Sail Black Rock Intersectional

HostCaptain's Cove Marina
Date05/14/2016
TypeTwo-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Annapolis High School	Panthers	35	39	74
2	North Kingstown High School	Skippers	49	27	76
3	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	37	47	84
4	Rumson-Fair Haven	Bulldogs	38	51	89
5	Broadneck High School	Bruins	57	58	115
6	Mercy High School	Varsity	74	52	126
7	Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons	67	68	135
8	Greenwich High School	Cardinals	79	62	141
9	Summit High School	Hilltoppers	75	91	166
10	Moses Brown School	Quakers	106	75	181
11	Cape Cod Academy	Seahawks	83	100	183
12	Fairfield Prep	Varsity	91	123	214
13	Rye High School	Garnets	140	140	280

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
Annapolis High School	Panthers	1	4	3	2	9	6	2	1	4	3	35	Porter Kavle '18 [1-10] Jamey Macris '18 [1-6] George Kaye '18 [7-10]
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	3	3	9	6	6	2	1	5	1	1	37	Joe Laforgia '17 [1-10] Ryan Golding '16 [1-4] Ryan Mullins '19 [5-6] Chris Magno '17 [7-10]
Rumson-Fair Haven	Bulldogs	4	1	8	7	1	4	6	3	2	2	38	Michael Munger '16 [1-10] Shaanti Choi-Bose '19 [1-6] Francesco Sgroi '16 [7-10]
North Kingstown High School	Skippers	2	6	2	5	10	1	5	4	10	4	49	Noah Simmons '16 [1-2, 7-10] Aidan Naughton '18 [3-6] Kevin Stamp '18 [1-4] Ryan Soucy '18 [5-6] Aili Moffett '19 [7-10]
Broadneck High School	Bruins	7	2	1	9	3	5	9	6	5	10	57	Phillip Schofield '17 [1-10] John Morrison '17 [1-8] Maggie Mckay '18 [9-10]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons	6	10	7	1	2	9	7	10	6	9	67	Juiia Reynolds '17 [1-10] Cooper Soderlund '18 [1-2, 5-10] Brooke Mcgoldrick '16 [3-4]
Mercy High School	Varsity	5	7	4	11	5	11	8	7	8	8	74	Nate Peck '16 [1-10] Gavin First Name Last Name Graduation Year Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Bloom '17 [1-6] Sarah Chew '18 [7-10]
Summit High School	Hilltoppers	8	8	10	8	4	8	3	11	9	6	75	Thomas Quinn '18 [1-10] Juliana Rustum '16 [1-2, 5-10] William Przedpelski '17 [3-4]
Greenwich High School	Cardinals	9	9	12	4	12	7	10	8	3	5	79	Pierce Ornstein '18 [1-6] James Westerberg '17 [7-10] Jack Childs '19 [1-6] Harrison Popp '16 [7-10]
Cape Cod Academy	Seahawks	10	11	11	10	11	10	4	2	7	7	83	Christos Karplus '17 Eli Benway '19
Fairfield Prep	Varsity	12	5	5	3	7	3	DSQ	DSQ	DSQ	DSQ	91	Jamie Paul '19 [1-6] Matthew Sweeney '16 [7-10] Grant Ballesteros '17 [1-6] Jim Stacy '16 [7-10]
Moses Brown School	Quakers	11	12	6	12	8	12	DNF	9	11	11	106	Alexander Runci '19 [1-2, 5-7] James Calabresi '16 [3-4, 8-10] Niku Angier '19 [1-2, 5-6] Grace Sawicki '19 [3-4, 7-10]
Rye High School	Garnets	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	140	No Show No Show

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
North Kingstown High School	Skippers	1	4	2	2	6	1	3	3	3	2	27	Delaney Bamford '16 [1-6] Marina Barzaghi '17 [7-10] Ryan Soucy '18 [1-2] Elsa Kincaid '18 [3-4] Will Andrews '17 [5-10]
Annapolis High School	Panthers	2	1	5	9	4	8	1	1	7	1	39	Remington King '17 Kimberly Leonard '18
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	9	8	3	7	3	2	4	7	1	3	47	Michael Ehnot '18 Mark Iorio '16
Rumson-Fair Haven	Bulldogs	4	2	8	3	BKD	3	5	10	5	6	51	Addie Sellig '16 Teddy Schroeder '16
Mercy High School	Varsity	6	5	7	4	2	7	2	4	4	11	52	Bridget Lawless '17 [1-4] Ava Esquier '16 [5-10] Sarah Chew '18 [1-4] Gavin First Name Last Name Graduation Year Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Bloom '17 [5-10]
Broadneck High School	Bruins	8	6	9	1	1	5	10	9	2	7	58	Katherine Bennett '18 [1-4] Jasper Frazee '17 [5-10] Nicole Ryan '18 [1-2] Maggie Mckay '18 [3-4] Allison Gingerich '17 [5-8] John Morrison '17 [9-10]
Greenwich High School	Cardinals	10	3	4	8	9	4	7	2	10	5	62	Jake Schinto '16 [1-4] Jack Scanlan '17 [5-10] Isabella Clemens '18 [1-4] Peter Dunay '17 [5-8] Peter Vanduyne '16 [9-10]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons	3	7	1	5	11	9	6	8	8	10	68	Emery Wallace '16 [1-6] Jonathan Mears '18 [7-10] Brooklyn Curtin '16 [1-6]
Moses Brown School	Quakers	5	9	6	6	10	6	8	6	11	8	75	Colin Moffet '17 Francie Elliot '18
Summit High School	Hilltoppers	12	11	10	10	5	11	9	5	9	9	91	Mark Freidin '16 [1-10] Patrick Murray '19 [1-2, 5-6] Liam Dwyer '17 [3-4] William Przedpelski '17 [7-10]
Cape Cod Academy	Seahawks	11	12	12	12	8	10	11	DNF	6	4	100	Griffin Miller '17 Tom Ma '17
Fairfield Prep	Varsity	7	10	11	11	DSQ	DSQ	DSQ	DSQ	DSQ	DSQ	123	Jim Stacy '16 [1-6] Jamie Paul '19 [7-10] Ronan Flynn '18 [1-6] Grant Ballesteros '17 [7-10]
Rye High School	Garnets	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	140	No Show No Show

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.240+0.24

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A
Annapolis High School Panthers	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18
Broadneck High School Bruins	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17	19	19
Cape Cod Academy Seahawks	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18	20	20
Christian Brothers Academy Colts	13	13	15	15	17	17	19	19	21	21
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons	14	14	16	16	18	18	20	20	22	22
Fairfield Prep Varsity	15	15	17	17	19	19	21	21	10	10
Greenwich High School Cardinals	16	16	18	18	20	20	22	22	11	11
Mercy High School Varsity	17	17	19	19	21	21	10	10	12	12
Moses Brown School Quakers	18	18	20	20	22	22	11	11	14	14
North Kingstown High School Skippers	19	19	21	21	10	10	12	12	15	15
Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs	20	20	22	22	11	11	14	14	16	16
Rye High School Garnets	21	21	10	10	12	12	13	13	13	13
Summit High School Hilltoppers	22	22	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B
Annapolis High School Panthers	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17	19	19
Broadneck High School Bruins	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18	20	20
Cape Cod Academy Seahawks	13	13	15	15	17	17	19	19	21	21
Christian Brothers Academy Colts	14	14	16	16	18	18	20	20	22	22
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons	15	15	17	17	19	19	21	21	10	10
Fairfield Prep Varsity	16	16	18	18	20	20	22	22	11	11
Greenwich High School Cardinals	17	17	19	19	21	21	10	10	12	12
Mercy High School Varsity	18	18	20	20	22	22	11	11	14	14
Moses Brown School Quakers	19	19	21	21	10	10	12	12	15	15
North Kingstown High School Skippers	20	20	22	22	11	11	14	14	16	16
Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs	21	21	10	10	12	12	15	15	17	17
Rye High School Garnets	22	22	11	11	13	13	13	13	13	13
Summit High School Hilltoppers	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Annapolis High School	Porter Kavle '18 [1-10]	Jamey Macris '18 [1-6] George Kaye '18 [7-10]
Panthers	Remington King '17	Kimberly Leonard '18
Broadneck High School	Phillip Schofield '17 [1-10]	John Morrison '17 [1-8] Maggie Mckay '18 [9-10]
Bruins	Katherine Bennett '18 [1-4] Jasper Frazee '17 [5-10]	Nicole Ryan '18 [1-2] Maggie Mckay '18 [3-4] Allison Gingerich '17 [5-8] John Morrison '17 [9-10]
Cape Cod Academy	Christos Karplus '17	Eli Benway '19
Seahawks	Griffin Miller '17	Tom Ma '17
Christian Brothers Academy	Joe Laforgia '17 [1-10]	Ryan Golding '16 [1-4] Ryan Mullins '19 [5-6] Chris Magno '17 [7-10]
Colts	Michael Ehnot '18	Mark Iorio '16
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Juiia Reynolds '17 [1-10]	Cooper Soderlund '18 [1-2, 5-10] Brooke Mcgoldrick '16 [3-4]
Falcons	Emery Wallace '16 [1-6] Jonathan Mears '18 [7-10]	Brooklyn Curtin '16 [1-6]
Fairfield Prep	Jamie Paul '19 [1-6] Matthew Sweeney '16 [7-10]	Grant Ballesteros '17 [1-6] Jim Stacy '16 [7-10]
Varsity	Jim Stacy '16 [1-6] Jamie Paul '19 [7-10]	Ronan Flynn '18 [1-6] Grant Ballesteros '17 [7-10]
Greenwich High School	Pierce Ornstein '18 [1-6] James Westerberg '17 [7-10]	Jack Childs '19 [1-6] Harrison Popp '16 [7-10]
Cardinals	Jake Schinto '16 [1-4] Jack Scanlan '17 [5-10]	Isabella Clemens '18 [1-4] Peter Dunay '17 [5-8] Peter Vanduyne '16 [9-10]
Mercy High School	Nate Peck '16 [1-10]	Gavin First Name Last Name Graduation Year Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Bloom '17 [1-6] Sarah Chew '18 [7-10]
Varsity	Bridget Lawless '17 [1-4] Ava Esquier '16 [5-10]	Sarah Chew '18 [1-4] Gavin First Name Last Name Graduation Year Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Bloom '17 [5-10]
Moses Brown School	Alexander Runci '19 [1-2, 5-7] James Calabresi '16 [3-4, 8-10]	Niku Angier '19 [1-2, 5-6] Grace Sawicki '19 [3-4, 7-10]
Quakers	Colin Moffet '17	Francie Elliot '18
North Kingstown High School	Noah Simmons '16 [1-2, 7-10] Aidan Naughton '18 [3-6]	Kevin Stamp '18 [1-4] Ryan Soucy '18 [5-6] Aili Moffett '19 [7-10]
Skippers	Delaney Bamford '16 [1-6] Marina Barzaghi '17 [7-10]	Ryan Soucy '18 [1-2] Elsa Kincaid '18 [3-4] Will Andrews '17 [5-10]
Rumson-Fair Haven	Michael Munger '16 [1-10]	Shaanti Choi-Bose '19 [1-6] Francesco Sgroi '16 [7-10]
Bulldogs	Addie Sellig '16	Teddy Schroeder '16
Rye High School	No Show	No Show
Garnets	No Show	No Show
Summit High School	Thomas Quinn '18 [1-10]	Juliana Rustum '16 [1-2, 5-10] William Przedpelski '17 [3-4]
Hilltoppers	Mark Freidin '16 [1-10]	Patrick Murray '19 [1-2, 5-6] Liam Dwyer '17 [3-4] William Przedpelski '17 [7-10]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Sail Black Rock Intersectional

Division A

Division B

From the notes