Navigate

VISA Christchurch School Fleet Race Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 22 9 31
2 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 22 17 39
3 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 29 16 45
4 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 16 37 53
5 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 42 34 76
6 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 48 33 81
7 Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 46 35 81
8 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 29 68 97
9 York High School York High School Varsity 44 61 105
10 Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 51 63 114
11 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 64 64 128
12 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 63 66 129
13 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 75 56 131
14 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 86 77 163
15 Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 87 90 177
16 Smithfield High School Smithfield High School Smithfield 93 92 185
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 2 2 5 3 2 2 16 Austen Freda '17
Claire Rae '16
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 DSQ 1 1 1 1 22 Hector Guzman '16
Sally Johnson '18
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 5 4 2 2 4 5 22 Dreugh Phillips '16
Sarah Smith '18
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 3 6 4 3 10 29 Gray Kiger '16
Alek Sas '18
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 4 6 3 5 7 4 29 Darden Purrington '16 [1-6]
Hunter Kahler '17 [1-4]
Ellie Maus '18 [5-6]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 12 1 9 7 5 8 42 Kaila Pfrang '17
Hailey Gilman '17
York High School York High School Varsity 7 7 12 6 9 3 44 Zane Morris '18
Charlie Gibson '20
Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 8 8 4 12 8 6 46 Anna Patterson '16 [1-6]
Grace Holloway '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Avery Mcnight '20 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 6 5 8 8 12 9 48 Ellie Maus '18 [1-4]
Chris Robertson '19 [5]
Hunter Kahler '17 [6]
Chris Robertson '19 [1-4, 6]
Hunter Kahler '17 [5]
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 9 9 7 9 6 11 51 Blake Harrington '18 [1-6]
Mateo Burt '16 [1-2]
Olivia Whitehouse '17 [3-6]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 10 12 13 10 11 7 63 Cole Handly '19 [1-6]
Micaela Twisdale '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Emily Butler '19 [3-4]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 11 10 10 11 10 12 64 Wilson Hatchett '17
Jack Mckenna '20
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 13 11 11 14 13 13 75 Alexandrea Lingle '19
Jalen Rogers '19
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 14 13 15 13 15 16 86 Brit Cortina '20
Will Olson '17
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 15 14 14 15 14 15 87 Lucas Grigorian '17 [1-6]
Ethan White '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Nikki Baldwin '14 [3-4]
Smithfield High School Smithfield High School Smithfield 16 15 16 16 16 14 93 Raina Hempley '19
Heather Coultas '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 9 Brendan Little '18
Thomas Walker '17
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 3 1 1 5 4 16 Marshall Mccraw '16
Jessica Williams '16
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 4 1 3 4 3 2 17 Victor Layne '16 [1-6]
Nick Baker '16 [1-4]
Matt Wright '19 [5-6]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 10 4 7 7 2 3 33 Daniel Vail '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Parker Purrington '19 [3-4]
Matt Wright '19 [1-4]
Parker Purrington '19 [5-6]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 5 5 8 6 4 6 34 Harrison Parker '18
Bobby Levin '18
Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 3 6 4 3 12 7 35 Miles Campbell '16
Jillian Kilgore '16
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 7 7 6 5 7 5 37 Eric Demario '18
Alara Sahin '18
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 12 8 5 10 8 13 56 Connor Mccrillis '20
Lucien Parker '20
York High School York High School Varsity 9 12 10 15 6 9 61 Kylee Hockaday '17
Brian Fox '19
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 6 13 12 13 11 8 63 Kasey Cordner '16
William Thornton '17
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 8 11 11 9 13 12 64 Catherine Gilmore '17
Nicholas Rote '17
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 11 14 9 12 9 11 66 Sam Brady '19
Ryan Nguyen '20
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 14 9 RAF 8 10 10 68 Joe Morrison '16
Anne Burns '16
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 13 10 13 11 15 15 77 Henry Waddill '19 [1-6]
Morgan Handly '21 [1-4]
Olivia Whitehouse '17 [5-6]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity DNF 15 14 16 14 14 90 Noah Navarret '18
Ben Clarke '16
Smithfield High School Smithfield High School Smithfield 15 16 15 14 16 16 92 Connor Green '18 [1-6]
Colton Stevens '17 [1-2]
Natalie Bender '17 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1113355
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 21313151522
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity8810101212
Hampton High SchoolHampton High School Crabbers446688
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators161616161616
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors9911111313
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores66881010
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints335577
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs77991111
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1224466
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 214141133
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 315152244
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms101012121414
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders111113131515
Smithfield High SchoolSmithfield High School Smithfield1212141411
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity557799

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 11313151522
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 28810101212
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity446688
Hampton High SchoolHampton High School Crabbers9911111313
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators161616161616
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors66881010
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores335577
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints77991111
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs224466
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 114141133
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 215152244
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3101012121414
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms111113131515
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders1212141411
Smithfield High SchoolSmithfield High School Smithfield557799
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Hector Guzman '16 Sally Johnson '18
Seahorses 1 Brendan Little '18 Thomas Walker '17
Christchurch School Christchurch School Austen Freda '17 Claire Rae '16
Seahorses 2 Eric Demario '18 Alara Sahin '18
Grafton High School Grafton High School Lucas Grigorian '17 [1-6] Ethan White '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Nikki Baldwin '14 [3-4]
Varsity Noah Navarret '18 Ben Clarke '16
Hampton High School Hampton High School Anna Patterson '16 [1-6] Grace Holloway '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Avery Mcnight '20 [3-4]
Crabbers Miles Campbell '16 Jillian Kilgore '16
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Brit Cortina '20 Will Olson '17
Navigators Henry Waddill '19 [1-6] Morgan Handly '21 [1-4]
Olivia Whitehouse '17 [5-6]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Cole Handly '19 [1-6] Micaela Twisdale '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Emily Butler '19 [3-4]
Warriors Sam Brady '19 Ryan Nguyen '20
Maury High School Maury High School Alexandrea Lingle '19 Jalen Rogers '19
Commodores Connor Mccrillis '20 Lucien Parker '20
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Kaila Pfrang '17 Hailey Gilman '17
Saints Harrison Parker '18 Bobby Levin '18
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Gray Kiger '16 Alek Sas '18
Bulldogs Marshall Mccraw '16 Jessica Williams '16
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Dreugh Phillips '16 Sarah Smith '18
Oaks 1 Victor Layne '16 [1-6] Nick Baker '16 [1-4]
Matt Wright '19 [5-6]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Darden Purrington '16 [1-6] Hunter Kahler '17 [1-4]
Ellie Maus '18 [5-6]
Oaks 2 Joe Morrison '16 Anne Burns '16
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Ellie Maus '18 [1-4]
Chris Robertson '19 [5]
Hunter Kahler '17 [6]		 Chris Robertson '19 [1-4, 6]
Hunter Kahler '17 [5]
Oaks 3 Daniel Vail '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Parker Purrington '19 [3-4]		 Matt Wright '19 [1-4]
Parker Purrington '19 [5-6]
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Blake Harrington '18 [1-6] Mateo Burt '16 [1-2]
Olivia Whitehouse '17 [3-6]
Phantoms Kasey Cordner '16 William Thornton '17
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Wilson Hatchett '17 Jack Mckenna '20
Islanders Catherine Gilmore '17 Nicholas Rote '17
Smithfield High School Smithfield High School Raina Hempley '19 Heather Coultas '18
Smithfield Connor Green '18 [1-6] Colton Stevens '17 [1-2]
Natalie Bender '17 [3-6]
York High School York High School Zane Morris '18 Charlie Gibson '20
Varsity Kylee Hockaday '17 Brian Fox '19

Conditions — 03/26/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1025.5 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 17.9 kn
From ENE (65°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1025.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christchurch School: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.35 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christchurch School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (25 labelled days at Christchurch School).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →