38
5 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners V 1 7 41 48
6 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 31 18 49
7 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 33 25 58
8 Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 1 23 37 60
9 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners V 2 12 59 71
10 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners V 3 40 49 89
11 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 46 45 91
12 Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 2 45 47 92
13 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 57 37 94
14 Nikola Tesla STEM High School Nikola Tesla STEM High School Engineers 51 46 97
15 Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 61 43 104
16 Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 64 60 124
17 Everett High School Everett High School Seagulls 69 59 128
18 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 58 75 133
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners V 1 3 1 2 1 7 Jeffrey Werner '16
Mallory Hood '23
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners V 2 2 2 3 5 12 Liam Hood '16
Peyton Nienaber '23
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 1 3 1 8 13 Dominick Wareham '19 [1-4]
Jadyn Kopp '18 [1-2]
Haley Moss '18 [3-4]
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 4 11 6 2 23 Wylie Kau '16 [1-4]
Ronan Kau '19 [1-2]
Levi Moss '19 [3-4]
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 1 8 8 4 3 23 Marina West '22
Perham Black '18
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 2 5 5 8 7 25 Karl Skeel '16
Sophie Hunter '16
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 1 7 10 7 4 28 Erik Skeel '16
Kristan Lund '16
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 6 4 15 6 31 Max Van Dam '16
Matt Dixon '17
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 9 7 5 12 33 Kian Patrick '16
Devanne Jager '17
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners V 3 12 6 12 10 40 Cedric Keneipp '23
Lauren Whitkopf '18
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 2 10 13 13 9 45 Alanna Halliday '16
Gavia Boyden '22
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 11 12 9 14 46 Austin Hauter '17 [1-4]
James William '17 [1-2]
Atlas Iverson '20 [3-4]
Nikola Tesla STEM High School Nikola Tesla STEM High School Engineers 14 14 10 13 51 Ethan Perrin '16
Pauline Pfaffe '16
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 18 9 14 16 57 Julia Houppermans '16
Tammie Jorgensen '16
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 15 15 11 17 58 Jack Knowles '20
Max Case '23
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 17 16 17 11 61 Grant Barton '16
Lilli Tran '16
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 16 17 16 15 64 Jacob Weston '22
Cole Gaede '19
Everett High School Everett High School Seagulls 13 18 DNS DNS 69 Sawyer Watcher '18
Isaac Hull '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 1 3 1 1 3 8 Tim Player '16
Henry Barrow '16
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 2 2 5 1 10 Axel Greening '17
Millie Kau '19
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 2 1 4 6 2 13 Margot Watts '19
Marijke Jorna '16
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 5 3 2 5 15 Maggie Toombs '18 [1-4]
Emma Freedman '19 [1-2]
Ciaran O'Neill '19 [3-4]
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 4 7 3 4 18 Jordan Wood-Pina '18
Dylan Angell '18
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 6 8 4 7 25 Heather Rolph '17
Brynna Bone '19
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 1 7 5 10 15 37 Max Kessler '16
Max Kessler '16
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 10 10 7 10 37 Liam Patrick '18
Ethan Seaman '18
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners V 1 8 14 13 6 41 Casey Malone '23
Connor Mcgreevy '16
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 12 6 12 13 43 Luca Fallows '18
Kendall Butler '18
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 9 13 15 8 45 Jared Hunt '16 [1-4]
Piper Fisher '19 [1-2]
Nathan Mecom '17 [3-4]
Nikola Tesla STEM High School Nikola Tesla STEM High School Engineers 17 9 8 12 46 Yumi Shridhar '16
Nick Bo '16
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 2 11 16 9 11 47 Joshua Wolf '16
April Esposito '17
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners V 3 13 11 16 9 49 Alex Daluiso '18
Cole Sokolik '19
Everett High School Everett High School Seagulls 15 17 11 16 59 Emily Bisnius '17
Amaya Hufstetler '20
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners V 2 16 15 14 14 59 Stephanie Kirker '18
Alejandro Ponce '23
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 14 12 17 17 60 Kristoff Kogan '22
Kristyle Lee '18
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders DNS 18 DNS DNS 75 Cailin Arnold '17
Chai Spelchake '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 23232
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers44441414
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders41414242
Friday Harbor High SchoolFriday Harbor High School Wolverines 114141616
Friday Harbor High SchoolFriday Harbor High School Wolverines 21616
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 145454343
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 2434377
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 132323131
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 231314444
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners V 34141
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm42424545
Nikola Tesla STEM High SchoolNikola Tesla STEM High School Engineers99
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons 17788
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons 28899

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers42424545
Everett High SchoolEverett High School Seagulls1616
Friday Harbor High SchoolFriday Harbor High School Wolverines 145454343
Friday Harbor High SchoolFriday Harbor High School Wolverines 2434377
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 13232
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 232323131
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 14141
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 241414242
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners V 17788
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners V 28899
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners V 399
Nikola Tesla STEM High SchoolNikola Tesla STEM High School Engineers14141616
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons 131314444
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons 244441414
School / Team SkipperCrew
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Kian Patrick '16 Devanne Jager '17
Seahawks 1 Heather Rolph '17 Brynna Bone '19
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Julia Houppermans '16 Tammie Jorgensen '16
Seahawks 2 Liam Patrick '18 Ethan Seaman '18
Ballard High School Ballard High School Grant Barton '16 Lilli Tran '16
Beavers Luca Fallows '18 Kendall Butler '18
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Jack Knowles '20 Max Case '23
Raiders Cailin Arnold '17 Chai Spelchake '18
Everett High School Everett High School Sawyer Watcher '18 Isaac Hull '20
Seagulls Emily Bisnius '17 Amaya Hufstetler '20
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Marina West '22 Perham Black '18
Wolverines 1 Max Kessler '16 Max Kessler '16
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Alanna Halliday '16 Gavia Boyden '22
Wolverines 2 Joshua Wolf '16 April Esposito '17
Nikola Tesla STEM High School Nikola Tesla STEM High School Ethan Perrin '16 Pauline Pfaffe '16
Engineers Yumi Shridhar '16 Nick Bo '16
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Max Van Dam '16 Matt Dixon '17
Wildcats 1 Jordan Wood-Pina '18 Dylan Angell '18
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Austin Hauter '17 [1-4] James William '17 [1-2]
Atlas Iverson '20 [3-4]
Wildcats 2 Jared Hunt '16 [1-4] Piper Fisher '19 [1-2]
Nathan Mecom '17 [3-4]
Orcas High School Orcas High School Dominick Wareham '19 [1-4] Jadyn Kopp '18 [1-2]
Haley Moss '18 [3-4]
Vikings 1 Maggie Toombs '18 [1-4] Emma Freedman '19 [1-2]
Ciaran O'Neill '19 [3-4]
Orcas High School Orcas High School Wylie Kau '16 [1-4] Ronan Kau '19 [1-2]
Levi Moss '19 [3-4]
Vikings 2 Axel Greening '17 Millie Kau '19
Sehome High School Sehome High School Jeffrey Werner '16 Mallory Hood '23
Mariners V 1 Casey Malone '23 Connor Mcgreevy '16
Sehome High School Sehome High School Liam Hood '16 Peyton Nienaber '23
Mariners V 2 Stephanie Kirker '18 Alejandro Ponce '23
Sehome High School Sehome High School Cedric Keneipp '23 Lauren Whitkopf '18
Mariners V 3 Alex Daluiso '18 Cole Sokolik '19
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Jacob Weston '22 Cole Gaede '19
Storm Kristoff Kogan '22 Kristyle Lee '18
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Erik Skeel '16 Kristan Lund '16
Falcons 1 Tim Player '16 Henry Barrow '16
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Karl Skeel '16 Sophie Hunter '16
Falcons 2 Margot Watts '19 Marijke Jorna '16

Conditions — 03/05/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 999.7 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.7 kn
Gusts to 22.7 kn
From SE (139°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover61% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity75% Pressure999.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Oak Harbor: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.72 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Oak Harbor by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Oak Harbor, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →