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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 10 5 15
2 Novi Novi Mixed 5 37 42
3 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Cranes 18 33 51
4 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 35 20 55
5 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 15 41 56
6 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 35 21 56
7 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed) 38 20 58
8 Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Mixed 36 39 75
9 Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen 68 10 78
10 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 45 46 91
11 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White 30 64 94
12 Groves High School Groves High School Mixed 45 52 97
13 Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orange 59 41 100
14 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 52 51 103
15 St. Joseph High School St. Joseph High School Bears- Mixed 57 55 112
16 Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity 61 53 114
17 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Orange-mixed 43 72 115
18 Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Marlins 55 61 116
19 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS-black 66 58 124
20 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Red 73 67 140
21 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 81 81 162
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Novi Novi Mixed 1 2 1 1 5 Michael Kirkman '21
Zach Rockwell '20
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 2 4 2 2 10 Jack Hemmelgarn '19 [1-4]
Caitlin Derby '22 [1-2]
Greta Traver '23 [3-4]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 3 1 3 8 15 Harrison George '18
Isabel Dziuba '19
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Cranes 4 3 8 3 18 Henry Gonzalez '21 [1-4]
Calvi Teste '20 [1-2]
Kate Gordon '20 [3-4]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White 5 10 10 5 30 Matthew Elliott '20
Bryce Vandenavond '19
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 8 9 6 12 35 Eva Rossell '18
Dominic Dulac '20
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 12 6 11 6 35 Ellie Groustra '22 [1-4]
Colin Hexter '23 [1-2]
Dominic Palazzolo '23 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Mixed 9 13 4 10 36 Max Klassen '22
Daniel Ament '21
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed) 18 8 5 7 38 Doug Cowan '22
Andrew Michels '21
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Orange-mixed 10 DSQ 7 4 43 Owen Bannasch '22
Lauren Scolari '20
Groves High School Groves High School Mixed 6 5 16 18 45 Luuk Schmit '18
Susanne Denner '19
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 15 12 9 9 45 Charlie Gmeiner '23 [1-4]
Charlotte Martinez '19 [1-2]
Jacob Schaupeter '22 [3-4]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 7 11 15 19 52 Ethan Lee '19
Michael Williams '20
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Marlins 13 14 17 11 55 Marina Lamphier '20 [1-4]
Sophia Lamphier '18 [1-2]
Dayton Mcgrail '20 [3-4]
St. Joseph High School St. Joseph High School Bears- Mixed DSQ 7 13 15 57 Dylan Marzke '20 [1-2]
Nolan Youngstedt '21 [3-4]
Nolan Youngstedt '21 [1-2]
Paul Alimenti '22 [3-4]
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orange 11 15 20 13 59 Adrianna Lee '18
Natalia Luna '20
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity 14 17 14 16 61 Michaela O'Donnell '20
Jessa Nauman '18
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS-black 19 18 12 17 66 Jon Crowe '18
Makayla Snyder '19
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen 16 19 19 14 68 Adam Weinkauf '18 [1-4]
Rj Sables '20 [1-2]
Mclellan '19 [3-4]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Red 17 16 18 DSQ 73 Emily Pytell '21
Anna Russo '20
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 20 20 21 20 81 Liam Hounsell '23
Dwight Ellis '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 1 1 1 2 5 Eden Nykamp '21
Jeffery Graan '21
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen 3 2 2 3 10 Charlie Ramsdell '20
John Godoshian '18
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed) 4 5 3 8 20 Quinn Cassidy '23
Boaz Selinger '22
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 5 3 6 6 20 Ashley Strong '20
Anna Carron '21
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 2 4 4 11 21 Emma Turner '19
Audrey Whitaker '19
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Cranes 16 6 7 4 33 Adrian Stone '20 [1-4]
Izzy Jacobson '21 [1-2]
Calvi Teste '20 [3-4]
Novi Novi Mixed 12 16 8 1 37 Conner Kirkman '23 [1-2]
Lauren Carron '24 [3-4]
Lauren Carron '24 [1-2]
Alex Tigges '22 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Mixed 11 10 9 9 39 Shay Gualdoni '21
Teddy Prokop '19
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 7 DNF 5 7 41 Nicole Millerman '19
Michelle Chumiecki '19
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orange 15 7 14 5 41 Megan O'Gorman '18
Ryan Patterson '19
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 8 8 13 17 46 Julia Hudson '20
Eva Paschke '20
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 6 9 20 16 51 Brian Liu '18 [1-4]
Aeres Zhou '23 [1-2]
Anthony Dziuba '20 [3-4]
Groves High School Groves High School Mixed 9 19 10 14 52 Nate Marsden '19
Meghan Guo '19
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity 10 13 17 13 53 Grace Quasebarth '20
Lillian Beech '19
St. Joseph High School St. Joseph High School Bears- Mixed 14 11 18 12 55 Avie Krauss '19
Sam Stephens '21
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS-black 13 14 12 19 58 Jack Sielicki '18
Makayla Snyder '19
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Marlins 17 18 11 15 61 Jenna Kozal '20 [1-4]
Anna Sauer '20 [1-2]
Alex Acosta '20 [3-4]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White 21 17 16 10 64 Jake Elsen '21
Ethan Gulati '22
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Red 19 15 15 18 67 Lukas Denner '18
Walter Paliga '22
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Orange-mixed 18 12 21 21 72 Madison Paulus '20
Maggie Christ '19
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 20 DNF 19 20 81 Bill Fan '20
Gefei (Ken) Zhu '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed1133
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orange2244
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Orange-mixed4466
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS-black3355
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Cranes5577
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Blue881010
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Gold6688
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Red7799
Grosse Pointe North High SchoolGrosse Pointe North High School Mixed10101212
Grosse Pointe North High SchoolGrosse Pointe North High School Norsemen991111
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue13131515
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold11111313
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White12121414
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed)14141616
Groves High SchoolGroves High School Mixed15151717
Mercy University of Detroit JesuitMercy University of Detroit Jesuit Marlins16161818
NoviNovi Mixed17171919
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity18182020
St. Joseph High SchoolSt. Joseph High School Bears- Mixed19192121
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Green202011
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED White212122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed2244
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orange3355
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Orange-mixed5577
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS-black4466
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Cranes6688
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Blue991111
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Gold7799
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Red881010
Grosse Pointe North High SchoolGrosse Pointe North High School Mixed11111313
Grosse Pointe North High SchoolGrosse Pointe North High School Norsemen10101212
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue14141616
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold12121414
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White13131515
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed)15151717
Groves High SchoolGroves High School Mixed16161818
Mercy University of Detroit JesuitMercy University of Detroit Jesuit Marlins17171919
NoviNovi Mixed18182020
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity19192121
St. Joseph High SchoolSt. Joseph High School Bears- Mixed202011
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Green212122
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED White1133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Black River Public School Black River Public School Jack Hemmelgarn '19 [1-4] Caitlin Derby '22 [1-2]
Greta Traver '23 [3-4]
Mixed Eden Nykamp '21 Jeffery Graan '21
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Adrianna Lee '18 Natalia Luna '20
MIXED Orange Megan O'Gorman '18 Ryan Patterson '19
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Owen Bannasch '22 Lauren Scolari '20
BRMS Orange-mixed Madison Paulus '20 Maggie Christ '19
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Jon Crowe '18 Makayla Snyder '19
BRMS-black Jack Sielicki '18 Makayla Snyder '19
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Henry Gonzalez '21 [1-4] Calvi Teste '20 [1-2]
Kate Gordon '20 [3-4]
Cranbrook Cranes Adrian Stone '20 [1-4] Izzy Jacobson '21 [1-2]
Calvi Teste '20 [3-4]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Liam Hounsell '23 Dwight Ellis '21
MIXED Blue Bill Fan '20 Gefei (Ken) Zhu '21
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Ethan Lee '19 Michael Williams '20
MIXED Gold Brian Liu '18 [1-4] Aeres Zhou '23 [1-2]
Anthony Dziuba '20 [3-4]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Emily Pytell '21 Anna Russo '20
MIXED Red Lukas Denner '18 Walter Paliga '22
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Max Klassen '22 Daniel Ament '21
Mixed Shay Gualdoni '21 Teddy Prokop '19
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Adam Weinkauf '18 [1-4] Rj Sables '20 [1-2]
Mclellan '19 [3-4]
Norsemen Charlie Ramsdell '20 John Godoshian '18
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Eva Rossell '18 Dominic Dulac '20
Blue Emma Turner '19 Audrey Whitaker '19
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Ellie Groustra '22 [1-4] Colin Hexter '23 [1-2]
Dominic Palazzolo '23 [3-4]
Gold Ashley Strong '20 Anna Carron '21
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Charlie Gmeiner '23 [1-4] Charlotte Martinez '19 [1-2]
Jacob Schaupeter '22 [3-4]
White Julia Hudson '20 Eva Paschke '20
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Doug Cowan '22 Andrew Michels '21
Yellow (Mixed) Quinn Cassidy '23 Boaz Selinger '22
Groves High School Groves High School Luuk Schmit '18 Susanne Denner '19
Mixed Nate Marsden '19 Meghan Guo '19
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Marina Lamphier '20 [1-4] Sophia Lamphier '18 [1-2]
Dayton Mcgrail '20 [3-4]
Marlins Jenna Kozal '20 [1-4] Anna Sauer '20 [1-2]
Alex Acosta '20 [3-4]
Novi Novi Michael Kirkman '21 Zach Rockwell '20
Mixed Conner Kirkman '23 [1-2]
Lauren Carron '24 [3-4]		 Lauren Carron '24 [1-2]
Alex Tigges '22 [3-4]
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Michaela O'Donnell '20 Jessa Nauman '18
Varsity Grace Quasebarth '20 Lillian Beech '19
St. Joseph High School St. Joseph High School Dylan Marzke '20 [1-2]
Nolan Youngstedt '21 [3-4]		 Nolan Youngstedt '21 [1-2]
Paul Alimenti '22 [3-4]
Bears- Mixed Avie Krauss '19 Sam Stephens '21
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Harrison George '18 Isabel Dziuba '19
MIXED Green Nicole Millerman '19 Michelle Chumiecki '19
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Matthew Elliott '20 Bryce Vandenavond '19
MIXED White Jake Elsen '21 Ethan Gulati '22

Conditions — 05/12/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 40%  ·  Pressure 1019.0 hPa

Temperature

86°F
↑ 90°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 88°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.8 kn
Gusts to 21.4 kn
From SE (141°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover3% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity40% Pressure1019.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Brother Rice (MI): a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Brother Rice (MI) by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Brother Rice (MI): the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →